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  • 6 pts
    JEC
    July 1, 2020 at 1:00 pm #9164

    Look up by the Alaska volcanos/Aleutions..warning levels were dropped..because the volcano was not the cause of the eqarthquakes, they are 10 miles the volcano in question, in waters offshore, area is near Dutch Harbor , 3 and 3.8 on june 28th. Goes with the ‘ring theory” not my area either.

    Score: 0
    6 pts
    JEC
    June 28, 2020 at 2:11 pm #9127

    One other comment on review of earthquakes in this area. Almost ALL quakes, especally near 28 N, 104 W are observed to occur during the monsoon season..June thru August, and the numbers are increasing. Almost ALL near this point. This area must be sensitive to the increased water weight! Also, all quakes near this point..are between 10 to 20 KM in depth. So an area in that depth..is fragile. Dont know the geology of this area..but something someone researching should look at. With a blot echo to the south and west, things happening here.

    Score: 0
    6 pts
    JEC
    June 28, 2020 at 1:27 pm #9126

    Blot echo in region..increases the possible potential, time maybe sooner than July 1, as more rains come in three days..the pressure from this massive flood event is likely going to be a major factor in this region, I am sorry to say. The entire basin from Himalaya range to the sea is impacted, the major food basket for China a huge population area.

    Score: 0
    6 pts
    JEC
    June 28, 2020 at 12:17 am #9122

    Getting to the end of the prediction window, but the flood waters must be impacting the area. Three Gorges Dam releaseing water to prevent dam collapse..has flooded at least one large city today June 27th. Then the next window for quakes in area should be July 1 -4th. https://staygate.blogspot.com/2020/06/three-gorges-dam-flooding-yichang-city.html

    Lester and Canyonrat..thanks you for your toughtful comments.

    Score: 0
    6 pts
    JEC
    June 26, 2020 at 10:53 am #9102

    Thank you all for your kind words! On the Three Gorges DAm, June 27th..very major weather system, HEAVY water flow/flooding, and the dam is fully releasing all water already, as are all the other dams. Just look at the floods–ans monsoon season is not there yet. Can dam releases keep up? This is a large amount of water/pressure, and this dam has already caused a minor shift of the earths rotation..its that big.
    Also a similar dam issue(and possible dam cause for earthquake) could be cause in Africa due to another dam built to HUGE scale (China the dam building company). See June 24th earthquake Ghana, and this is the start of their monsoons season too. Big is not always better. I am starting to use things like dams and fracking as part of the decision process.

    Score: 0
    6 pts
    JEC
    June 24, 2020 at 11:05 am #9076

    4.5 eq on 23rd..there are more heavy rains thru thursday the 25th. This is a very interesting situation. Three Gorges Dam is full as well. Not good to have eq in this area at all. Dam is showing deformatieon, failure would flood millions.

    Score: 0
    6 pts
    JEC
    January 18, 2020 at 6:21 pm #6752

    man.. a 6.0..was it in your timeframe? soooo close.

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    Score: 1
    6 pts
    JEC
    January 18, 2020 at 6:20 pm #6751

    I agree with you on both..that area is just festering..the other places..Iceland..and the Madagascar areas..

    Score: 0
    6 pts
    JEC
    November 29, 2019 at 7:55 pm #6647

    Think this area is ripe for a significant event/quake. JEC

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    6 pts
    JEC
    July 17, 2019 at 4:43 pm #6254

    With the three quakes traveling to NW from CA along the faultlines..the pressure on Cascadia is likely increasing. Extending forcast for three days from July 17 to July 21st, 2019..6+mag 44-47N (long), and -126 to -129W (lat). Offshore quake of 5.4Mg July 17th off coastal area is a warning. Weather front is coming into BC just north of WA State Border. RED alert around California in risk model. No solar forcing seen. Only OLR anomoly is over New Madras area, mid USA.

    Score: 0
    6 pts
    JEC
    July 12, 2019 at 7:33 pm #6233

    With the new 4.4 near Monroe WA, july 12, 2019, the Cascadia zone shows more strain. Either that, or Glacier Peak, 48 miles away, is getting active. So Extending this forecast July 12, 2019 to July 16 2019, a 6+ mag EQ 44-47N, Long -126 to -129W.

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    6 pts
    JEC
    July 11, 2019 at 9:29 am #6231

    Within 200 miles of this area..which I have boxed in. Small 2 plus quakes small but steady continue..last was july 4th. So grumbling underground is going on.

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    6 pts
    JEC
    July 9, 2019 at 5:43 pm #6226

    Add to that the possible hurricane (LOW) forming in GOM….or is it going to put a lot of water up the Mississippi..like heavy snow fall..and cause a New Madrid burp? This is just an unsettled area..with volcanos…

    Score: 0
    6 pts
    JEC
    July 7, 2019 at 10:17 pm #6212

    Mt St Helens dome is growing at 5 meters!! a day. Thats a lot of growth and rock for sure. So if EQ pick up..and if the growth increases even a little..signs for an event. GPS position… tilting or changes and EQ increases..

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    Score: 1
    6 pts
    JEC
    July 7, 2019 at 10:00 pm #6211

    The slow increase in EQ and unrest is what happens with St Helens: at least this time they have monitors and such and actually know a bit about the volcano itself. If its swelling..that is the most definitive sign, that and increasing EQs along with more off gassing. Its had dome building events for years. BUT if Cascadia has any sort of major burp, the volcanoes along its eastern subsidence area(not sure if that is what the diving down crustal stuff is called there) ..can have issues. Like eruptions. We just do NOT have enough info since its only been recently (since 1960s or so) when they were trying to build nuclear plants in Olympia and Skagit that the dangers of the earthquakes/tsumanis were suddenly realized. All we have are oral native histories, and most have been ignored because of the sources…go figure. Funny, I just read a book warning about the big 9.0 forecast for the NW..and how the space needle might survive it because of overbuilding in those days (1960s). The NW is overdue, and certainly Mt Helens is a sentinal warning system.

    Tsunmani dangers too. Mt Hood, Mt Helen, Mt Rainer ..to Mt Shasta. Those ‘flats’ of Skagit..and up and down the Pacific coastlines those ‘sloughs” or ‘slews’ or muddy waterways with many stumps of dead forests/trees are all warning signs from the past.

    This post has received 1 vote up.
    Score: 1
    6 pts
    JEC
    July 7, 2019 at 8:06 pm #6207

    Concur with your projections. And Cascadia is also under threat..as the pressures build. What I fear (my kids live in Seattle and north to Bellingham..) is a ‘zipper’ effect,with the southern faults releasing pressure..triggering the north earthquakes. We went thru St. Helens..house and window shook..thought it was an atomic bomb the ground jumped so. A big earthquake..with tsumani..would be a lot worse for the coastal areaa.

    Score: 0
    6 pts
    JEC
    May 31, 2019 at 1:21 pm #6056

    I agree..something is going to pop in middle usa areas.

    This post has received 1 vote up.
    Score: 1
    6 pts
    JEC
    April 9, 2019 at 5:15 pm #5930

    I hope it doesnt hit..but will extend a day or so..that area is very likely to go with a significant quake. Lots of pressure.

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    6 pts
    JEC
    April 6, 2019 at 11:33 am #5914

    Lester also forcasting similar I believe

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    6 pts
    JEC
    February 24, 2019 at 12:56 pm #5720

    Reason: Blot echo map, storm systems (lows), and Risk Map Tool showing the movement south of one warning area and from South America another movement towards the north.

    Score: 0
    6 pts
    JEC
    February 12, 2019 at 9:48 pm #5664

    Already messed up its LAT 44-43(north) and LONG -123-124 (south), within 200 miles. still Jan 12-15th 2019 however…

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    6 pts
    JEC
    January 21, 2019 at 7:29 pm #5566

    Thats LAT 43 and LONG -126W sorry for typos on post.

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    6 pts
    JEC
    August 27, 2018 at 5:08 pm #5236

    And the RAIN fall from Hurricane Lane can also increase the chances of a more major and explosive earthquake. It takes several days for water to accumulate or flow into the water table, increasing its height. And its reaching the water table that seems to cause issues with Kileaua. Just wanted to add that factoid to the reasoning.

    Score: 0
    6 pts
    JEC
    August 7, 2018 at 10:37 am #5134

    Concerning the quakes have changed character and now deep and under the rift zone..deep quakes on the layer of slide region. Expect a 6-7+ M quake will cause deformation/movement of rift area. Oceanographers have placed devices to measure undersea land movement on the hilna slump undersea areas last month to be collected in Sept 2018. Major quakes have suddenly stopped, magma is stopped coming into rift zone..all quiet on the western front so to speak. I dont think this eruption is finished, the quakes deep underground could be magma movement..or signs of a destabilization process of some sort.

    Score: 0
    6 pts
    JEC
    August 5, 2018 at 8:49 pm #5125

    On Hawaii..its doing something, has slowed down to about 500 earthquakes a day(remember when that number was amazingly high?). But PuuOO crater rift area..is really putting out the SO2. Lava flow has eased up. BUT the earthquakes have changed character–a lot deeper and scattered over the entire rift area. Not sure if that even means anything..and I doubt anyone else knows either. You are makes some good analysis calls, I believe.

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