Forum Replies Created
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115 pts115 pts115 ptslesterJuly 8, 2021 at 7:35 pm #10735
Location: Cayman Islands Region, West of Jamaica … 79’43’W – 19’12’N
Magnitude: 5.0 – 6.3
Margin: 300 Radial Kilometres
Period: From 19:35 UTC July 8, for 10 days
Analysis…
On Wednesday 7th July at 01:24:58 UTC, an M 5.1 event occurred in the Solomon Islands on coordinates 161’06’E – 10’04’S. At this time, the ATE threshold was located on the Cayman Islands.
On Thursday 8th July at 13:23:25 UTC, an M 5.1 event occurred in Southern Qinghai, China on coordinates 97’53’E – 34’40’N. At “12-hours” earlier 01:23:25 UTC, the ATE threshold was located on the Cayman Islands !
On 7th July at 11:24:58 UTC, an M 5.3 event occurred in Taiwan on coordinates 121’39’E – 23’51’N. On 8th July at 09:25 UTC, it was moonset on this Taiwan epicentre, and moonrise on the Cayman Islands. However, on this occasion, moonrise on the Caymans was also joined by the ATB threshold, on the stated forecast coordinates.
On 7th July at 10:45 UTC (ref previous post), sunrise occurred on coordinates 79’43’W – 19’53’N Little Cayman Island. And coordinates 79’24’W – 19’12’N Cayman Trench !
Thank you
Score: 0115 ptslesterJuly 8, 2021 at 7:05 pm #10734Location: Antigua & Barbuda, Leeward Islands, Caribbean … 61’44’W – 17’21’N
Magnitude: 5.0 – 6.3
Margin: 300 Radial Kilometres
Period: From 19:05 UTC July 8, for 10 days
Analysis…
On Wednesday 7th July at 03:15:24 UTC, an M 5.3 event occurred in Meghalaya on coordinates 90’18’E – 25’57’N. At 11:24:58 UTC on this day, an M 5.3 event occurred in Taiwan on coordinates 121’39’E – 23’51’N. At 10:45 UTC, it was moonset on the Meghalaya epicentre… sunset on the Taiwan epicentre. At “12-hours” later 22:45 UTC, it was sunset on Antigua & Barbuda, and sunrise on coordinates 144’02’E – 54’43’S. On Thursday 8th July at 10:34:58 UTC, an M 5.2 event occurred West of Macquarie Island on these coordinates !
On 7th July at 06:39:08 UTC, an M 5.7 event occurred South of the Fiji Islands on coordinates 179’38’E – 23’11’S. At 00:06:26 UTC on this day, the sun was located on longitude 179’38’E, and the ATE threshold was located on Antigua & Barbuda !
On 7th July at 01:24:58 UTC, an M 5.1 event occurred in the Solomon Islands on coordinates 161’06’E – 10’04’S. At “12-hours” earlier 13:24:58 UTC 6th July, the moon was located on longitude 61’44’W Antigua & Barbuda !
On dates 6th, 7th, 8th July at 08:17 UTC, the ATB threshold was located in Antigua & Barbuda on the stated forecast coordinates. On dates 7th, 8th July at “12-hours” earlier / later 20:17 UTC, the ATE threshold was located on Mt Etna volcano in Sicily !
Thank you
Score: 0115 ptslesterJuly 8, 2021 at 1:45 am #10733Location: Port-Villa, Vanuatu … 168’21’E – 18’03’S
Magnitude: 5.0 – 6.3
Margin: 300 radial Kilometres
Period; From 01:45 UTC July 8, for 10 days
Analysis…
On Wednesday 7th July at 11:24:58 UTC, an M 5.3 event occurred in Taiwan on coordinates 121’39’E – 23’51’N. At 19:19 UTC on this day, the RLT (moonrise) was located on the Taiwan epicentre, and it was sunrise on Port-Villa.
On 7th July at 03:15:24 UTC, an M 5.3 event occurred in Meghalaya on coordinates 90’18’E – 25’57’N. At 10:45 UTC on this day (Ref previous post), it was moonset on the Meghalaya epicentre… sunset on the Taiwan epicentre… and the moon was located on longitude 11’39’W. The opposite longitude calculates as 168’21’E Port-Villa !
On 7th July at 12:30:47 UTC, an M 5.1 event occurred Near North Coast of Papua, Indonesia on coordinates 139’34’E – 2’58’S. At 06:26 UTC on this day, it was moonset on this Papua epicentre, and sunset on Port-Villa. At “12-hours earlier / later 18:26 UTC, it was sunset on Mt Etna volcano in Sicily !
On Tuesday 6th July at 22:20:55 UTC, the moon was located on longitude 168’21’E Port-Villa, and it was sunrise on coordinates 24’37’W – 57’55’S. On 7th July at 23:07:24 UTC, an M 5.0 event occurred in the South Sandwich Islands on these coordinates… the moon was located on longitude 168’55’E at this time !
Thank you
Score: 0115 pts115 ptslesterJuly 8, 2021 at 12:05 am #10731Location: El Tejocote, Guerrero, Mexico … 98’34’W – 17’21’N
Magnitude: 5.0 – 6.3
Margin: 300 radial Kilometres
Period; From 00:05 UTC July 8, for 10 days
Analysis…
On Wednesday 7th July at 06:39:08 UTC, an M 5.7 event occurred South of the Fiji Islands on coordinates 179’38’E – 23’11’S. at 212-hours” earlier 18:39:08 UTC 6th July, the sun was located on longitude 98’34’W.
On 7th July at 18:39:23 UTC, an M 5.0 event occurred South of Africa on coordinates 21’43’E – 53’00’S… the sun was located on longitude 98’35’W at this time !
On 7th July at 00:06:26 UTC, the sun was located on longitude 179’38’E Fiji. At “12-hours” later 12:06 UTC, it was sunrise on the stated forecast coordinates !
On 7th July at 10:45 UTC, the ATB threshold was located on the forecast coordinates., and it was sunset on coordinates 121’39’E – 23’51’N. At 11:24:58 UTC, an M 5.3 event occurred in Taiwan on these coordinates !
On 7th July at 12:30:47 UTC, an M 5.1 event occurred Near north Coast of Papua, Indonesia on coordinates 139’34’E – 2’58’S. At 10:00 UTC on this day, the ATE threshold was located on the pre seismic Papua epicentre, and it was moonrise on the stated forecast coordinates !
Thank you
Score: 0115 ptslesterJuly 7, 2021 at 10:30 pm #10730Location: Northwest of Izmir, Western Turkey … 26’46’E – 38’39’N
Magnitude: 5.0 – 6.3
Margin: 300 Radial Kilometres
Period: From 22:30 UTC July 7, for 10 days
Analysis…
On Wednesday 7th July at 03:15:24 UTC, an M 5.3 event occurred in Meghalaya on coordinates 90’18’E – 25’57’N. On Tuesday 6th July at 02:56:42 UTC, the moon was located on longitude 90’18’E… and it was sunrise in Izmir !
On Wednesday 7th July at 12:30:47 UTC, an M 5.1 event occurred Near North Coast of Papua, Indonesia on coordinates 139’34’E – 2’58’S. At “12-hours” earlier 00:30:47 UTC, the RLT (moonrise) was located on Izmir !
On Tuesday 6th July at 19:34 UTC, the ATB threshold was located on the pre seismic M 5.1 Papua, Indonesia epicentre… the ATE threshold was located on Izmir, western Turkey… and it was sunrise on coordinates 161’06’E – 10’04’S. On Wednesday 7th July at 01:24:18 UTC, an M 5.1 event occurred in the Solomon Islands on these coordinates !
Thank you
Score: 0115 ptslesterJuly 5, 2021 at 12:24 pm #10725Adjustment to Ryukyu Islands forecast…
Resetting coordinates as 128’00’E – 27’04’N
Analysis…
On Thursday 1st July between times 19:04 UTC – 19:34 UTC, the moon was located on the sunrise threshold during “Last Quarter” moon phase. At 19:04 UTC, the ATB threshold was located on the stated forecast coordinates.
On Wednesday 23rd June between times 09:25:08 UTC – 10:26:37 UTC, the moon was at “Perigee” at a distance of 353’575 km’s. At 10:26 UTC, it was sunset on the stated coordinates.
On Saturday 3rd July at 11:58:10 UTC, an M 5.7 event occurred on the Southeast Indian Ridge on coordinates 92’03’E – 43’25’S. On Saturday 19th June at 11:59:05 UTC, an M 5.7 event occurred in the Fiji Region on coordinates 173’07’E – 16’19’S. On Both occasions, the ATE threshold was located on the stated forecast coordinates !
On Sunday 20th June at 17:24:33 UTC, an M 5.5 event occurred in the Kermadec Islands Region on coordinates 177’30’W – 30’14’S. At this time, the SLT was located on the stated coordinates.
On Sunday 6th June at 18:24:29 UTC, an M 5.6 event occurred in the Fiji Region on coordinates 177’22’W – 15’55’S. It was moonrise on the stated coordinates at this time !
Adjustment of location to coordinates 128’39’E – 28’11’N, also corresponds with the stated ephemeral data, plus the following…
On Friday 18th June between times 03:39 UTC – 04:05 UTC, the sun was located on the moonrise threshold during “First Quarter” moon phase. At “12-hours” later 16:05 UTC, it was moonset on the stated coordinates.
On Monday 5th July between times 14:03:54 UTC – 15:30:02 UTC, the moon will be at “Apogee” at a distance of 398,962 km’s. At 15:30:02 UTC, the sun will be located on longitude 128’39’E !
This second option favours ephemeral determinations… but does not align to “post seismic” correlations !
Thank you
Score: 0115 ptslesterJuly 5, 2021 at 12:25 am #10724Location: West of Wadomari Island, Ryukyu Islands, Japan … 128’06’E – 27’22’N
Magnitude: 5.0 – 6.3
Margin: 350 radial Kilometres
Period: From 00:25 UTC July 5, for 20 days
A good place for an ephemeral convention !
……………………………………Sorry… Details to follow later, due to bad network !
Score: 0115 ptslesterJuly 4, 2021 at 6:57 pm #10722https://www.emsc-csem.org/Earthquake/earthquake.php?id=1006177
Missed by hours… but worth noting for posterity… 🙂
This post has received 1 vote up.Score: 1115 pts115 pts115 ptslesterJuly 4, 2021 at 2:48 pm #10718On Sunday 4th July at 01:01:35 UTC, an M 6.0 event occurred Offshore Atacama, Chile on coordinates 71’39’W – 28’45’S. This was followed shortly after by another M 6.0 event at 01:29:13 UTC, within 2 arc minutes of the first.
On Friday 18th June between times 05:25 UTC – 05:51 UTC, the moon was located on the sunset threshold during “First quarter” moon phase. At “12-hours” later 17:25 UTC, the RLT (moonrise) was located on the Atacama epicentres !
On Thursday 1st July at 10:15 UTC, the ATB threshold was located on the Atacama epicentres, and the moon was located on longitude 67’19’W Puerto Rico. At 16:50:34 UTC, the sun was located on longitude 71’39’W, and the SLT (moonset) was located on the Atacama epicentres… possible contributing factor ! These correlations happened prior to the “Last Quarter” moon phase, which also occurred on this day.
On Saturday 3rd July at 11:55:09 UTC, the moon was located on longitude 71’39’W. At “12-hours” later 23:56 UTC, it was moonrise on Mt Etna volcano in Sicily. At 23:56:58 UTC, the moon was located on longitude 112’55’E Mt Semeru volcano in East Java… the opposite longitude calculates as 67’05’W La Parguera, Puerto Rico !
Score: 0115 pts115 ptslesterJuly 4, 2021 at 1:05 am #10715Location: Offshore Maule, Chile … 72’23’W – 34’50’S
Magnitude: 5.0 – 6.3
Margin: 350 Radial Kilometres
Period; From 01:05 UTC July 4, for 20 days
It worked for Fiji… will it work again for Chile ??
On Friday 2nd July at 20:14:38 UTC, an M 6.1 event occurred in the Fiji Region on coordinates 179’21’W – 21’49’S. Prior to this event occurring, at 18:37:12 UTC, it was sunrise on the M 6.1 Fiji epicentre… and the moon was located on the same longitude of 179’21’W. A lunar / sunrise combination that may have contributed towards this event occurring !
On Saturday 3rd July at 11:58:07 UTC, an M 5.7 event occurred on the Southeast Indian Ridge on coordinates 92’03’E – 43’25’S. Also at this time, it was sunrise on coordinates 72’23’W – 34’50’S Offshore Maule, Chile… and the moon was located on longitude 72’23’W !!
On Wednesday 2nd June between times 05:30 UTC – 05:57 UTC, the moon was located on the sunrise threshold during “Last Quarter” moon phase. At “12-hours” later 17:57 UTC, the SLT (Setting lunar Threshold) was located Offshore Maule, Chile.
On Sunday 6th June at 23:16:39 UTC, an M 5.7 event occurred in the Kermadec Islands region on coordinates 176’18’W – 27’42’S. At this time, the ATE threshold was located Offshore Maule, Chile. This event also relates with the previous forecast above in the Dominican Republic… a sunset / ATE parallel correlation !
On Wednesday 23rd June between times 09:25:08 UTC – 10:26:37 UTC, the moon was at “Perigee” at a distance of 353,575 km’s. At 10:26:37 UTC, the ATB threshold was located Offshore Maule, Chile !
On Friday 2nd July at 23:37:38 UTC, the moon was located on longitude 107’37’E… the opposite longitude calculates as 72’23’W Offshore Maule, Chile. At “12-hours” earlier 11:37:38 UTC, it was moonset on Mt Etna volcano in Sicily !
Thank you
Score: 0115 pts115 ptslesterJuly 2, 2021 at 10:32 pm #10711On Friday 2nd July at 20:14:38 UTC, an M 6.1 event occurred in the Fiji Region on coordinates 179’21’W – 21’49’S. This epicentre does not correlate with any ephemeral data during the month of June. And does not correlate to any significant post seismic locations that occurred during the month of June. However, it appears to have been primed to occur, by a similar scenario related to the M 5.2 South Indian Ocean event of 1st July (Ref; Seismic Chess – Game 1 … post #10708 Dominican Republic).
Prior to this event occurring, at 18:37:12 UTC, it was sunrise on the M 6.1 Fiji epicentre on the stated coordinates… and the moon was located on longitude 179’21’W !
http://www.sunrisesunsetmap.com
http://www.fourmilab.ch/cgi-bin/EarthThis event has been posted here, because when it occurred at 20:14:38 UTC, the sun was located on longitude 122’36’W !
Score: 0115 ptslesterJuly 2, 2021 at 10:15 pm #10710On Wednesday 30th June at 15:07:54 UTC, an M 5.2 event occurred in the Easter Island region on coordinates 113’08’W – 28’21’S. At a near exact 24 hours later, a “very rare” M 5.2 event occurred in the South Indian Ocean at 15:06:34 UTC Thursday 1st July, on coordinates 80’45’E – 0’44’S. In both cases, the ATE threshold was located on Mt Piton de la Fournaise volcano, at the time of these events !
For three days only…
On Friday 2nd July at 08:21:18 UTC, the sun was located on longitude 55’42’E Mt Piton volcano. On the following two days 3rd – 4th July, the sun will be located on the same longitude at 08:21:29 UTC and 08:21:40 UTC respectively. On these three days at “12-hours” later 20:21 UTC, the ATE threshold will be located on Mt Etna volcano in Sicily, on coordinates 14’59’E – 37’45’N.
Continuing this forecast for 10 days from 22:15 UTC July 2
Thank you
Score: 0115 ptslesterJuly 2, 2021 at 12:01 am #10708Location: Duarte province, Eastern Dominican republic … 69’49’W – 19’08’N
Magnitude: 5.0 – 6.3
Margin: 200 Radial Kilometres
Period: From 00:01 UTC July 2, for 20 days
A chancy move… but maybe Sumatra and the Indian Ocean has my back !
On Thursday 1st July at 15:06:34 UTC, a “very rare” M 5.2 event occurred in the South Indian Ocean on coordinates 80’45’E – 0’44’S (EMSC). I regard this as a purposeful event, because of the time it occurred… and the contributing “trigger” alignment !
On the day before (30th June), I had posted on an ACE observation in my Trinidad & Tobago forecast. An aspect change had occurred at 15:07 UTC on this day, and had been accompanied by an M 5.2 event in the Easter Island region at 15:07:54 UTC. On this occasion, focus was on moonset east of T & T at this time. And the ATE threshold was located on Mt Piton de la Fournaise volcano on Reunion Island. Obviously when this South Indian Ocean event occurred at a near exact 24 hours later, the moon was long gone from T & T… but the ATE threshold was “still” located on Mt Piton at this time !
On Tuesday 29th June at 23:21:24 UTC, the moon was located on longitude 80’45’E… and the ATB threshold was located on coordinates 80’45’E – 0’44’S. Therefore, a perfect moon / ATB alignment on the South Indian Ocean epicentre. This may be purposeful because of the rarity of the event, and the innumerable odds of when this alignment last occurred on this longitude, or when it will occur again. Taking these facts into account, I decided to try the Dominican Republic as a potential seismic candidate, because it was also sunset on the stated forecast coordinates at this time !
On Wednesday 30th June at 22:11:15 UTC, an M 4.2 event occurred in Southern Sumatra on coordinates 104’36’E – 5’33’S. This event was in fact the first member of a “swarm” that has been ongoing in this region, and has surpassed 40 members at the time of this post. On this day at 16:14:45 UTC, it was moonrise in Southern Sumatra on the stated coordinates, and the moon was located on longitude 165’01’W. The opposite longitude calculates as 14’59’E Mt Etna volcano in Sicily…. perhaps another trigger contribution !
On 30th June at 09:42:23 UTC, the moon was located on 69’49’W Dominican Republic, and the SLT (moonset) was located on Mt Etna volcano. At 22 minutes later 10:05:24 UTC, it was sunrise on the stated forecast coordinates, and the moon was located on longitude 75’24’W… the opposite longitude calculates as 104’36’E M 4.2 Southern Sumatra epicentre !
My goal with this particular game was to try and combine were possible, events of M 5.5+ with ephemeral data, to determine potential pre seismic locations. Unfortunately, the Dominican republic is lacking sufficient promotional data in these required areas. So, its fate rests on a swarm, and a rare event to provide influential correlations. However, I did find two such correlations, which is far less than I would usually consider moving on !
On Sunday 6th June at 23:16:39 UTC, an M 5.7 event occurred in the Kermadec Islands Region on coordinates 176’18’W – 27’42’S. At this time, it was sunset on the stated forecast coordinates !
On Wednesday 23rd June between times 09:25:08 UTC – 10:26:37 UTC, the moon was at “Perigee” at a distance of 353,575 km’s. At “12-hour” later 22:27 UTC, it was moonrise on the stated forecast coordinates !
Thank you
Score: 0115 ptslesterJuly 1, 2021 at 9:19 am #10707https://www.emsc-csem.org/Earthquake/earthquake.php?id=1005080
M 5.1 Oaxaca, Mexico 97’49’W – 16’44’N … 01:13:40 UTC 1st July
Lost the next move (analysis #10644) by 26 hours 23 minutes !
Score: 0115 pts115 ptslesterJune 30, 2021 at 6:10 pm #10703ACE on the case !
On Wednesday 30th June at 15:07 UTC, a small period significant aspect change occurred in the ACE Satellite Mag data. At this time, it was moonset east of Trinidad & Tobago… and the ATE threshold was located on Mt Piton de la Fournaise volcano on reunion Island. Also at 15:07:54 UTC, an M 5.2 event occurred in the Easter Island region on coordinates 113’04’W – 28’23’S !
Within an hour of the first aspect change occurring, a second was recorded at 16:03 UTC… the sun was located on longitude 59’48’E at this time.
Referring back to the original moon / sunrise combination on 1st June. A recalculation for this day equates to sunrise on coordinates 59’51’W – 10’48’N at 09:36 UTC… and the moon located on longitude 59’51’W at this time. On Thursday 1st July at 03:37:25 UTC, it will be moonrise on these coordinates, and the moon will be located on longitude 29’15’E… Mt Nyiragongo volcano in DR Congo resides on this longitude !
On 23rd June between times 09:25:08 UTC – 10:26:37 UTC, the moon was at “Perigee” at a distance of 353,575 km’s. At “12-hours” later 22:26 UTC, it was sunset east of Trinidad & Tobago on the “original” forecast coordinates !
Continuing this forecast for 7 days from 18:10 UTC June 30
Thank you
Score: 0115 ptslesterJune 29, 2021 at 9:54 am #10702https://www.emsc-csem.org/Earthquake/earthquake.php?id=1004401
M 5.3 Vanuatu 167’24’E – 15’13’S … 03:14:14 UTC 29th June
lost a good “first move” (analysis #10642) by 5 hours 14 minutes !
This post has received 1 vote up.Score: 1115 ptslesterJune 28, 2021 at 9:00 pm #10701Location: Palliser Bay, North Island, New Zealand … 175’02’E – 41’27’S
Magnitude: 5.0 – 6.3
Margin: 350 Radial Kilometres
Period: From 21:00 UTC June 28, for 20 days
How to play an “ACE” during a game of Seismic Chess !!!
On Monday 28th June between times 06:38 UTC – 09:20 UTC, a “significant” aspect change occurred in the ACE sattelite Mag data. At “12-hours earlier / later 18:38 UTC, the ATE threshold was located on Palliser Bay in New Zealand on the stated forecast coordinates. I have been watching for correlations with New Zealand for most of June. But, though I had ephemeral data correlating to this region, it was lacking in seismic / volcanic correlations. However, I believe the data is a credible prompt, and it is more so now that this aspect change has “forced my hand”, in a game of Seismic Chess !
On Monday 31st May between times 18:38 UTC – 19:04 UTC, the moon was located on the ATB threshold for the duration of this period. At “12-hours” later 06:38 UTC 1st June, the ATE threshold was located on Palliser Bay !
On Wednesday 2nd June between times 05:30 UTC – 05:57 UTC, the moon was located on the sunrise threshold during “Last Quarter” moon phase. At “12-hours” later 17:57 UTC, the ATB threshold was located on Palliser Bay !
On Tuesday 15th June at 23:50:04 UTC, an M 5.5 event occurred on the Mid-Indian Ridge on coordinates 78’08’E – 37’27’S. At this time, the RLT (Rising Lunar Threshold) was located on Palliser Bay !
On Thursday 24th June between times 18:35:26 UTC – 18:37:21 UTC, it was “Full Moon”. At “12-hours” later 06:38 UTC 25th June, the ATE threshold was located on Palliser Bay !
On Saturday 26th June at 06:38:12 UTC, an M 5.2 event occurred in the Solomon Islands on coordinates 161’03’E – 10’20’S. The ATE threshold was located on Palliser Bay at this time !
This aspect change does present several possibilities in respect of potential pre seismic locations. But this is the only location that sports multiple 06:38’s… an ATE “Full House”… 🙂
Thank you
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