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115 pts115 pts115 pts115 pts115 pts115 pts115 pts115 ptslesterDecember 26, 2019 at 5:28 pm #6708
It has been recently pointed out to me, I made an error with my combination theory.
The following should read; 22nd Dec 01:54 UTC – Mt Klyuchevskoy volcano in Kamchatka erupted… “it was Moonrise on Mt Strobloli volcano at this time !
This forecast started 00:01 UTC 23rd Dec… at 01:06:45 UTC 23rd Dec, an M 4.5 event occurred in the Santa Cruz Islands !
Apologies for the confusion… and appreciate the fact that somebody “actually” followed this theory… 🙂
Score: 0115 pts115 pts115 ptslesterDecember 22, 2019 at 2:31 am #6698At 00:52 UTC 22nd Dec, am eruption occurred from Mt Ebeko volcano on the Kamchatka Peninsula. The ATB threshold was located on the post seismic M 6.1 Hindu Kush, Afghanistan epicentre… and it was sunset in the Xi Region, Southern Chile on the coordinates of this forecast. Mt Shiveluch volcano in Kamchatka, erupted 58 minutes earlier at 23:50 UTC 21st Dec… it was sunset in Coquimbo, Chile on the coordinates of this forecast !!
Thank you
Score: 0115 pts115 ptslesterDecember 20, 2019 at 3:36 pm #6695Between dates in December of 8th to 17th, I had noted several data sets relating to the Los Lagos Region of Chile… now amended to Xi Region. On 18th Dec at 00:50 UTC, Mt Klyuchevskoy volcano in Kamchatka erupted (ref; proclamations). My model showed that sunset had occurred at this time, on the Los Lagos coordinates listed above. At 1 hour 25 minutes later, I posted this forecast on the basis of this eruption (Coquimbo was determined using ACE contacts).
At 11:39:52 UTC today (20th), an M 6.1 event occurred in the Hindu Kush region of Afghanistan on coordinates 70’25’E – 36’31’N (USGS). On reviewing my model again, it showed that the ATB threshold was located on these coordinates at 00:50 UTC 18th Dec !
Simple test… load http://www.timeanddate.com … select “sun & Moon” in the headers … select “Day And Night Map” from the drop down list. Sunrise and sunset occurred on this M 6.1 Hindu Kush epicentre today (20th) at 02:26 UTC – 12:06 UTC respectively. Input these times in the map, and place a small “felt pen” mark on the computer screen where these thresholds meet in Northern Afghanistan… then input 00:50 UTC 18th Dec !!
It is unlikely that a notable event will now be forthcoming from the Xi Region, Southern Chile…
Thank you
Score: 0115 pts115 ptslesterDecember 10, 2019 at 3:39 pm #6681With respect to recent events at White Island volcano in New Zealand on 9th Dec, I have compiled a T sequence for the 8th Dec in relation to solar / lunar threshold contacts with this location. As unconventional my theories may seem in respect of volcanology and seismology, I would like to believe that in my own way, I am contributing towards the “bigger picture”…
14:50 UTC ATB – The ATB threshold was located on White Island volcano, but in this case it was also joined by moonset… therefore, a double threshold contact. Also correlating at this time, it was moonset on the post seismic M 6.5 South of Fiji Islands epicentre of 8th Nov (as mentioned above)… Sunset on Mt Piton de la Fournaise volcano in Reunion… Sunset on Erat Ale volcano in Ethiopia… the SLT was located on Mt Shishaldin volcano in the Aleutian Islands… and it was sunrise in Ventura, California (with regards to previous correlations).
16:43 UTC Sunrise – it was sunset in Volcano, Big Island, Hawaii… and the ATE threshold was located on the post seismic M 6.0 Crete, Greece epicentre of 27th Nov.
00:03 UTC Solar Noon – the ATE threshold was located on Mt Nevado Del Ruiz volcano in Colombia… and the ATB threshold was located on Mt Piton de la Fournaise volcano in Reunion.
07:23 UTC Sunset – the ATE threshold was located on Mt Opala volcano in Kamchatka… and it was moonset on the post seismic M 6.0 Arica, Chile epicentre of 3rd Dec.
09:14 UTC ATE – it was sunrise on volcanoes Mt Copahue and Mt Villarrica in Southern Peru… and moonset on the post seismic M 6.3 Chiapas, Mexico epicentre of 20th Nov.
When the moon was located on the same longitude as White Island volcano (177’10’E) at 09:05:31 UTC, it was moonset on Mt Fuego volcano in Guatemala.
The next “significant” correlation occurs on 14th December at 09:21 UTC, when the ATE threshold will be located on White Island volcano, at the same time it is moonrise… another double contact. This time will also coincide with the RLT being located on Mt Asama volcano in Honshu, Japan… and it will be sunrise on Mt Nevados De Chillan volcano in Southern Peru. The most recent correlation between these two volcanoes, occurred on 3rd Dec. At 07:29:30 UTC, an M 5.4 occurred off the coast of Arica, Chile… it was sunset on Mt Asama volcano, and the ATB threshold was located on Mt Nevados De Chillan volcano. On 4th Dec at 20:10:03 UTC, an M 6.0 event occurred in Vanuatu… the ATB threshold was located on Mt Asama volcano at this time.
It may also be relevant to mention, on 13th Dec between times 20:10:10 UTC – 21:47:38 UTC, the moon will be located on latitude 23’14’N for the duration of this period… its most Northerly lateral position for the month of December (relative to Earth). At 20:10 UTC, the ATB threshold will be located on the post seismic M 7.1 Molucca Sea epicentre of 14th Nov… and at 21:48 UTC, it will be sunrise on Mt Asama volcano.
My hypothesis is based on the assumption that electromagnetic correlation occurs between pre / post seismic locations and active volcanoes. Therefore, although levels of activity had been increasing one month prior to the White Island volcano eruption. I am also making the assumption that the ATB / Moonset contact of 14:50 UTC 8th Dec, combined with moonset on the post seismic M 6.5 South of Fiji epicentre, contributed to an “ignition point” prior to eruption. On 14th December at 09:21 UTC, a similar scenario will be played out with different threshold elements.
It may also be worth pointing out, the VAAC in Tokyo currently lists the status of Mt Asama volcano as “normal or dormant”. The last report issued for Mt Asama was on Monday 26th August, when a small eruption occurred. The only volcano they do list as “restless” in this region is Mt Kusatsu-Shirane, which is located 16 miles North of Mt Asama… so the data works for here too.
My heart and thoughts are with the people caught up in this terrible tragedy, and I wished to be unburdened by posting what I observed. I was compiling data for a future forecast on Cook Strait, New Zealand… but “my” reality is, most of this data also corresponded with White Island volcano !!
Thank you and god bless…
Score: 0115 pts115 ptslesterDecember 8, 2019 at 8:15 pm #6679After a period of 50 hours 50 minutes without a 5+ event occurring, an M 5.2 event has occurred in Costa Rica at 18:31:39 UTC 8th Dec. Exactly “12 hours” earlier at 06:32 UTC, it was sunset on the post seismic M 6.5 South of Fiji epicentre of 8th Nov… as mentioned in the previous post !!
Score: 0115 pts115 ptslesterDecember 8, 2019 at 12:34 am #6676Addition to forecast…
I would like to include Mt Klyuchevskoy volcano in Kamchatka, as a second possibility for an eruptive event, during the current period of this forecast. Mt Klyuchevskoy is less than 1 degree East of Mt Shiveluch volcano, and is particularly difficult to distinguish accurate readings between these volcanoes on a DIY model. ACE data at the time of this post, is showing the Phi readings have basically dropped to the floor at 21:32 UTC 7th Dec… sunrise occurred on both these volcanoes at this time !
Thank you
Score: 0115 ptslesterDecember 6, 2019 at 11:47 pm #6672This region has been noted in online data several times during the last 48 hours. Giving an approx ETA didn’t work out too well last time, so I think I will just say… Santa Barbara !!
Continuing this forecast for 5 days from 00:01 UTC December 7
Thank you
Score: 0115 ptslesterDecember 6, 2019 at 11:38 pm #6671I had not seen any further seismic or volcanic correlations, related to San Francisco since my post of 29th Nov. Possibilities existed that either this quiet period was the calm before the storm, or, there was nothing here to begin with. However, an aspect change has just been recorded in the Tromso Magnetometer data… with an approximate commencement time of 22:00 UTC 6th Dec (most significant in last 3 days). This is just short of moonrise time in the San Francisco Bay area, but signal accuracy is always questionable with this data, because it displays a 24 hour window. Thus, a combination theory I happened upon describes moonrise occurring in Hayward, San Francisco at 22:02 UTC 6th Dec, and sunrise occurring at Mt Sakurajima volcano in Kyushu, Japan at the same time !. Mt Sakurajuima volcano has been in focus with several of my forecasts recently, including this one. So I will give San Francisco the benefit of a doubt one more time… or my last 5 days actually.
Continuing this forecast from 00:01 UTC December 7, for 5 days
Thank you
flux.phys.uit.no/last24/last24_tro2a.gif
Score: 0115 pts115 ptslesterDecember 3, 2019 at 1:57 pm #6666At 06:19 UTC today (3rd Dec), an explosive event occurred at Mt Sakurajima volcano in Kyushu, Japan. At 2 hours and 27 minutes later, an M 6.0 event occurred off the coast of Arica, Chile on coordinates 70’39’W – 18’33’S (USGS)… could these two events be related ?
In my opening post of this thread, I described calculation for the sun and moon sharing the same lateral coordinate of 21’43’S on 1st December. Duration of this mutual position occurred between times 00:10:11 UTC – 00:23:21 UTC. Theory was that the ATE threshold on Mt Sangay volcano at 00:24 UTC, may instigate an eruptive event in the near future. However, I have noted from the occurrence of the M 6.0 Chile event, the ATE threshold was also located on coordinates 70’39’W – 18’33’S on 1st Dec at 00:24 UTC !. So the most likely outcome is that the double up moon scenario of 1st Dec, correlated to the Chile event of today… and I am therefore doubtful that this forecast will produce a result !
The M 6.0 Arica, Chile event occurred at 08:46:36 UTC. If we look back exactly 12 hours in time to 20:47 UTC 2nd Dec, it was moonset on coordinates 19’33’E – 41’31’N (USGS). These are the epicentre coordinates for the M 6.4 Albania event, which occurred on 26th Nov… a coincidence perhaps !. The moon was located on longitude 130’49’E when this Chile event occurred. Mt Sakurajima volcano resides on longitude 130’39’E, so the moon was 10 arcminutes from meridian point with Sakurajima, or 10 seconds of Earth rotation. Looking at Mt Sakurajima in the same context as the M 6.4 Albania location, the ATB threshold was located on Mt Sakurajima volcano at 20:34 UTC 2nd Dec. Moving exactly 12 hours ahead to 08:34 UTC 3rd Dec, the ATB threshold was then located on the pre seismic (-13 mins) M 6.0 Arica, Chile epicentre… perhaps another coincidence !
Hmmm… maybe I’m on to something !!
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