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115 ptslesterAugust 23, 2019 at 9:21 pm #6366
Hi Fred… several data sets that I have observed today, seem to favour the Central and South American coastal regions. So your chosen location still has a good chance of a hit. You mentioned before about restricting the area of your margin in relation to the State you live in. I would suggest to you that a reasonable radius of 250 – 300 km’s would be more beneficial (like you have done this time) until you find a rhythm that best suits your skill factor. I got within 2.8 miles of a P.N.G. hit earlier this year, but I nearly always use 250 km’s because there are many different factors that need to be take into account… just a little friendly advice !.
You have a good day too… 🙂
Score: 0115 pts115 ptslesterAugust 19, 2019 at 3:59 pm #6353I’m sorry this didn’t work out for you, but the fact that you made an attempt is commendable. It is only through trying different theories and techniques (and enduring many failures) that we will get closer to an answer. I can see where you are going with this, but I believe an ETA related to the actual positions of the sun and moon, may be the wrong direction to follow. The real players for determining a time hit include the solar / lunar thresholds, active volcanos, post seismic locations… and pre seismic locations if your confident enough to know where they are 🙂 . Here are a couple of examples that you can time check on your T&D maps.
If you check out my “Mt Etna” prediction, which currently resides on page 5 of this forum. You will see that I made reference to the M 4.3 San Francisco Bay area event of 16th July… this event occurred at 20:11:01 UTC on this day. If you input this time and date in the sun map, you will see that the ATE threshold (astronomical twilight ends) was located on Mt Etna Sicily, Italy at this time. This suggests that an electromagnetic correlation between seismic location and pre eruptive location, triggered the actual event !. It is not unusual for San Francisco to experience frequent seismic activity, but according to EMSC records the last 4+ event to occur here was an M 4.4 on 4th January 2018. So from my perspective with the data I had already accumulated for Mt Etna, this 4.3 event was significant enough to chance a prediction.
My successful hit on Mt Etna could still be regarded as a fluke because I have not had a repeat result from other attempts. So my opinion in this case is not credible, unless we check out a little back cast data to try and build up a picture. On the 1st and 3rd January 2018, eruptions occurred from Mt Agung volcano in Bali, Indonesia. As mentioned, on 4th January at 10:39:36 UTC, an M 4.4 event occurred in the San Francisco Bay area. If you check the sun map for this time and date, it will show sunset was on Bali Island, Indonesia… and therefore sunset on Mt Agung volcano. These two examples relay as earthquake V volcano, and volcano v earthquake… so what happens when the seismic event is a little bigger !.
The last 7+ event to date this year, occurred as an M 7.3 in Halmahara, Indonesia at 09:10:50 UTC 14th July. The highest magnitude event to date for 2019, was an M 8.0 in Northern Peru on 26th May. Other correlations related to the Halmahara event time include; the ATE located on Mt Ulawun volcano, New Britain P.N.G… the last pre event time eruption occurred on 26th June. Moonset occurred on Mt Ubinas volcano in the Cerro province of Peru at this time… the last pre event time eruption occurred here on 25th June, and within 24 hours of the Mt Ulawun eruption !. Mt Ubinas volcano experienced a further recent eruption on 20th July… which was also the same day that Mt Etna erupted !!. Further to this, it was also moonset on coordinates 75’16’W – 5’48’S which is the location of the post seismic M 8.0 Northern Peru epicentre. This scenario suggests two active volcanos and a “significant” post seismic location triggered the M 7.3 Halmahara event… Volcano v Volcano v earthquake !
The last 5+ event to occur today (prior to this post), was an M 5.1 in the South Sandwich Islands at 06:06:05 UTC. For the past month, I have been chasing what I believe will be a significant event in Big Island Hawaii. The rate of 2+ events occurring at this location has increased significantly during the last 3 days. At 06:06:05 UTC today, the ATE was located on Mauna Loa volcano, Big Island, Hawaii. From my perspective, ATE contact with Hawaii triggered the M 5.1 South Sandwich Islands event… so with belief in my own method, I have reason to continue chasing Hawaii.
As mentioned at the start of this post, we all have different theories or techniques that we employ to find an answer (or an earthquake)… this one is mine. Like you, I made a lot of my determinations using ACE data, but I am now mindful of the fact that the ACE satellite will have depleted is propellant in approx. 2 – 3 years. So I am trying to find alternative methods towards seismic detection. Probable one reason why I have had very little impact on the results lately… I am on the ACE wagon, so to speak 🙂 .
Always follow your own path… but I hope this helps in some way !.
Score: 0115 pts115 pts115 pts115 pts115 pts115 pts115 pts115 pts115 pts115 pts115 ptslesterAugust 3, 2019 at 4:58 pm #6308So do I… I wouldn’t want fellow members thinking this was a lucky shot 🙂
Its based on electromagnetic correlation, but the real science behind what I observe still eludes me !
I’ll post in the chat room when I get a paper together… may be you or others could help fill in some of the gaps ?
Thanks Ben…
Score: 0115 pts115 pts115 pts115 pts115 pts115 pts115 pts115 pts115 pts115 ptslesterJuly 9, 2019 at 7:14 pm #6227Oh! I almost forgot… try this. On 7th July, sunset on the M 6.4 SoCal epicentre occurred at 03:09 UTC. Input the time of occurrence for the M 6.9 Molucca Sea event on this day, in the sun map… and then deduct “12 hours” !. This event time also coincides with moonrise on coordinates 64’15’W – 27’47’S Santiago del Estro, Argentina !!.
Score: 0115 ptslesterJuly 9, 2019 at 5:32 pm #6225Hey, sorry about the panicky heads up my friend, I walked into my observatory last night, saw what was on the spectral graph, and had one of those OMG, red alert, call the president moments 🙂 . After the exiting result I got from Mayotte today (4.1 🙁 ), I too hope my anomaly relates to Bougainville !.
This was a “very” interesting piece you posted, and I can see how this could relate to “some” significant events in this region. However, I am not totally sold on the idea, because my own calculations suggest recent events in SoCal were “pre selected” through natural occurrence !!.
Hope you are not too rusty at following my method with maps :)…
On 26th May between times 12:38:34 UTC – 14:14:21 UTC, the moon was at apogee at a distance of 397,759 km’s during this period. At 12:38:34 UTC on this day, it was sunrise on coordinates 117’30’W – 35’42’N, pre-seismic location of the M 6.4 (M 7.1) Southern California epicentre. Also at 12:38 UTC, it was sunrise on coordinates 130’30’W – 51’13’N, pre-seismic location of the M 6.2 Queen Charlotte Islands epicentre… which as you know occurred on the same day as the M 6.4 SoCal event (4th July).
The 26th May was also the day that this years (so far) biggest seismic event occurred in Northern Peru (M 8.0).
Between times 22:25:01 UTC 7th June – 00:06:58 UTC 8th June, the moon was at perigee at a distance of 362,127 km’s during this period. At 00:06:58 UTC on this day, the moon was located on longitude 117’27’W !. It is also interesting to note that it was moonrise at this time on coordinates 154’43’E – 6’15’S Bougainville P.N.G. ( M 5.5 6th July).
On 2 July, New Moon occurred at 19:24 UTC. At 19:54:05 UTC, the sun was located on longitude 117’30’W. Also at this time, it was moonrise on coordinates 144’24’E – 19’52’N, location of the post seismic M 6.4 Northern Mariana Islands epicentre of 28th June. At 19:56 UTC, the moon was located on longitude 117’39’W… and again it was moonrise on the Bougainville P.N.G. coordinates posted above. I’m not sure if this has any bearing, but these events were occurring during the peak period of the southern hemisphere solar eclipse !!.
As suggested earlier, it is my opinion that these SoCal events were pre selected through naturally occurring events !. Here is a final calculation that I made today (9th).
Between times 12:16 UTC – 12:41 UTC today, the sun and moon were geocentric on their opposing sunset / moonrise thresholds relative to Earth during this period… commonly known as “First Quarter” moon phase. At 12:41:29 UTC today, it was sunrise on coordinates 117’30’W – 35’42’N ( 117.506’W – 35.705’N USGS ), epicentre of the 4th July M 6.4 SoCal event.
There is good reason to believe melt water may have contributed towards events in California, but the mainstream scientific community is not going to entertain this theory without credible back cast data and testable numbers. My numbers can be verified using the following websites…
http://www.fourmilab.ch/cgi-bin/Earth
http://www.sunrisesunsetmap.com
I am concerned that my recorded anomaly and first quarter both relate to SoCal within a 12 hour period… should I call the president ? 🙂
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