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115 pts115 pts115 pts115 pts115 ptslesterSeptember 16, 2018 at 10:55 pm #5290
An Observation…
A significant aspect change in Tromso magnetometer data has occurred at 20:14 UTC today, this coincides with moonrise in the “far” Northwest region, Gulf of California… at approx location an M 3.5 occurred on 12th September !
flux.phys.uit.no/Last24/Last24_tro2a.gif
Score: 0115 ptslesterSeptember 16, 2018 at 8:21 pm #5289Add em… after combining the Bishopville moon hits with previously collected data, and taking into account the significance of the aspect changes… the data favours El Salvador.
I believe Bishopville, South Carolina can be reprieved of any seismic intrusions at this time 🙂
Thank you
Score: 0115 pts115 pts115 ptslesterSeptember 15, 2018 at 7:54 pm #5286An Observation…
A short period structure has been recorded in the ACE satellite MAG Phi data today, starting and terminating at 17:02 UTC – 17:16 UTC respectively. The Bx, By, Bz traces also show a significant aspect change at 17:16 UTC. At 17:16 UTC, it was sunset in Catanzaro, Southern Italy, and the moon was located on longitude 5’58’W at 17:02 UTC.
The reason I posted this observation, was because 17:02 UTC – 17:16 UTC also coincides with moonrise / solar noon on co-ordinates 80’13’W – 34’12’N Bishopville, South Carolina !. The last event to occur in this region (EMSC) was an M 3.2 North of Charleston on 29th August 2009, on co-ordinates 80.080’W – 33.060’N. In light of current events in South Carolina, it would be interesting to know if this Charleston event occurred after a similar hurricane made landfall in 2009 ?… EMSC records show from 2004 to the present, this is the only event to have occurred in South Carolina.
Thank you
Score: 0115 ptslesterSeptember 15, 2018 at 5:27 pm #5285Continuing this forecast for 13 days from 18:00 UTC September 15
A significant aspect change occurred in the ACE satellite MAG data at 16:24 UTC today, the sun was located on longitude 67’12’W. An M 4.2 event occurred in Potosi, Bolivia on 12th September, on longitude 67’34’W. These 4+ events are a common occurrence in Potosi, Bolivia and usually average three per month. I am speculating that a recent uptick of seismic activity in Chile and Peru, may instigate a “better than average” influence in this region !
Thank you
Score: 0115 ptslesterSeptember 15, 2018 at 5:01 pm #5284Apologies… I seem to have omitted that this forecast will run for 13 days, from the time and date posted above.
A significant aspect change has occurred in the ACE satellite MAG data at 16:24 UTC today. I was drawn to this forecast (error) because the setting lunar terminator was located on these forecast co-ordinates at this time.
Thank you
Score: 0115 ptslesterSeptember 15, 2018 at 11:48 am #5283An Observation…
A “significant” aspect change has occurred in the ACE satellite MAG data today at 07:41 UTC (10/10 !). The sun was located on longitude 63’35’E at this time… this longitude favours Pasni, Pakistan which does have a reputation for making an annual seismic appearance. However, the opposite longitude to 63’35’E calculates as 116’25’W Aguanga, Southern California !. In the posts above (Aug 30 9:08 pm – Sept 10 12:10 am) I make reference to previous ACE data relating to 116’W… the data is suggestive of something residing on 116’W or 64’E.
At 03:17 UTC today, the sun was located on longitude 129’35’E, it was in fact solar noon on the M 5+ East of Nago, Japan epicentres… it was also dusk (night) in “Aguanga” California at this time !
In the interest of retaining data in one place, I am re-activating this forecast from 12:00 UTC September 15, for 7 days… specs remain the same as posted above, but focus is currently with the “Aguanga” region.
Thank you
Score: 0115 ptslesterSeptember 14, 2018 at 4:15 pm #5282Adjustment to forecast…
Resetting co-ordinates to 112’45’W – 29’12’N Tiburon Basin
Resetting margin to 350 radial kilometres (focus is on NW / SE direction)
Resetting magnitude to 6 – 7
Continuing this forecast for 7 days from 18:00 UTC September 14
Thank you
Score: 0115 ptslesterSeptember 13, 2018 at 9:06 am #5279Continuing this forecast for 13 days from 12:00 UTC September 13
Note – an M 5.2 event occurred in the Gansu border region yesterday (12th) on longitude 105’47’E.
Volcanic activity has commenced in the region of Iwo Jima, Japan today at 04:56 UTC… the sun was located on longitude 105’01’E (Krakatau) at this time !
Thank you
Score: 0115 pts115 ptslesterSeptember 12, 2018 at 12:01 am #5274Continuing this forecast for 13 days from 00:01 UTC September 12
Note – Volcanic activity commenced at 03:21 UTC yesterday, at Mt Veniaminof Volcano, which is located 46 miles East of the forecast co-ordinates listed above. The possibility exists that data used to determine this forecast location, may in fact relate to said volcanic activity within an acceptable margin of error (Guatemala syndrome !). However, the ACE satellite data feeds terminated operation at 18:40 UTC today… this coincides with moonrise at 12 miles West of said forecast co-ordinates !!
Thank you
Score: 0115 pts115 ptslesterSeptember 11, 2018 at 2:14 pm #5272An Observation…
At the time of this post, no 2.5+ events have occurred on the West Coast US since the M 2.5 Simerson, Northern California event at 13:39:11 UTC 9th September (48 hours +). The last 48 hour + quiet period was between 09:49:11 UTC 4th September (M 2.5 Coyote Lake) and 09:59:17 UTC 6th September (M 3.0 Aguanga).
On 6th September, an M 7.9 event occurred ESE of Suva, Fiji on co-ordinates 179.345’E – 18.475’S at 15:49:15 UTC… this event occurred after the last 48 hour inactive period in California. Also on this day, a post seismic / lunar alignment occurred at 19:46 UTC (ref; “Looking Ahead” above), weather this had any influence on preceding events, can only be speculated on !.
On 4th – 5th September, a series of 5+ events occurred in the South Sandwich Islands region. The epicentres of these events shared a Dawn/ Dusk relationship on these two days, with the pre-seismic M 7.9 Fiji epicentre on the co-ordinates stated. Likewise, current activity in the Dodecanese Islands and Turkey share a Dawn / Sunset relationship with the US West Coast between San Francisco and Los Angeles. For instance, an M 4.9 occurred South of Bukan, Turkey yesterday at 10:23:02 UTC. Dawn on this day occurred on this epicentre at 02:06 UTC… it was sunset on co-ordinates 117’50’W – 34’17’N Falling Springs, Los Angeles at this time.
Moonrise on the M 7.9 Fiji epicentre occurs today at 19:47 UTC… the time is reminiscent of the post seismic / lunar alignment of 6th September. The sun will be located on longitude 117’37’W at this time… at 19:47:51 UTC, it will be located on longitude 117’50’W Falling Springs, Los Angeles !!
Thank you
Add em… an M 2.9 event has occurred in Yellowstone National Park at 13:30:53 UTC (after a 24 hour quiet period on the US mainland). Recently, Ben highlighted several major events as being associated with volcanic locations… should we be worried about this one ??
Score: 0115 pts115 ptslesterSeptember 10, 2018 at 12:10 am #5267An Observation…
A “significant” aspect change occurred in the ACE satellite MAG data today at 19:53 UTC (10/10 !). The sun and moon were located on longitudes 118’56’W and 116’36’W respectively. Cross reference data is currently unavailable to determine latitude, but I would not rule out the possibility of felt events or “greater” occurring in either Bakersfield, San Bernardino or Aguanga, Southern California within the next 48 hours !.
This time also coincides with a solar / lunar convergence in the Numuro Strait region, North Hokkaido… also awaiting further data !
Thank you…
Score: 0115 pts115 pts115 pts115 ptslesterSeptember 6, 2018 at 9:26 am #5261Amendment to forecast… terminating this forecast on 12th September 12:00 UTC… an oversight with my adding !
An Observation…
At the time of this post, no 2.5+ events have occurred on the US mainland since the M 3.2 Eastern Texas event on 4th September 15:06:46 UTC (EMSC)… the moon was located on longitude 118’28’W at this time !
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