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115 ptslesterJune 4, 2018 at 7:44 pm #4795
“At the time of this post, the BBC news channel is “still” reporting a volcanic eruption in Guatemala, occurring at “15:22 UTC” (PM), as a result of a 5.2 earthquake off the Guatemala coastline.
Sorry my friend… should have done a better job of checking this out before posting !
Its time I had a break…
Score: 0115 ptslesterJune 4, 2018 at 6:47 pm #4794As amateurs in the field of seismology, we constantly strive to get a better understanding of the stressful Earth, the electric Earth and the alignments with Earth. There are many different theories from many different people, but I believe each different theory may hold a piece of the puzzle, which will ultimately finding the answer to the earthquake problem !
On behalf of Chris Gimber and myself, our thoughts and prayers go out to the fallen of Guatemala ***
Score: 0115 ptslesterJune 4, 2018 at 5:53 pm #4793OH! Chris… I feel terrible, the news on TV is reporting 38 confirmed fatalities, due to Fuego Volcano erupting in Guatemala, as a result of the 5.2 earthquake !!. It is sometimes hard to do what we do, when this kind of news has association with one of your forecasts !
Score: 0115 ptslesterJune 4, 2018 at 3:54 pm #4791Chris / Fred… the Mona Passage saga continues !
A Phi Contact and aspect change has occurred in the “ACE MAG” data at 14:50 UTC today. I got a fix on co-ordinates in Mona Passage by working the previous correlations. The contact times calculated as 68.400’W – 19.180’N Maimon Escarpment, off the Northeast coast of Dominican Republic… this new contact corresponds to “Moonset” on these co-ordinates !
Chris… Doc & Marty hit a 5.2 in Guatemala at 15:06 UTC (ref post of June 2 7:54 pm)… my understanding of the word “Significant” seems to be getting better 🙂
At 15:06 UTC, it was also Moonrise in Taiwan !!
Score: 0115 pts115 pts115 ptslesterJune 3, 2018 at 11:47 pm #4787Yes! we could start a new thread entitled “unsuccessful MOOM’s 🙂
If you read the post,you might find the following interesting… the SLT was on Mona Passage at 14:04 UTC as stated, then the mag data started breaking up at 23:08 UTC. The Sunset threshold was located on the same spot as the SLT on Mona Passage… it is giving “strong” indication that something is lying in wait there !!
Hamberg was included in the news on TV, it was a power outage… I don’t think blaming Sumatra is on their causality list 🙂
Score: 0115 pts115 pts115 pts115 pts115 ptslesterJune 3, 2018 at 5:37 pm #4781Chris… the EPAM data has been off all day, so I am working a little blinder than usual. The stackplot and Tromso data changed aspect at approx 16:10 UTC, it was Dawn in Numuro Strait, Japan, and the moon was located on the same longitude as our Bay of Plenty Forecast co-ordinates !
Thank for the update in the Madagascar region… without the EPAM’s, its like playing seismic roulette !
Score: 0115 pts115 pts115 ptslesterJune 3, 2018 at 4:15 pm #4778Hey Fred… here is a small example of how the data connects to the scenario I have just posted. If you checkout the ACE-real-time solar wind data display at http://www.swpc.noaa.gov ,you will see a drop in the Phi trace at 14:12 UTC. There is also a corresponding aspect change in the Bx, By, Bt trace lines (a data compression) at this same time. I make the assumption that the activity in the display is related to activity on the Sun, I also make the assumption that this display is “actually” a recording of Seismic anomalies on Earth, and as such, I deduct 8 minutes to compensate for solar EM difference. Therefore the actual contact and aspect change time is 14:04 UTC.
If you input this time in the solar map, you can see that the Dawn, Dusk, Sunrise, Sunset terminator thresholds are located on what we call “the usual suspects”. For instance, it is Sunrise in the Chignik Lake region, Alaska… Sunset in Western Xizang, China… Dawn in the Kuril Islands, near Kamchatka etc … usual suspects. However, the reason for the “significant” aspect change lies with the “Moon map”.
If you input 14:04 UTC in the moom map, it shows the SLT (setting lunar terminator) is located on Mona Passage, Dominican Republic. I calculated a 4 minute lunar influence may be present at Moonrise / Moonset times. It basically means the lunar terminator still has influence with seismic anomalies 4 minutes before or after the moon has risen or set. So if the map shows the lunar terminator on Mona passage in this case, then the moon actually set on a location 4 minutes west of this threshold… it was in fact Moonset on the 4.7 Dominican Republic epicentre at 14:04 UTC. The significant contact in the ACE data may be sign that something bigger may occur here, or as I showed earlier, is there a Dominican Republic connection to somewhere more volatile ?. The same moon map is also showing lunar terminator contacts with East Java, the Philippines and the Ryukyu Island region… so this is also a possibility !
I have a big monitor that I usually mark off the “usual suspects” when I see a contact… if I note a Sunrise contact in a particular location, I follow this up by seeing if a Sunset contact is recorded in the ACE data, you then have a starting point… X marks the spot 🙂
Hope you catch the displayed contact ?
Score: 0115 ptslesterJune 3, 2018 at 2:49 pm #4772Ah! a class B 7.9 flux event occurred today at 07:56 UTC (real time), if you input this time in the solar map, it shows it was Sunset on the exact same spot off the coast of Morobo, Eastern P.N.G. as the correlations described above… limb to limb connection between the Earth and Sun !
What is the connection between Eastern P.N.G. and Dominican Republic ?… here is one possible scenario:
If you input 16:33 UTC 1st June in the “Moon map”, it shows the moon is located on longitude 148.166’E, this longitude is approx 10 km’s East of my forecast co-ordinates. Also at this time, the map shows the RLT (rising lunar terminator) is located on the Madagascar forecast co-ordinates on the East side of the Island. If you advance the map time to 16:37 UTC, (4 minute RLT influence !) it is now “Moonrise” on the Madagascar forecast co-ordinates, and the sun is located on longitude 69.783’W… the 4.7 Dominican Republic event occurred on longitude 69.606’W, so it is in fact Solar Noon on this epicentre at this time !.
At 16:59 UTC 1st June (22 minutes later), I discovered I could not pay for the fuel I had just put in my car, because Visa had shut down 🙁
If you utilise the available elements in the maps, it is possible to find the right “pattern” to fit the facts. But it “only” works if the anomalous seismic players on the map “do” actually exist… the kingpin in this particular scenario was Madagascar !!
Score: 0115 ptslesterJune 3, 2018 at 11:33 am #4771Fred… if you want to follow this, we use the maps in http://www.timeanddate.com
For the “moon light world map”, click on “sun & moon” in the headers…
Score: 0115 ptslesterJune 3, 2018 at 11:25 am #4770Chris… if you input 20:15 UTC 2nd June in the solar Map, and 09:14 UTC today in the same map… it shows a Sunrise / Dusk convergence on my forecast co-ordinates off the coast of Morobo, Eastern P.N.G.. 20:15 UTC is included above in relation to the EPAM data termination, and 09:14 UTC is the time the 4.7 occurred in the Dominican Republic… interesting ??
Score: 0115 ptslesterJune 2, 2018 at 11:06 pm #4763Chris… a structure formed in the EPAMp data peaking at 22:12 UTC, it was Dawn on Simeulue Island, North Sumatra… that makes 3 hits today in the same spot !. I am speculating a high 4 or low 5 will occur here soon, it may then continue to build up to a more significant mag level in the coming days.
Hey Fred… I am glad you could join us, you will have to forgive my tardiness, but my UK clock is telling me it is bed time. You have spoken on some interesting points, and I look forward to talking with you tomorrow.
IV drip… I like that one 🙂
Score: 0115 pts115 pts115 pts115 ptslesterJune 2, 2018 at 8:58 pm #4758I posted a “new” Guatemala forecast,the last one was from 27th April and we hit the 5.6 El Salvador event with it… so I think we got our money’s worth 🙂
A round up… the current ACE data is showing an aspect change at 17:00 UTC, the moon was located on longitude 153.250’E New Ireland Region… you may also recall yesterday, visa went off line at 16:59 UTC, so a solar connection is still prominent ! The next aspect change possibly relates to Guatemala, as explained earlier. I currently have nothing on my model for the next aspect change at 19:20 UTC, but it is 3 minutes off the Bay of Plenty co-ordinates… I’ll keep an eye on that one !. At 19:52 UTC, this Phi contact and aspect change relates to Dusk in Ascension Islands region, and Sunrise in New Ireland Region… it is also Dusk in “Greece” again.
At 20:02 UTC, data feed breaks started appearing in the Mag traces, it was Dusk on Halmahara , Indonesia. This is backed up by an EPAMe spike which started to develop at 20:02 UTC, but never peaked because both EPAM data feeds terminated at 20:15 UTC (real time). At 20:15 UTC, it was Sunset on the Drake Passage Co-ordinates… Sunrise on my forecast Off the coast of Morobo, Eastern P.N.G…. the RLT was located on my South Sandwich Forecast co-ordinates… and the SLT was located on Nikol’Skoye Island, Russia !
They resumed operation at 20:35 UTC (real time) at which point the RLT was on “Crete” again !
Score: 0115 ptslesterJune 2, 2018 at 7:54 pm #4755Taiwan is likely to produce a high 5 or low 6, the stackplot data you posted shows there is a definite anomaly present there. However, primary focus in your data clearly lies with the Halmahara / Philippines region, Halmahara recently came on to the radar, and I made a determination (call) based on Sunset / Dusk contacts. Unfortunately for me, the 5.7 Kepulauan Talaud epicentre shared the same thresholds… another reason why you should gather as much data as possible before posting !
There is an aspect change and Phi contact in the ACE data at 18:12 UTC -8 LS = 18:04 UTC, it was Solar Noon in Guatemala. The contact stands alone (not crowded by close proximity data), which means it could be significant… Guatemala was part of the 11:42 UTC EPAMp structure scenario earlier today, so I think I will chance reactivating our forecast ?
Score: 0115 ptslesterJune 2, 2018 at 3:34 pm #4748Chris… I think you should consider taking up the reins on Taiwan, it would not be valid if I joined you at this stage. Besides, I have two 6+ hits to my name here already… call it a “new life” gift 🙂 . You can find co-ordinates in my “old” Taiwan forecast, there are two sets but I would go with the first set (original).
If I see any more data for Simeulue Island… we can meet up there later 🙂
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