Forum Replies Created
-
115 ptslesterJune 2, 2018 at 2:49 pm #4747
A structure has formed in the EPAMp data, starting at 11:42 UTC and peaking at 12:57 UTC. At 11:42 UTC,it was Sunrise on 91.950’W – 13.830’N Offshore Guatemala… Sunset on 96.080’E – 2.600’N Pulau Simeulue Island, North Sumatra… Moonset on 43.716’W – 10.816’N Verna Fracture Zone (!)… the moon was located on longitude 129.800’W, the opposite longitude calculates as 50.200’E Madagascar.
At 12:57 UTC, it was Dusk on 96.080’E – 2.600’N Pulau Simeulue Island, North Sumatra !!
Score: 0115 ptslesterJune 2, 2018 at 1:55 pm #4745Something interesting… M 5.6 Southwest of Gataivai, Samoa
The T sequence shows it was Dawn and Sunset on this epicentre “yesterday” at 16:38 UTC – 05:10 UTC respectively. If you input these times in the moon map, see how the lunar terminators pivot on the Madagascar forecast co-ordinates !!
Visa central in Leeds, UK is claiming the problem was the result of hardware failure. If you input 20:27 UTC 1st June in the moon map, it shows it was Sunset in Leeds, UK at this time, and the setting lunar terminator was located 135 km’s Southwest of Gataivai, Samoa. There is a 3.5 hour difference between shut down and correlation time, so you have to use a little “Doc & Marty” imagination with this one… 🙂
Solar Noon occurred in Leeds, UK yesterday at 12:04 UTC,it was also Dusk in “Taiwan” at this time !!
Score: 0115 ptslesterJune 2, 2018 at 12:34 pm #4744No! I’m not detecting anything significant for the UK, I think the visa problem is indirectly related to the Sandwich Islands. Do you see the power outage in Singapore at 12:56 UTC 1st June ?, it is the second one they have experienced this week. The first was related to Moonrise in Taiwan, you can see this one also coincides with Moonrise in Taiwan… there is no terminator correlation between Singapore and Taiwan, but a repeat scenario suggests an “indirect” connection.
Another EPAMp spike occurred at 03:57 UTC today, the sun was located on longitude 120.233’E… this was Solar Noon in Taiwan,so it does suggest a growing anomaly is present !. I recently had a forecast here, but it expired 4 days ago… I used up my 20 days in “20 days” 🙁
There was an EPAMp spike prior to this one at 03:22 UTC, it corresponded to Solar Noon in Halmahera, Indonesia !
The 5.5 East of Kuril Islands was within 100 km’s of our Numuro Strait forecast, Unfortunately I was scheduled to update this yesterday,and forgot… sorry about that 🙁
A 4.0 occurred in Guatemala at 02:12 UTC… why does that work ? 🙂
Score: 0115 ptslesterJune 2, 2018 at 12:54 am #4739A few EPAM spikes… 1st June
22:32 UTC EPAMe = Moonset on New Ireland Region
22:42 UTC EPAMe = Dusk on Drake Passage co-ordinates
23:17 UTC EPAMp = moon located on longitude 50.433’E Madagascar
23:22 UTC EPAMe = Sunset off the coast of Ecuador – Sunset in Port-au-Prince, Haiti
It might be a busy weekend ??
Score: 0115 ptslesterJune 1, 2018 at 11:10 pm #4738At 16:58 UTC today, I recorded a “significant”aspect change on my machine. It was Sunset in the South Sandwich Islands Region at this time, and the data was significant enough to prompt me to recalculate and re-adjust my forecast co-ordinates in this region… at 16:59 UTC, the UK visa card payment network shut down (RSOE) !!
Score: 0115 ptslesterJune 1, 2018 at 10:21 pm #4737A proton spike has occurred at 20:12 UTC, it corresponds to Sunset on the Drake Passage co-ordinates. And an electron spike has also occurred at 20:17 UTC, the RLT is located on Greece at this time, and it was Sunrise on my forecast co-ordinates Off the Coast of Morobo, Eastern P.N.G… the satellite didn’t miss it “this time” 🙂
Score: 0115 pts115 ptslesterJune 1, 2018 at 9:27 pm #4735Chris… I spent a few hours playing with numbers in the Caribbean today, the data I have does not fit to any specific region that is not currently showing activity (no significant contacts !). However, the best T sequence location with current high profile connections, appears to be in the Barbados Trough at 130 km’s South of Barbados Island,on co-ordinates 59.520’W – 11.860’N. Sunset occurs on these co-ordinates today at 22:20 UTC, it is Solar Noon on the 6.9 Volcano, Hawaii epicentre at this time. Solar Noon in the Barbados Trough at 15:57 UTC, corresponds with Dusk on the current Mayotte epicentres. Solar Noon on the 4.9 Tonga epicentre which occurred today at 17:00 UTC, occurs at 23:38 UTC… it is Dusk at this time on the Barbados Trough co-ordinates.
I could find nothing to match Dawn or Sunrise, but it maybe early days !
I looked over my post again today, it read like a Caribbean brush off… apologies my friend 🙁
Score: 0115 pts115 pts115 pts115 pts115 pts115 pts115 pts115 pts115 pts115 pts115 pts115 ptslesterMay 30, 2018 at 8:57 pm #4717The current ACE data is showing an aspect change at 18:09 UTC, it is Moonrise on my Sandwich Island forecast co-ordinates, but the RLT is also located on Crete… I expect further activity here because it is on the exact opposite longitude to Volcano, Hawaii. There are also two contacts in Phi at 18:17 UTC and 18:31 UTC. At 18:17 UTC, the moon is located on longitude 99.466’E… the opposite longitude calculates as 80.534’W Off the Coast of Ecuador !. The 18:31 UTC contact is basically a repeat of the 18:32 UTC contact described above from yesterday… with the exception that the RLT is located on Greece.
At 19:52 UTC, a “significant” Phi contact, aspect change and electron spike has occurred, this now confirms an anomalous presence on my New Ireland forecast co-ordinates, as it is Sunrise here at this time. It also confirms an anomaly is present on my Ascension Islands forecast co-ordinates, because it is Dusk here !.
Yesterday at 18:32 UTC, it was Sunrise in the Kuril Islands,East of Numuro Strait (as described above), if you input 19:50 UTC today in the moon map, you will see the SLT occupies the same location !. You may also note 18:31 UTC today (moon map) and 19:50 UTC (solar map) shows a convergence on the same location in Greece !… I “feel” a “felt” event in Greece may be on the cards 🙂
The next Phi contact and aspect change occurred at 20:26 UTC, this unfortunately bypassed my determined location for Eastern P.N.G… I suspect it is instead related to Moonset on San Cristobal Island, in the Solomon’s.
Score: 0115 ptslesterMay 30, 2018 at 5:45 pm #4716Question is… how would the USGS benefit from manipulating the data ?. I noted yesterday a significant contact in the ACE satellite data linked to Volcano, Hawaii “big” time !. Chris has posted data in the chat forum, which also reflects our belief that another major event is probable at this location. With regards USGS, it could be a case of too many chiefs and not enough Indian’s… different people covering different aspects of the event, and not working together.
Apologies for droning on a little yesterday… droning is a symptom of old age 🙂
Score: 0115 ptslesterMay 30, 2018 at 4:00 pm #4715To be honest, I have not seen much in the Caribbean region that has grabbed my attention. There have been several ACE contacts with Dominican Republic over the last 7 days but nothing “significant”… each time a contact occurs it is followed within 24 hours by a 3+ event. If anything, I still favour Port-au-Prince, Haiti as a potential candidate, it is on the same track as my Ecuador forecast co-ordinates. Each time I see something for Ecuador, I post 3 days and a 4+ always follows soon after… but the same contact is also located on Haiti, and nothing is happening here yet !
Speaking of usual suspects, here’s a little combo scenario I have been working on, in relation to the past 24 hours of online data…
Yesterday (29th) at 14:05 UTC, the EPAM data streams resumed operation after an absence of 4 days, the sun was located on longitude 31.883’W at this time… the opposite longitude to this calculates as 148.117’E
The only significant ACE data occurring yesterday was an aspect change between 18:32 UTC – 18:59 UTC. The usual suspects for 18:32 UTC include; Sunrise East of Numuro Strait and Fiji… Dawn on Kyushu and New Ireland Region… and Sunset in Central Italy and Ascension Islands region. One other location that we don’t regard as “usual” is the West side of the South Georgia Islands… it is Sunset here too !.
At 18:59 UTC, it is Sunrise in the South Hokkaido region… Dawn on the Ryukyu Islands, East of Guam towards Pulau, and the Eastern P.N.G. region. Now, if you combine the EPAM data time with 18:59 UTC,it calculates as 148.117’E – 7.190’S Off the Coast of Morobo District, Eastern P.N.G… If you further input 18:59 UTC 29th May in the moon map, you will see that the RLT (rising lunar terminator) is located on the same spot West of the South Georgia Islands !
At 20:30 UTC, the EPAM data streams suffered further disruption again… at this time, it was Moonset on 148.117’E – 7.190’S Off the coast of Morobo District, Eastern P.N.G. !!. A spike occurred in the EPAMe data at 21:40 UTC, the SLT was located on Taiwan and Halmahera. Two further spikes occurred in the the EPAMp data at 22:20 UTC – 23:40 UTC, at 22:20 UTC,the sun was located on longitude 155.633’W = Solar Noon in Volcano, Hawaii… and at 23:40 UTC,it was Moonrise off the coast of Ecuador !!
The significance of the data suggests there will be consequences with any number of locations listed here… and I shall be forecasting Eastern P.N.G. on the basis of what I have shown here.
I seem to have hit Vanuatu with very little effort… so why can’t I get Madagascar ? 🙁
Al B Bak… Austrian version 🙂
Score: 0115 ptslesterMay 29, 2018 at 5:10 pm #4709Chris… the EPAM data streams have resumed operation again at 14:05 UTC, after an absence of 4 days. If you check the moon map, you will see the Sunset / Moonrise terminators have fallen short of converging on the the Madagascar forecast co-ordinates by “8 Minutes”. I am considering weather the “8 minute” shortfall represents a solar re-fractal difference, due to full moon influence which occurred at 12:52 UTC… or maybe there is no relation to Madagascar !
What do you think ?
Score: 0115 ptslesterMay 29, 2018 at 3:48 pm #4708Hi JEC
I noted some significant data on 23rd – 24th May related to Hawaii,the data was relevant to my particular detection method. The 2+ event count for 23rd – 24th May was 73 – 46 respectively… this increased dramatically to 135 on the 25th, and prompted me to post my current forecast. The rate has exceeded the 25th May count over the last 3 days, and seems to suggest a buildup to a potential “explosive” event. Weather the earthquake is tectonic or volcanic, it is “still” a naturally occurring event, and therefore if the magnitude is within the range you posted, it becomes a valid prediction. If on the other hand, you predicted a 5.0 in North Korea, and it coincided with a nuclear test, it would be invalid because the event was man made… and you would probably have a couple of guys in suits and shades knocking on your door 🙂
From your current forecast details, determining a “successful prediction” on this site would have to be negotiated with Ben (SO). I recently completed a 20 day forecast period for Nikol’Skoye Island, Russia. I added a further 7 days on the expiry time because I was following the data, and the data is the science aspect of what we do here. I did this knowing it would not be a valid claim should an event occur here, because I had exceeded the maximum 20 day period allowed for predicting on this site !. Different detection methods produce different results, sometimes you can see a potential seismic event coming many days ahead. Other times you see something major in the data, and catch the actual event within 24 hours. My friend Chris and I have on many occasions missed out on success because our combined efforts favour the former method… and consequently we have missed several 6+ opportunities because of the time period restriction. From a scientific point of view, if your data suggests a potential seismic location, and you have a successful hit within 30 days using a minimal margin of error, it goes against what would be considered as “Chance”… and from my point of view, should count !
Score: 0 -
|