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115 pts115 ptslesterMay 28, 2018 at 7:24 pm #4701
No! its further North to the area I had covered. Two weeks ago, I hit a 5.5 in Guam at 14 Miles from the epicentre, it was posted as a 5.5 with EMSC, but I couldn’t claim it because USGS posted it as 5.2… I have been avoiding the area since, because I am a sore loser 🙂
Score: 0115 pts115 ptslesterMay 28, 2018 at 5:30 pm #4698Yes! I think you have used good judgement for the location in question. This is the kind of area that it is either a 5 or nothing, a bit like the Ascension Islands region… how many 3’s do you recall seeing in the Ascension Islands in a typical week ?
The Madagascar forecast expired yesterday, but there are still 8 allowable days remaining. I am taking a gamble on trying to watch for the right kind of data to proceed further. This is what I have been trying to do with my other forecast locations, been feeling like I am wasting several days on account of one significant sign… don’t know if this will work, but I look like I am taking little bites out of the Earth 🙂
I thought you might spot your co-ordinate error… sleep deprivation does that to you 🙂
Score: 0115 ptslesterMay 28, 2018 at 2:47 pm #4695Chris, something interesting… today’s T sequence for 36.860’N – 12.426’W Hirondelle ll Seamount, Tagus Basin.
Dawn 03:48 UTC = Solar Noon on 122.010’E – 23.800’N Off Coast of Shoufeng, Eastern Taiwan
Sunrise 05:35 UTC = Dawn on 11.370’W – 6.680’S Ascension Islands Region
Sunset 19:59 UTC = Solar Noon on 119.900’W – 36.000’N Avenal / Kettleman City, California… Sunset in La Palma / Tenerife !
Dusk 21:46 UTC = Dawn in Hamelin Bay, South of Perth, Western Australia 🙂
Solar Noon 12:48 UTC = Sunrise on 119.900’W – 36.000’N Avenal / Kettleman City, California
All of these locations (bar Hamelin Bay) are mine and our current active forecasts. As you can see, your forecast location does have correlation with the Canary Islands, and therefore an indirect correlation to the 6.9 Hawaii epicentre !
I would say this is a typical example of why we ruled out “simple coincidence” !
Score: 0115 ptslesterMay 28, 2018 at 10:42 am #4694Chris… I recorded another significant contact yesterday at 22:18 UTC, it was Solar Noon on the 6.9 Hawaii epicentre.
Note of interest… Dusk occurred on the 6.9 Hawaii epicentre today at 05:16 UTC, also at this time, it was Sunrise in La Palma / Tenerife, Canary Isles !
Misadventures of the seismic kind… I like that 🙂
Score: 0115 ptslesterMay 27, 2018 at 9:09 pm #4690Hello Fred, the door is always open to you here… if you don’t mind a little dry humour, and trying a few crazy ideas, you will fit right in 🙂
If you have been monitoring the chat, you will have seen that Chris and I have been experimenting with different data sets, which primarily focus on solar / lunar terminator contacts with potential seismic locations. It kind of works but the hit-miss ratio is currently not in our favour. Our method does find a high percentage of active regions, but we also suffer a high percentage of failures due to low magnitude results. Chris was looking into Guam yesterday, and a 4.9 has occurred there earlier today. I saw something for Guatemala, posted accordingly, and a 4.4 occurred there a couple of hours before this post. As I said in my first line, the terminator hypothesis is a crazy idea and a little hard to get your head round, but Chris was on Guam and I am in Guatemala because we followed the terminator !!
Fully understand Fred if this is not something you would wish to peruse with us, if I recall, you had an interest in lay lines ?… we sometimes talk about movies and maternity issues too 🙂 (dry humour !)
Chris… I keep seeing Madagascar too, but the action keeps occurring in Myottee… I think we are going to get blown on this one due to the available time period again !.
Adorable pictures my friend… you truly have been blessed 🙂
Score: 0115 pts115 pts115 ptslesterMay 26, 2018 at 10:54 am #4678Oh, you know… its a bit quiet since my partner went on maternity leave 🙂
Tried my luck on Hawaii again, I noted 4 significant contacts in the last 48 hours, and there was an uptick in quake numbers yesterday at 138 events of 2+… the day before, there were 46 !
How is little Connor doing ?
Score: 0115 pts115 pts115 pts115 pts115 pts115 pts115 ptslesterMay 23, 2018 at 8:21 pm #4664The ACE EPAM data streams resumed operation today at 17:55 -8 LS = 17:47 UTC, after an absence of four days. Their reappearance did not coincide with any terminator thresholds being located on any part of Madagascar Island. However, at 17:47 UTC, it was Moonset on the 4.0 Taiwan epicentre (above) which occurred at 08:30 UTC today !!
Score: 0115 pts115 pts115 pts115 pts115 ptslesterMay 22, 2018 at 3:41 pm #4655OH! I went to bed “smiling” last night…. what a beautiful baby you have, and such a grand name, you must be very proud 🙂
Many congratulations to you and your wife from the “Lester” household. We had a toast in “Connor’s” honour with some JD I found in an old cupboard… might be another reason why I went to bed smiling 🙂
Good show my friend 🙂
Score: 0115 pts115 ptslesterMay 20, 2018 at 5:14 pm #4642I’m grateful you posted the USGS “chemical explosion” link…. I was beginning to second guess myself !
It could be crowd management, or media damage control… considering the Island must be swarming with scientists by now, they don’t seem to be able to get their facts straight !
I worked some data last week that prompted me to increase magnitude range with my forecast in Hawaii (which has now expired),I have been waiting for similar data to show before re-posting… but there is currently no indication of a repeat.
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