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115 pts115 ptslesterApril 1, 2018 at 8:13 pm #4214
I think you should continue investigating particulate matter in relation to your static build up theory… it might lead to a better working theory to help determine spontaneous events. We can spend many days gathering data for a particular location, only to be let down with a low Magnitude result. The high mag events seem to come out of nowhere, therefore, there has to be a catalyse that develops within a 48 hour period. It might be interesting to see what developed before the Banda Sea event, I recognised the signal as a seismic contact, but it looked no different from signal related to a 4.9 in Sumatra… there is no distinction between a big spike and small spike so to speak, in making a determination of magnitude. You are doing right by including different location aspects into the equation… the rare ones like Iceland and New Zealand are sometimes the hidden key that fits everything else together.
Whilst you have been drawing up theories, I have been constructing my own circuit board today (or in my case… valve radio 🙂 ). I used the two greatest flux events of the last 3 days to determine a correlation with an old friend of ours… it seems to give evidence for us to “consider” a retry !
On 30th March, a class C 4.6 flux event occurred at 08:04 UTC -8 LS = 07:56 UTC… at 07:56 UTC, it was Dusk on 169.731’E – 20.651’S, epicentre of today’s 4.7 Isangel Island, Vanuatu event. The event itself is nothing to get exited about, but the trail does get warmer. The T sequence shows Solar Noon occurred here today at 00:46 UTC, it was Moonrise at this time on 91.950’W – 13.830’N Offshore Guatemala… our old friend !.
Today, a class B 9.0 flux event occurred at 13:08 UTC -8 LS = 13:00 UTC… at 13:00 UTC, it was Moonrise on 91.960’E – 25.960’N North of Shillong, Meghalaya (you may recall these are my current forecast co-ordinates). Also at this time, it was Moonset on our Guatemala co-ordinates. When it was Moonset on my Meghalaya co-ordinates at 00:20 UTC today, it was Sunset on the Guatemala co-ordinates.
If you go back to 30th March (day of the C 4.6), it was Sunrise in Guatemala and Sunset in Meghalaya on their respective co-ordinates at 12:08 UTC !!. The 4.7 that occurred in Guatemala today was the highest magnitude event of 2018 in this location. I am speculating all the recent activity in Oaxaca, Mexico may be building up stress on the Southeast fault. I have been reviewing all the data and combo’s we posted over the past several weeks, it is as I mentioned the other day, overwhelming !!… are you game for a retry ?
My head still hurts… trust my sister to go cheap on the booze 🙁
btw – an aspect change has occurred in the MAG data at 17:30 UTC, it was Solar Noon on 81.030’W – 21.620’N Jagua Bank, Cuba !
Score: 0115 ptslesterApril 1, 2018 at 2:36 pm #4210T sequence for 137.980’E – 37.870’N Toyama Trough, 20 km’s East of Sado Island, Japan… 31st March
Dawn 19:07 UTC = Dusk on 13.48’E – 42.36’N L’Aquila, Central Italy (3.9 epicentre 31/3)
Sunrise 20:36 UTC = Moonset on 145.900’E – 44.470’N Numuro Strait, Hokkaido (B&T)… exactly 12 hours later at 08:35:25 UTC, a 5.3 occurred on the Iran-Iraq border !
Sunset 09:10 UTC = Dusk on 6.9 New Britain Region epicentre 29/3… Dusk on 6.6 New Britain Region epicentre 26/3
Dusk 10:38 UTC = Dusk on 6.6 Banda Sea epicentre 25/3… Moonset on 3.9 Mona Passage epicentre 29/3
Solar Noon 02:53 UTC = Moonset on 5.3 Iran-Iraq epicentre 1/4 !!
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T sequence for 142.960’E – 36.850’N Japan Trench, 185 km’s East of Iwaki,Japan… 31st MarchDawn 18:48 UTC = Sunset on 5.6 Southern Mid-Atlantic Ridge epicentre 17/3… Sunrise on 4.7 Isangel Island, Vanuatu epicentre 1/4
Sunrise 20:16 UTC = Dawn on 6.6 Banda Sea epicentre 25/3
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T sequence for 145.040’E – 40.875’N Erimo Seamount, 180 km’s Southeast of Hokkaido… 31st MarchDawn 18:32 UTC = Solar Noon on 96.775’W – 35.541’N 10 km’s NW of Prague, Oklahoma (2.6 epicentre 1/4) 🙂
…………………………………………………………………………………..I could not find Hitachi-Goyot Seamount, could you post co-ordinates or another close seamount for reference… maybe my head is not clear yet ?. I found no significant correlations 200 km’s East of Miyako, so I moved down the trench and found the listed correlations above East of Iwaki. In my opinion, Toyama Trough shows the most potential for a seismic connection to the big guys, and it does have an uncanny connection to the 5.3 Iran-Iraq event !
Bill & Ted have Hokkaido covered, I have a centre spot, I think you should take South… in this way, we can all meet in P.N.G. later 🙂
Score: 0115 ptslesterApril 1, 2018 at 1:09 pm #4208Chris… checkout the Aspect changes in the MAG and SWEPAM data at 11:16 UTC -8 LS = 11:08 UTC, they match Sunrise on our Chile forecast co-ordinates !. Problem is, they also match with Concepcion, Bio Bio… but this is still within our margin.
Working on your Japan query… already found a couple of surprise correlations !
More later…
Score: 0115 ptslesterMarch 31, 2018 at 9:20 pm #4206Hey Chris,
Just got back from an Easter family gathering, Unfortunately a couple of sherry’s have put my eyes beyond the help of my reading glasses… it could have been three actually 🙂 However,a preliminary look shows Sado Island,Japan includes the 6.6 Banda Sea event, and the 6.9 New Britain region event in its T sequence. Also included is the recent 3.9 Central Italy with 77 EMSC felt responses… small quakes can be on the same track too remember ! The big quakes suggest this is a potentially good location, I was trying to work a 09:10 UTC MAG aspect change this morning, I matched it on Vancouver Island… but it also fits here too !. Hope this helps, I’ll do a full workup tomorrow… now, where did I leave my coffee pot ? 🙂
Score: 0115 pts115 ptslesterMarch 30, 2018 at 11:39 pm #4193Chris… I spotted an error with the Chile forecast, the math works for 60 km’s off the coast of Constitucion “Maule”. I mistakenly wrote Conceptcion in my notes… Concepcion is in Bio Bio
Should I make amends to the forecast ? the co-ordinates are correct, only the location name is wrong.
Score: 0115 pts115 ptslesterMarch 29, 2018 at 10:31 pm #4189Hey Chris… here are a few notes I made today, a bit of a mixed bag but I think you will get the idea…
Dusk on the chile co-ordinates occurred today at 00:16 UTC, it was Solar Noon on White Island Ridge, Bay of Plenty, NZ at this time.
Solar Noon on the Chile co-ordinates tomorrow (30th) occurs at 16:57 UTC, it will be Dawn on White Island Ridge, Bay of Plenty, NZ at this time. At 11:03 UTC, it was Sunrise on the Chile co-ordinates, and Dusk in Okinawa, Ryukyu Islands.An aspect change occurred today at 11:20 UTC, I combined it with previous data and it was a match for Sunrise on 81.030’W – 21.620’N Jagua Bank, Cuba. Moonrise occurred today on the Chile co-ordinates at 22:07 UTC, it was also Moonrise on the Cuba Co-ordinates at this time !. Dusk on the Cuba co-ordinates occurred at 00:53 UTC, it was also Sunset in Cherokee, Oklahoma (might be one to watch !).
An aspect change at 10:14 UTC (listed above) correlates to Dusk on 145.900’E – 44.470’N Numuro Strait, Hokkaido.
The original Numuro Strait combo consisted of two aspect changes at 08:40 UTC and 11:02 UTC on 27th March (as posted on 27th). Also on 27th at 08:40 UTC, it was Dusk on 159.561’E – 9.419’S Honiara,Solomon Islands !… Numuro and Honiara share a parallel T connection. Sunset occurred today in Honiara at 07:28 UTC, the rising Lunar terminator was located on Okinawa, Ryukyu Islands
A 6.9 has occurred in P.N.G. at 21:25:36 UTC, Sunrise in Okinawa occurred today at 21:25 UTC !!
On second thoughts… perhaps we should just park ourselves in P.N.G. 🙂
Score: 0115 pts115 pts115 ptslesterMarch 29, 2018 at 12:19 pm #4181Chris… there have been three significant aspect changes up to the time of this post; 08:50 UTC… 09:18 UTC… 10:14 UTC.
I have combined the first “time” with the two 11:02 UTC’s, and this is how it reads…
11:02 UTC on 27th – 28th = Sunrise + 08:50 UTC 29th = Moonset on 73.035’W – 35.165’S 60 km’s Off Coast of Constitucion, Maule, Chile.
Sunrise here on the 26th – 29th occurred at 11:01 UTC – 11:03 UTC respectively
Do you have anything for here ?
More later…
Score: 0115 ptslesterMarch 28, 2018 at 5:09 pm #4178Chris,
The most significant time today is 11:02 UTC !… here are the calculations for the MAG data times yesterday
27/3 08:40 UTC – Sunset on 145.900’E – 44.470’N Nemuro Strait,Hokkaido, Japan
27/3 11:02 UTC – Moon was located on longitude 145.900’E… Dawn on 98.540’W – 36.270’N Fairview, Oklahoma
27/3 11:18 UTC – Moonset on 111.070’W – 44.490’N Yellowstone NP
27/3 11:36 UTC – Dusk on 111.070’W – 44.490’N Yellowstone NP11:02 UTC today is a repeat “Dusk” time on 127.740’E – 26.290’N Okinawa, Ryukyu Islands… a repeat “Dawn” time on 93.735’W – 15.390’N Offshore Chiapas, Mexico… and it is also Dawn today in Mooreland, Oklahoma
Sunrise in Mooreland, Oklahoma occurs today at 12:30 UTC… there is a Dawn / Moonset convergence 10 km’s North of Gilroy, CA at this time
A MAG Phi contact at 14:56 UTC had Moonrise on Iceland again !
Score: 0115 ptslesterMarch 27, 2018 at 6:23 pm #4176In relation to your Iceland / Jan Mayen photos, I have found something you might find interesting. I have often mentioned how small events can sometimes lead the way to something more substantial. The 4.4 Kazakhstan (above) is an example, it leads me to believe a strong seismic connection with Banda Aceh is a posibility. Something about this quake had 190+people reporting a felt response on the EMSC site, this is what got my attention in the first place. The only other event yesterday to reach double response figures was the 3.4 Central Italy event at 22:44 UTC. Further to this, I am still searching for a correlation to the Deep 5.1 NZ event you mentioned on 25th March… Sunrise on this epicentre occurred today at 06:38 UTC. If you input 22:44 UTC 26/3 in the solar map, and 06:38 UTC today in the moon map, notice how they are related to Iceland… can you see the Sunrise / Moonset convergence ?
We don’t believe in coincidences do we 🙂
Also today, I have logged 4 aspect changes in the MAG data occurring at 08:40 UTC… 11:02 UTC… 11:18 UTC… 11:36 UTC. My calculations suggest these times relate to Yellowstone National Park, Fairview, Oklahoma and the Hokkaido Peninsula. Unfortunately, my google Earth is refusing to co-operate today, so I am currently unable to give more precise details. However, cross referencing Suncalc.net, Yellowstone appears to be 111’W – 44’N… they all seem to occur here anyway, the last one was a 3.0 25th Feb. Hokkaido shows as longitude 145.900’E, and everybody knows where Fairview, Oklahoma is… right ? 🙂
These will be small, so not worth perusing for a forecast, but 11:18 UTC may hold significance because my equipment recorded something at this time too !
Score: 0115 pts115 pts115 ptslesterMarch 26, 2018 at 8:00 pm #4171Chris… I have been looking at the deep Ecuador, El Hoyo and New Zealand events you mentioned, I have found commonality with these locations to Banda Aceh, Sumatra… but not with each other. However, I am currently trying to find purpose in the “Hamlin Bay” connection. The math gave a lead to Trinidad & Tobago, but it was a bit thin… now thanks to your observations,I have been able to formulate a possible scenario.
19th March – My MOT 2 machine recorded a significant signal at 23:22 UTC, Calculation (revised) determined this to be a Moonset / Dusk convergence on 60.740’W – 10.190’N Off East Coast of Trinidad & Tobago (ref: post of March 19 3:07 pm)
21st March – At 22:25 UTC, it was Sunset on 63.328’W – 26.770’S El Hoyo, Argentina (pre-seismic occurrence 25/3)… also at this time,it was Sunrise on 115.024’E – 34.222’S Hamalin Bay, South of Perth, Western Australia.
25th March – The Ace data feeds did not resume operations in the usual 06:00 UTC time frame, instead it established display at 10:05 UTC,but only for a brief 10 minutes. At 10:05 UTC,it was Sunrise on the Trinidad & Tobago co-ordinates. Several hours later at 16:09 UTC, a significant aspect change occurred in the MAG data, the sun was on longitude 60.766’W… it was Solar Noon on the Trinidad & Tobago co-ordinates !
28th March – At 10:22 UTC, it will be Sunrise on the 5.6 El Hoye, Argentina epicentre 25/3… and Sunset in Hamalin Bay on the co-ordinates stated. Also on the 28th March, it will be Moonset on the Trinidad & Tobago co-ordinates at 07:44 UTC, and Moonset in Hamalin Bay at 19:44 UTC… an exact 12 hours !
29th March – At 20:50 UTC, it will be Moonset in Hamalin Bay…and Moonrise on the Trinidad & Tobago co-ordinates. Also on the 29th March at 22:15 UTC, it will be Sunset on the 5.6 El Hoye, Argentina epicentre 25/3… Sunset on the Trinidad & Tobago co-ordinates… and Moonrise on 80.000’W – 0.360’N, epicentre of the 3.8 Near Coast of Ecuador event (750 km depth !).
I posted some websites with the Hamalin Bay list, that can be used to verify this if required. I don’t know if this is going to lead to a conclusion, but it is strange how post seismic, potential seismic and non seismic locations can be moulded to form a picture !
I was saddened by the plight of so many whales in Hamalin Bay, this is why I compiled the list above. Whales use Earth’s magnetic field for navigation, therefore something is disrupting their satnav’s. My method uses post seismic locations to go from A to B to C and so on, it only works if I use the assumption that there is some kind of energy transfer between sites. I once had a successful prediction for a high mag event in New Zealand, my basis for this was the fact that a number of Whales had beached themselves on the Kent Coast, Southeast England the week before… I speculated an opposite longitude effect. This is one reason my focus has been on Trinidad & tobago, moving 210 Km’s West of here is Cariaco Basin, off the coast of Venezuela on longitude 64.976’W… this is the true opposite longitude to Hamalin Bay. It does not fit with the scenario above, but it does correlate to a second option… Banda Aceh !
On 22nd March at 23:41 UTC, it was Dusk on the pre-seismic epicentre of El Hoye, Argentina… Dusk on 64.976’W – 10.588’N Cariaco Basin, Venezuela… and Sunrise on 96.470’E – 5.040’N Banda Aceh, North Sumatra (this was the day the whales started coming ashore !). On 29th March at 22:30 UTC, it will be Dawn in Banda Aceh on the co-ordinates stated, and Sunrise on 115.024’E – 34.222’S Hamalin Bay… in effect, a parallel T connection !. If you include this time in the scenario above, a lot is going to be happening on the 29th related to Hamalin Bay… I believe pre-seismic energy from either Trinidad & Tobago or Banda Aceh sent them off course ?
“Main stream” marine biologists have been talking to the press about mass suicide theories… what do you think ??
Chris… I would like to thank you again for your positive comments in your post of yesterday, to an extent the method works but I think a younger brain is needed if all 6+ events are going to have a chance of being pre-detected in the future. The fact that you knew these deep quakes had significance shows that you know what to watch for… I think your talent is wasted as a counselor 🙂
Oh yes! Jan Mayen… I have been playing “captain Ahab” for two days, I forgot about Jan Mayen 🙂 I’ll get back into quake mode and let you know what I find…
Score: 0115 pts115 ptslesterMarch 25, 2018 at 10:06 pm #4164I think there is a flaw in my method… 5.4 Tonga, one of mine… 5.7 Izu Islands, one of mine… I spent days working these and missed them on magnitude. I make a casual remark to you about Banda Sea, and miss a 6.4 🙂 you are right, there is a funny side to this (lol)
How come the NZ and Ecuador events are not listed with USGS / EMSC… do they have a depth limit or something ?
Score: 0115 pts115 ptslesterMarch 25, 2018 at 9:00 pm #4161Hey Chris,
I’m afraid time has not allowed me to “respond in kind” to your post today… but I hope to find time tomorrow.
Glad that you updated your Venezuela forecast… further calculations on the Hamalin Bay list suggests a biological response to possible seismic activity “due” in the Trinidad & Tobago region !
Just noticed a 6.4 has occurred in the Banda Sea (ref: post of March 23, 5:16 pm)… not bad for a guess 🙂
Score: 0115 pts115 ptslesterMarch 24, 2018 at 9:45 pm #4155Those initials are starting to get a bit boring don’t you think ?. I have had a strange day, I started by checking out the Ethiopia event, and stumbled onto something that might be of interest to “Ben”.
Hey Ben… I have compiled the following seismic events list as a kind of Biological Hypothesis. I general use my own programs, but in the interest of online verification, I have used the following websites: timeanddate.com … sunrisesunsetmap.com … suncalc.net
11th March Moonset 06:46 UTC = Sunrise on M 5.7 Southern Mid-Atlantic Ridge epicentre 17/3
12th March Moonset 07:32 UTC = Sunset on M 5.0 Solomon Islands epicentre 18/3
13th March Moonrise 18:55 UTC = Sunrise on M 5.3 Vanuatu epicentre 19/3
14th March Moonset 08:55 UTC = Moonset on M 5.2 Java, Indonesia epicentre 19/3
15th March Moonrise 20:47 UTC = Sunrise on M 5.3 East Coast Honshu, Japan epicentre 19/3
16th March Moonrise 21:45 UTC = Sunrise on M 5.0 Molucca Sea epicentre 22/3
…………………………. Sunrise on M 5.1 Philippines epicentre 24/3
16th March Moonset 10:08 UTC = Dusk on M 5.2 East Coast Honshu, Japan epicentre 22/3
………………………… Sunset on M 5.4 Sulawesi, Indonesia epicentre 18/3
17th March New Moon – No correlations were determined
18th March Moonset 11:16 UTC = Dusk on M 5.4 Sulawesi,Indonesia epicentre 18/3
19th March Moonset 11:50 UTC = Moonset on M 5.2 Taiwan epicentre 20/3
20th March Moonrise 00:46 UTC = Sunset on M 5.2 Guerrero, Mexico epicentre 20/3
21st March Moonrise 01:50 UTC = Moonset on M 5.2 Central Peru epicentre 13/3
22nd March Moonrise 02:52 UTC = Moonrise on M 5.2 Java, Indonesia epicentre 19/3
22nd March Moonset 13:48 UTC = Moonrise on M 5.5 South Sandwich Islands epicentre 16/3
23rd March Moonrise 03:58 UTC = Moonrise on M 5.3 Myanmar epicentre 7/3
24th March Moonset 15:30 UTC = Sunset on M 5.2 Ethiopia epicentre 24/3These Moonrise / Moonset times and dates relate to 115.024’E – 34.222’S Hamalin Bay, South of Perth, Western Australia !
On 22nd March, it was Solar Noon in Hamalin Bay at 04:27 UTC, also at this time it was Sunset on 153.345’W – 56.112’N, epicentre of the 4.5 Kodiak Island event 24/3… several events in this region that followed this occurrence, also correlate to this time.
Ben, should I consider this data as coincidental… or do you think it has some significance ??
Score: 0115 ptslesterMarch 23, 2018 at 6:33 pm #4149BTW – I have just run a T sequence on 168.940’E – 54.400’N Nikol’Skoye, it has a “double T connection” with Chignik Lake, Alaska, The sequence also shows it is Sunrise here at 18:39 UTC, the sun will be on longitude 98.116’W… meaning Solar Noon in Enid,Oklahoma 🙂
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