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115 ptslesterJanuary 18, 2018 at 10:19 pm #3645
Chris / Hook … I have just put my combination theory to the test, by posting a 48 hour forecast on Bougainville !
As mentioned above, the ACE data feed stopped on the 16th Jan at 08:02 UTC, it re-established opperation at 09:15 UTC. At the time of this post, I am observing another Data break at 18:23 UTC… these times correspond to Dawn / Sunset / Dusk on 155.440’E – 5.440’S Bougainville
The T sequence shows Sunrise here at 19:38 UTC… it is also Dawn at this time on the 5.7 Kuril epicentre. Sunset occurred at 08:02 UTC (same time as the 16th), so as mentioned, it is also Dusk on the 5.9 Fiji epicentre. Solar Noon occurred at 01:49 UTC, also at this time it was Sunset on 105.750’W – 22.433’S, this is the location the sun occupied in the sun / moon / night equation above at 19:09 UTC 6th Jan.
The 5.9 Fiji event occurred within 48 hours of the data breaks… I am speculating that this period will repeat !
Score: 0115 ptslesterJanuary 18, 2018 at 8:41 pm #3643BTW – two points I forgot to mention, Solar Noon today on the 7.6 Honduras epicentre occurred at 17:47 UTC… the 5.6 South of Tual, Indonesia occurred at 17:48 UTC !!
Also I have completed calculations for the next sun / moon / night equation, this occurs on 27th Jan at 21:01 UTC… the combination lays “heavy” on 115.490’W – 30.940’N 10 km’s North of Santa Cruz, Baja California. If you recall we had a “Doc and Marty” connection with El Salvador on the last attempt… something could occur here too before the stated time and date !!
Score: 0115 ptslesterJanuary 18, 2018 at 7:47 pm #3642Hey Chris,
You have given a very good detailed description above… and compliment you on the easy to understand format by which you have compiled this. I believe it is possible that there are many different trigger scenario’s responsible for instigating seismic activity, but I also firmly believe at the root of all these scenario’s, the main instigator is “combination”.
I don’t know if you tried my EPAMe piece yesterday, but you have to ask the question, how can two data sets and an earthquake all correlate with a single dot on a screen ? two or three minutes either way and none of these would be an issue!. I believe seismic activity works like an Earth clock, and therefore pre-destined to occur by means of the right combination… what we see in the data is the buildup to inevitability !
If we are talking trigger theories… let us look at one that has occurred today. A 5.7 occurred Northwest of the Kuril Islands at 12:08:52 UTC, if we look at the T&D map related to this time, how do we determine what triggered the quake from noting where the sun / Moon and terminator are positioned at this time ?… this is what I see…
Firstly… it is Sunrise on 83.59’W – 17.40’N, this is the epicentre of the 7.6 North of Honduras event, does this mean there was some kind of energy transfer between Honduras and the Kuril Islands ?… no, because the T sequence for both locations shows they have no direct terminator or Solar Noon contact. The 7.6 Honduras quake was the first major event in 26 days, of all the minutes in a day why would the Kuril quake occur on the exact minute it was Sunrise here ?
Second… the longitude of the sun at this time was 0.383’E, the opposite longitude to this is 179.617’W. On 16th Jan, a 5.9 occurred in the Fiji Region on longitude 179.220’W… so technically speaking, the sun is on the opposite Solar Noon longitude to the 5.9 Fiji epicentre. So.. the map shows Sunrise on the 7.6 Honduras epicentre, and an opposite Solar Noon on the 5.9 Fiji event… thus we have the makings of a possible trigger combination!. The connection between the Fiji epicentre and the Kuril Islands lies with the Dusk terminator threshold. In my description yesterday, I mentioned that on 16th Jan at 08:02 UTC, the ACE data feed stopped for a short period… and how it was related to the Fiji epicentre. If you input this time in the map, you will see it is Dusk on the Fiji epicentre, but it is also Dusk on the 5.7 Kuril epicentre !!. The next question is; if the Honduras event occurred on the 10th Jan, Fiji on the 16th, and an ACE recorded T connection between Fiji and Kuril also on the 16th… why did the Kuril event not occur yesterday ?. The Sun and terminator were in this same position at this time yesterday… however, the only thing different was the “moons” position !
Third… another item in my post yesterday, was a listing of night distances related to the sun and moon, the last one was dated 6th Jan at 19:09 UTC. The longitudes of the sun and moon at this time was sun 105.794’W – moon 138.783’E equalling 115.457 degrees apart (as measured East from the moons position). Measuring in the opposite direction equates to 244.532 degrees, the centre point between sun and moon in this case would be 122.266 degrees, or put another way, the longitude relative to Earth would be 16.516’W. The centre of the moon was on this longitude at 12:07:10 UTC today… 102 seconds later, the 5.7 occurred in the Kuril Islands!. If you take into account that I do not have the resources of the USGS, nor do I posses a super computer in my home… my calculations are determined with pen and paper, if you discount 102 seconds of human error, the moon is dead centre to the 6th Jan solar / lunar positions !!
From the outside, this could pass as a good combination and plausible reason why the earthquake occurred. With nearly all 5.5+ events, I can find a combination to fit the picture… but these are after the fact. I have endeavoured for years to try and get ahead of the action with my combo technic… but realistically, I know I would only achieve this if I had the resources of the USGS, or a super computer in my home 🙂
For all the detail and locations listed in this description, one location still stands alone… the 7.6 Honduras epicentre, the only thing it will relate to is the “time” that the Kuril event occurred at!
I now leave this for review by the “Master Dragon Jammer” himself 🙂
Score: 0115 pts115 ptslesterJanuary 17, 2018 at 10:02 pm #3633The following times and dates relate to the longitude distance between the sun and moon, being equal to the length of night on the suns latitude. You will not appreciate what I am trying to show you… unless you try this on your own screen with a T&D map !
8th Dec 2017 – 02:20 UTC … sun/moon distance = 114.649 degrees
28th Dec 2017 – 07:33 UTC .. sun/moon distance = 112.949 degrees
6th Jan 2018 – 19:09 UTC … sun/moon distance = 115.457 degreesOn 8th Dec at 02:20 UTC, the geocentric position of the sun was 142.949’E – 22.716’S over Queensland, Australia (Dot the Sun).
Sunset on the co-ordinates stated occurred at 09:00 UTC, input this time and you will see it is also Dawn on the 7.1 Peru epicentre !
………………………………………………………………………………….On 28th Dec at 07:33 UTC, the geocentric position of the sun was 69.149’E – 23.266’S over the Indian Ocean (Dot the Sun)
Sunrise on the co-ordinates stated occurred at 05:53 UTC, input this time and you will see it is also Dusk on the 7.1 Peru epicentre !
………………………………………………………………………………….On 6th Jan at 19:08:17 UTC, the moon was on longitude 138.966’E… when the 7.6 North of Honduras occurred at 02:51:32 UTC on the 10th Jan, the sun was on longitude 138.966’E !!
Here is an ACE example… did you happen to note the two electron spikes which occurred in the ACE EPAMe data on 15th Jan at 23:07 UTC, and 16th Jan at 07:07 UTC ?… input the second time of 07:07 UTC, and dot the sun. Now input the first time of 23:07 UTC 15th Jan, you can see it is now Dawn on the sun dot!. On 16th Jan at 15:04 UTC, a 5.9 occurred near the coast of Nicaragua, input this time and look at the sun dot… this is a trigger point on the Earth, but how did it get there ?
Here’s another resent ACE connection… on 14th Jan, a short period data break occurred in the ACE data feeds starting at 17:33 UTC. On 16th Jan, another one occurred starting at 08:02 UTC. 17:33 UTC and 08:02 UTC corresponds to Sunrise / Dusk on the 5.9 Fiji Region epicentre !!
I have not been able to put my finger on the trigger mechanism, but the small example of probable cause above suggests the terminator as the likely instigator of seismic events. As Chris was mentioning earlier, our forecasts are failing mostly because they are not reaching the posted magnitudes. The time is also an issue but basically it is just a game period on this site, and not relevant to the science… but we are “actually” hitting the targets by using our own terminator methods.
So there you have it, my small contribution to this discussion… who’s next 🙂
What is a dragon jammar…is this a “Thrones” thing ?
Score: 0115 pts115 pts115 pts115 pts115 ptslesterJanuary 16, 2018 at 8:57 pm #3622Well… nobody can accuse you of “not” being consistent 🙂
I think I would be tempted to stay in the 5.5 – 6.5 range until any notable activity was forthcoming from the sun, our efforts are being wasted through lack of solar energy. And if you feel your method is working for you, I would not be inclined to make any drastic alterations or improvements… as usual, the biggest problem we have is getting the right forecast period. I am confident that I have found three pre-seismic locations in southern Chile, Baja CA, and Eastern Xizang China (confident like Solomon’s confident 😉 ) however, I am now trying to resist forecasting them until weekend to try and give myself a better time range !. For an avid forecaster, this un-nerving period feels like being on the wagon, or trying to stop smoking… I will be slowly opening one eye to look at my laptop in the coming mornings 🙂
Score: 0115 pts115 ptslesterJanuary 15, 2018 at 9:26 pm #3619According to EMSC, there were 81 responces related to a 4.6 in Portugal at 11:52 UTC… Dusk on the epicentre occurred today at 19:08 UTC
At 20:24 UTC, EMSC shows 580 responses related to a 4.3 in Greece at 20:24 UTC… Dusk on this epicentre occurred today at 17:01 UTC
17:01 UTC and 19:08 UTC correspond to Dawn / Sunrise on 165.340’W – 53.370’N Unalaska Basin, Aleutian Islands… little quakes with big effects are pulling energy from here !!
See you at weekend 🙂
Score: 0115 pts115 pts115 ptslesterJanuary 13, 2018 at 2:38 pm #3602Chris…a 4.2 occurred in El Salvador at 01:43 UTC, and it was Sunset in Bangladesh when the 5.9 “San Cristobal Trench”, Solomon Islands event occurred.
Ignore what I said above… after this last event, I have decided your advice is better
Thank you for being a friend !
Score: 0115 pts115 pts115 ptslesterJanuary 12, 2018 at 6:09 pm #3598I can see this is burning you out because you didn’t post any smilies !… we have had nearly a month of being dead in the water, and like me, you are probably wondering why you didn’t get a hint of something occurring North of Honduras. Let me guess, the first thing you do in the morning with your coffee cup in hand is check the quake lists. At work you have access to data via your phone, and if something interesting comes up on the screen, first thing you want to do when you get home is check this out !… does this sound about right ?. It is what I use to do when I was working, one of the worst times for me was going to bed with a new idea running round in my head… I use to lose so much sleep.
Sometimes you have to step back and asses what you are actually doing… are you confident that the sun / moon terminators are helping you determine your forecast locations ?, if so then you are “now” taking something for granted in your everyday life that has not been truly investigated. There are no published papers linking the terminators to earthquakes, no earthquake programs on TV mentioning this kind of correlation… and no books in the stores entitled Earth to sky !… you are one of the few that believes this phenomena works.
One of the biggest problem we both have is trying to match all or data on a global scale. I once spent a year concentrating solely on Oklahoma, another time I was so affected by an earthquake in China, I spent a year here. But because of how terminator correlations work, you can only do this by covering everywhere all the time… eg; for the last 3 weeks, Sunrise on Reykjanes Ridge has been accompanied by Sunset on the 6.0 epicentre in Myanmar. They are half a world apart, yet they both experienced a seismic event on the same day, if you rule out a correlation with the terminator… then what else could it be ?
I can understand about you considering taking (or wanting) a break, but if I may make a suggestion !. Unless you have friends or understanding family you can discuss this subject with, you are still going to need an outlet to free space in your mind… otherwise you become overwhelmed with endless possibilities. You should consider starting your own “uninterrupted” thread to report your findings, unusual data, or your own suspicions of the usual suspects. I did it with the ACE data, I admit I felt a bit foolish at first, but I took into account I had several successful hits under my belt, so as crazy as my idea’s sounded… some elements of them did actually work !. You have hit two 6’s in 4 days and many other sub mag locations since… your idea’s would not be considered foolish !
Definition of foolish would be me attempting to water “sky” 🙂
Score: 0115 pts115 pts115 pts115 ptslesterJanuary 11, 2018 at 3:02 pm #3588Hey Chris,
I look forward to hearing about your idea… you have hit several 5’s in the last 2 weeks, so your technique obviously works !
I recorded a repeat contact at 09:52 UTC again (same as yesterday), however on this occasion ACE recorded an aspect change at the same time. There is not enough data yet, to determine if it relates to any specific location… but it does rule out the moons position !
Interesting 5+ swarm on the Iraq-Iran border today, first event occurred at 06:59:31 UTC, the last event occurred at 08:00:40 UTC… duration of 1 hour 11 seconds, or equivalent to 15 degrees of Earth’s rotation !
After the Iraq-Iran events occurred, I came up with another combo but it may not mean anything… the 7.6 North of Honduras event occurred at 02:52 UTC 10/1, the first Iraq-Iran event occurred at 07:00 UTC. These times combine as Dusk / Dawn on 71.660’W – 44.310’S 17 km’s East of Lago Verde on the South Chile-Argentinean border region. When I ran a T sequence here, it showed Sunset today as 00:33 UTC… also at this time it was Dusk on the 7.6 North of Honduras epicentre !
I missed Reykjanes ridge by a week… I hope your new technique has something to do with improving our timing 🙂
Score: 0115 ptslesterJanuary 10, 2018 at 11:52 am #3584Hey Chris,
At 19:09 UTC 6th January (combo day) the moon was on longitude 138.783’E, when the 7.6 North of Honduras occurred at 02:51:32 UTC today, the sun was on longitude 138.960’E… the moon left a footprint on the 6th !!
The T sequence shows the city of Managua, Nicaragua shares the same 12:08 UTC Sunrise time as the 7.6 epicentre !
A significant contact was recorded at 09:52 UTC today, the moon was on longitude 41.383’W, the opposite longitude to this is 138.617’E… Dusk on this longitude at this time occurred on 138.617’E – 10.180’N Hunters Bank, 90 km’s North of Yap, Indonesia !
We can take comfort in the fact that we both have an indirect connection to the 7.6 event
British Colombia Canada… you are currently hitting more targets than me at the moment, I was hoping you could tell me 🙂 ,still working on it, but you have to admit it is intriguing.
I saw on the news, mudslides near the Santa Barbara area… are you still safe ?
Score: 0115 ptslesterJanuary 10, 2018 at 12:13 am #3578Well, there it is again Chris… 22:16:33 UTC M 2.1 British Colombia Canada !!… the Christmas puzzle continues 🙂
10/12/17 22:15:55 UTC – M 2.4 … 120.52’W – 49.39’N
11/12/17 22:16:17 UTC – M 2.1 … 120.58’W – 49.43’N
24/12/17 22:16:39 UTC – M 2.1 … 120.56’W – 49.31’N
09/01/18 22:16:33 UTC – M 2.1 … 120.54’W – 49.40’NThe mag’s are too small, and the duration between events would give no cause for anybody to give them a second look… what is the common denominator ?
Score: 0115 ptslesterJanuary 9, 2018 at 7:59 pm #3576Chris… I think I have been chasing my tail again, the following times relate to the terminator on my “current” forecast locations… try these on your map…
17:06 UTC = Dawn on Unalaska Basin, Aleutian Islands
06:26 UTC = Sunrise on Ascension Island Region
07:52 UTC = Dawn on Grindavic, Southwest Iceland
23:46 UTC = Sunrise on Banda Aceh – Dusk on Caicos Islands15:40 UTC = Significant aspect change in ACE MAG data 9/1
They all land on Tonga !!
Another significant aspect change occurred at 18:10 UTC… Solar Noon on Guatemala City 🙂
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