If this high pressure cell breaks away from mid to lower part of so-cal soon enough, then this area may have potential. I think we took a look at this spot before? Maybe the OLR is making it’s way over as well. There have been some interesting quakes in the SoCal area again. Full moon is coming too.
My boy is doing better. Only dealing with a slight fever now, but he’s eating and wanting to play already. He’s been a trooper. 🙂
Glad you got the movie reference. 😉 Although Marty and Doc is just as cool.
My play time on here comes to close for the weekend. Saw your Lagos and Xizang post. Too exciting for my taste! 🙂 thanks for t sequence. Maybe I get something then?
I was looking at your Lagos area and it looks like it has potential too. Interesting low activity down there that had me looking at Drake passage at one point. Hope your train makes the stop.
Hope you are well. I will check in from time to time during the week.
I was about to reply to Lester! Super cool to know that you DO check in. 🙂
Seems appropriate that we named ourselves Bill and Ted… since we both end up going on both excellent and bogus adventures around the world in here! 🙂
It’s probably become a like sitcom in here so to speak.
Lester, I was eyeing New Zealand. Also not my best, but I am “backtracking” by looking at something I used to do with unanswered blots. Do you have post-seismic spot to cross check with other data?
Oh yeah…Japan Trench was another spot somewhat close by to the influence of that terminator and it just popped a 5.1 for the area.
I think this is why it will be hard for me to let go of it for a while. However, I will be curious to see what a return to some fundamentals could do. 🙂
This reply was modified 6 years, 11 months ago by Counselor.
Yeah I am interested to see what happens at that time since that is just a couple before my Kamchatka forecast expires. I noted a miss there, but there was something there that made think it could still give out one more burst of energy with all that activity recently.
I also unofficially mentioned Seattle/Vancouver in here, not on the forecast page, and those areas look to be connected to Kamchatka with that time you mentioned. Areas along Mexico (Baja, durango through Guadalajara), Drake Passage. North of Belem/Venezuela/Sargasso Sea, good old Myanmar, Central PNG and to the west near Manikwari. Near Guam too, just to name areas on terminators. 🙂 my stubbornness coming out about our work with terminators.
My son is sick right now, and I can’t play the game to much this weekend. :-/
Just hoping I was right on with a few of the active posts I have for the moment.
I have to rethink what I am doing. Ben posted a video about the model. I too feel like I am relying too much on a lot of other data points. I may try to go back just use the basics again, which included my advice to you about using the lows.
I think I might try to simply note the mag relaxation correlation for something later perhaps? It might allow me more time to do this. The other stuff had me doing too much again lately.
Anyway, be back this weekend for sure with new posts.
At this point… there is small low trough that passes through and I had noted two solar terminator mag contacts that pass through parkfield, but one through Trabuco. Those mag relaxation points looked strong to me, but a tighter low heads toward Vancouver, and some of my mag contacts trace back to Kamchatka/Japan (even Ben still has Kuril Islands on watch).
Probability feels low, but that makes getting a near miss here again would still be good news for getting the next spot! Or, getting the hit makes it all the more significant considering the odds?? I guess it just depends on Bill and Ted wish to view it right now 🙂
I will keep the optimism that our train hits this stop…with minimal damage of course. I too would like to see this “save lives” one day.
This reply was modified 6 years, 11 months ago by Counselor.
I missed Ascension too! You are right about my time. The next serious looks I can get won’t be til next weekend. I might try to do a forecast in between if time permits. I was only off by about 400km again for my Java forecast!
You have a Canada one active as well… is the area similar to where Ben has his alert? I am eyeing Seattle area and/or Seminole seamount into port hardy/ up to queen Charlotte sound as a zone, but I am home now and hanging out with family.
Anyway, I will cross check what I get with you if I can, and hope to those T&D times you mentioned too.
I remember you saying you look for blots too, but I don’t remember your saying you truly using the lows?
Los Lagos has a big high pressure system sitting on it. If your markers are fluid because of the lows, that may be your missing key. You trace out your x’s with enough time to track the lows. The likeliest point might the region with the strongest low for you.
See what you get. I am finding my mag relaxation points are beginning to look like they match that mention you had about how long it takes the sun and moon to travel around to certain points and time of separation from terminators. I haven’t been able to calculate, but my “eyeball” tells me I have a actually been tracking a similarity with your ACE times and my mag times to suggest I may simply have another version of what you are doing. There may be a wider margin because the protons interaction may be followed up by the mag changes… all speculation of course…but our double dates are no longer coincidental to me.
I had been paying attention to a deep blot that occurred near Sunda, but should have noticed the OLR and lows should have had me look closer to the trench.
I am sorry about Alaska. I didn’t end up forecasting there because you had chignik? I would have ended up in Valdez had I gone with what I had. And, I thought the draw of the low on the east Russia/Japan side was greater.
The Alaska Gulf quake hit in the spot where the low was sitting off in the gulf, and I didn’t see enough OLR that lasted. I had a bunch of Mag relaxation points that cross over Alaska often, but I find it hard to forecast since I would see the moon term shift often, and the sun terminator casts such a broad line across that area. One those occasions I have to see where the sun and moon are over head to see if the mag relaxation point creates a line north/south or east/west because of the diurnal energy flow on the sunlit side.
That’s what got me near pucallpa Peru in that hot spot area. Alaska is also my Afghanistan. Hard to post a forecast for myself anyway because it seems like such a “slow build” area.
I thought you got that and I went west since you beat me to that area as well 🙂
Next time Lester! You, Ben, and maybe geopen? We’re in that area.
Still tough though. On to the breach again my friend?
My approximate mag flux points I mapped brought me to 0550 UTC (approx) and look at my T&D Map. A moon terminator goes close to it. In that time frame after at 0615 there is a TEC flux. It isn’t the strongest signature for me either for the mag flux relaxation point appearing to be either the start or end to larger fluxing on the tromso stack plots. It was a shift like this that I had noted for Ecuador a while back, but timing was off. Whenever I see California I try look for the shift inland. I had seen a bunch of contacts offshore lately and almost ignored the California coastline for a while until this morning. By the time I collected my data, and had my coffee today, I had no time for any forecasting. Thanks for bringing me along this time 🙂
I had to really study for the Batu Merah Island post because of how hard it is to select from all those hot spots when terminators, the way I use them, requires Ben’s model for me to pin point. Glad to see your method has you near there as well.
As for Tanzania, yes Lester, I laughed when I found you there because I wasn’t going to at first until our Atlantic Ridge and then that later South Africa pop…I was thing of those being signal shocks, like the pacific ridge quakes can be for that side of the world… you were already there. Where was I before?…Roberts bay and Cape Town as well? I may need to take a seat on South Africa and observe a bit more. Nice catch!
I am uncertain what help I could be. Other than referencing Ben’s mentioning of this activity and it’s possible relation to mt St. Helens. However, I personally witnessed two meteorite intrusions during the month of November near where I live, and noted one out in the Midwest somewhere just outside of Chicago Illinois, I think, that caused a sonic boom registering as M2 just last week…maybe it was that, but that too would have made the news.
I could email Ben. With the conference coming up, not sure what kind of reply we will get?
What is this light center data? Do you have a link to share?
Is this connected to our trigger conversation? Tekbasse posted an interesting video clip of a bow shock effect observation during the last solar eclipse that was interesting as well.
