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11 ptsCounselorJune 25, 2017 at 2:29 pm #1885
I am opening this watch, with same area highlighted before, for a new time period from today to the 28th at 2300 UTC. M4 hit rio dell yesterday, and M3.5 in Banning. Could be surprise uptick with influence of new moon still and low pressure shifting.
Score: 011 ptsCounselorJune 23, 2017 at 8:34 pm #1873I can definitely attest to the USGS archive being valuable, as well as that information about the new moon/full moon. That is the other information I have been using, including the quake watch tools. Although I don’t have any “hit” to my name yet, it helped me get closer to a couple of areas. I will see an area I put on watch become a spot that S0 may put up, which is beginning to happen more often when I finally do post a forecast, but any new information I am learning about here has only been of help. As for my latest use of USGS, in being hyper focused on tracing smaller quakes and patterns leading up to 6.5+, I thought I kept a seeing lines that mirrored the magnetic field lines.
Hook, you have been taking me school, and I am super appreciative over what you just explained to me. Taking some more time to ponder this while I am away from home at the moment. I was looking for some uncensored access to neutron data after what you said in your video, and agree with your wish to have it too now. I was trying to monitor GONG for the next shift, and eyeballed what appeared to be a shift approaching, but not for another day, +\- a day. However, reviewing how that neutral line can appear to shift/wobble rapidly, I am curious to see if that is what manisfested in the GONG satellite frames once posted. But, I am going to put that aside for the time being because you are right about going one step at a time for me.
Hook, I will do my best to keep my questions simple too. With electrostriction and magnetostriction, I am imagining the earth’s crust expanding and contracting at the times of the boundary crossing, as well as periods of new/full moon. Does inhomogeneous magnetic fields mean inhomogeneous expansion/contraction? Our planet, although bathed in this current sheet, the expansion/contraction is also not instantaneous since there is a period time before that shift arrives, and later a period of time for our crust to later expand/contract in response to the change. Does this also mean inhomogeneities in both intensity and location of the surge? I have more questions, but I will save those for later in the next steps.
Score: 011 ptsCounselorJune 21, 2017 at 10:11 pm #1853Hook, Thank you for the video link. I just watched it. Are the neutron heat flux events and burst events on earth located at/around a blot echo spot? When you mention the deformations in the crust, my thoughts went to the subduction zones as being the best candidates for being more sensitive to these events. What my train of thought is heading towards is also wondering if the differing polarity of earth’s magnetic field will then direct that energy accordingly? If the positive flows to earth are concentrated to areas of crustal deformation inside of the negative polarity (I am referring to the Magnetic declination link that Ben has on magneticreversal website)? What the result would be, if I was even in the ball park here, blot events in the regions of matching polarity and crustal event at opposite polarity. My rationale for that last thought came from your posts about earthquake migrations. I know I am saying a lot here (making assumptions for sure). Then, coupled with an earthspot low, the energy is returned back to the atmosphere/sun.
Score: 011 ptsCounselorJune 21, 2017 at 2:53 pm #1843Hello Hook and Lester. Not sure if these data have already been eliminated. I have been taking my time looking at IMF boundary crossings, in tandem with where latest quakes were appearing along our own Earth’s positive and negative boundaries. I am using a list that I found:
http://wso.stanford.edu/SB/SB.htmlAt first what I thought I was seeing was an earthquake taking place within opposite polarity on earth relative to the positive or negative boundary our earth seemed connected to at the time. This is me eyeballing it as a layman. Then more earthquakes occurred during boundary crossing. Last earthquakes during this drought seem to represent the day, +\- the day, of the boundary crossing.
Is this a valuable pursuit? Or, has this already been ruled out?
Score: 011 ptsCounselorJune 15, 2017 at 5:22 pm #1800Lester- One more thing to ask… are your misses are happening in area that are more mountainous? I liked the speaker analogy that had me thinking about those speakers, which will play when connected to a source. However, if tuned to a certain frequency, they will play at all until the resonant frequency hits the antenna. No antenna, no sound played through those speakers. If our mountains were to be like the antenna, couple the higher piezo-electric value in these parts of the world, then the other factors that Ben, Hook, and Billy have shown us… perhaps that could be the other area to look at as our sun hits solar grand minimum? I am trying to track this using maps of mantle plumes, water tables (as I can’t stop thinking about the tellurium current video/electric asorbtion/rejection of water video), and fault regions, but I am having trouble keeping up since it is hard with my schedule at work/home.
Score: 011 ptsCounselorJune 15, 2017 at 5:03 pm #1799Hi Lester,
Your conversations with subcoder got me curious. Just because I need a quick breakdown, are you tracking the point at which the sunrise/sunset horizon is at the time of an X-ray flux event? If so, and if you trace a line from your misses and the location of the earthquakes, are you getting a line that parallels the dawn or dusk horizon line?
Score: 011 pts11 ptsCounselorMay 13, 2017 at 2:24 pm #1582He was defending my post Ben. I have trouble with keeping my excitement level down for seeing what I thought were patterns on that day. I am also the father of a 2 year old trying to keep up with posting late at night, or on the weekends when he naps. I was doing more justifications for the areas I had been pointing out and thought it would have been best to separate the forecast instead of a massive piece of text. However, I saw Richard’s point. I know there are people more serious than me, and then I have those moments where I like to think I have a chance to do this kind of work too. Ben, the post was one I made about Afghanistan, and others, around May 5th/6th. I am a member of SO as well, and truly enjoy the science. I work in education and like to share this with my peers at school. Although I am met with strange looks, I am really trying to learn this science out of both genuine passion, as well as being able to express myself to the science teachers at some point soon. Can’t do that just yet. I am a school counselor and my profession tends to hover on the side of the arts. So, gotta work on my chops. I also used to serve in Army, got a fairly thick skin, and I will continue to dig in regardless of any comment. We are all adults, no harm no foul on either side. Pleasure to get to know a few more of my fellow forecasters.
Score: 011 pts11 pts11 pts11 ptsCounselorApril 30, 2017 at 12:15 am #1462Canceling previous alert map. Updated forcast in this link below. M6.5+ in red highlighted areas. From time of this post to same end time from previous post above.
https://goo.gl/photos/geaxAeHQUkFcPwpSA
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