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  • 115 pts
    lester
    August 18, 2017 at 10:10 am #2558

    Ah!… here’s a bit more!

    Dusk on 13.631’W – 1.085’S North of Ascension Island (6.6 epicentre) … 20:13 UTC, Aug 17
    Sunset on 33.460’W – 6.830’S Off Coast of Joao Pessoa, Brazil (TEC location, Aug 17) … 20:13 UTC, Aug 17

    Parallel connection with the “terminator”… you can verify this with suncalc.net

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    August 18, 2017 at 9:35 am #2557

    At 02:59:21 UTC Aug 18, longitude of the sun was on 136.130’E… Solar Noon on Southern Honshu !!

    Looks like we both have something out of this one!

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    August 17, 2017 at 8:22 pm #2553

    Counselor / Hook,
    I am in agreement with the idea of pooling our individual skill sets and resources for an undetermined period, to see if our team effort brings in a result. Perhaps we could open a new thread each time, titled to anyone’s chosen region or location, and add data to it as it becomes available… if the data dries up after 14 days, we will know we are on a cold trail!

    If you decide to go for it, my time in the UK is UTC plus 1 hour

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    August 17, 2017 at 5:13 pm #2552

    Here’s more…

    I have a possible determination to epicentre of TEC anomaly as being 33.460’W – 6.860’S off Coast of Joao Pessoa, Brazil.
    Dusk on stated co-ordinates 21:26 UTC, Aug 17 / Sunset on 44.36’W – 19.06’N Central Mid-Atlantic Ridge … 21:26 UTC, Aug 17
    Last second of Moon perigee = 14:17:44 UTC, Aug 18 …Longitude of the sun at this time = 33.480’W

    You could be right about a seismo electric connection with the ocean, the co-ordinates for the Atlantic are on the spot of the EMBRACE data mag anomaly that you sourced on July 27!

    Class C 2.7 solar flux event at 10:46 UTC, Aug 14 / Sunrise on 67.625’W – 10.612’S Capixaba, Bolivia … 10:46 UTC, Aug 14
    Sunset in Capixaba on stated co-ordinates 22:29 UTC, Aug 17 / Sunrise on 104.03’E – 33.21’N Yongle, China (6.5) .. 22:29 UTC, Aug 17

    The C 2.7 flux event was the largest in this recent cycle. Onset times are difficult to establish due to undetermined trigger locations or combinations, and that is one reason I use the full 20 forecast period allowed. If the time scale were to be based on sun/moon/terminator positions, a good indicator is how many correlations a particular location can accommodate with other post seismic events… and then watch for the right signs in the space data!

    I once formulated a prediction for the Aleutian Islands, but I was being hesitant about posting. Just then, Elvis came on the radio singing “North to Alaska”, taking it as a sign I started typing. As I was doing so, I noticed a big red dot on the USGS map on my other screen, a 7.1 had just occurred in the Aleutian Islands… now THAT is losing your mind.

    He sings about Las Vegas too… but I don’t think they have earthquakes there 🙂

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    August 17, 2017 at 11:18 am #2544

    Focal point of the TEC anomaly is Caprixaba, Brazil/Bolivia border on 67.625’W – 10.612’S approx 150 km’s West of Riberalta. Dawn in Caprixaba today occurs at 09:31 UTC, on the 18th this changes to 09:30 UTC, and remains this time until the 21st when it then changes to 09:29 UTC.

    On the 18th at 04:11:05 UTC, the moon reaches its most Northerly latitude of the month at 19.38’N. It remains on this latitude until ” 09:30:06 UTC”, at which point it begins its journey South. Perhaps this is the same anomaly as detected on August 2, its reappearance further West could be attributed to orbital position, or similar solar wind influences… may be nothing, but who knows !

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    August 16, 2017 at 8:07 pm #2533

    These are really good Counselor, I like how you have also included Moonlight shots too. I have picked out at least 5 contacts relating to Cook Strait NZ using these… but most tend to favour Iceland for some reason 🙂 . Which reminds me about what I was going to tell you the other day. On August 21, the City of Reykjavik, Iceland on 21.98’W – 64.150’N, and Cook Strait NZ on 175.150′ – 42.230’S, share Sunrise and Sunset respectively at 05:44 UTC… this only happens on this day !!

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    August 15, 2017 at 9:15 pm #2525

    Have you been away ? People were starting to miss you… I wasn’t one of them though 🙂

    Good to see you have Japan covered !!

    This post has received 1 vote up.
    Score: 1
    115 pts
    lester
    August 15, 2017 at 1:50 pm #2523

    I’ll check those out…thank you for your acknowledgement!

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    August 14, 2017 at 8:32 pm #2520

    Speaking of solar flux events… here’s something I worked on today that you might find interesting, if you don’t mind placing a couple of felt pen dots on your screen!

    Open 2 tabs with T&D, in the first map input 02:08 UTC July 24, place a dot in the centre of the sun image, and then change the time to 10:04 UTC. In the second map, input 02:13 UTC Aug 14, dot the centre of the sun again, then change the time to 09:46 UTC. If you flick between the tabs, you will see that Dusk alternates between the 2 dots, but Sunset remains constant on 136’E Honshu. The first dot represents the time of the M 2.4 flux event on July 24, the second dot relates to the C 1.8 flux event today. Taking this further, input 03:48 UTC Aug 14, dot the sun again, and then change time to 20:17 UTC, at this time, Dawn is on the dot and Sunrise is on 136’E Honshu. 03:48 UTC represents the B 6.4 flux event that followed the C 1.8.

    Are you able to source any regional TEC data for New Zealand ?

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    August 14, 2017 at 8:04 pm #2519

    The Chinese academy of sciences in an old favourite of mine, I used the ionospheric disturbance model quite a lot in the past

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    August 13, 2017 at 2:56 pm #2509

    Due to the current rate at which Bodrum, Western Turkey is dominating the EMSC page, I thought I would include the following…

    Dawn on 136.100’E – 33.540′ Southern Honshu, Japan … 18:44 UTC, Aug 12
    Dusk on 27.17’E – 37.13’N Bodrum, Western Turkey (4.9 epicentre) … 18:44 UTC, Aug 12

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    August 13, 2017 at 2:30 pm #2508

    M 5.1 Vate Trough, Vanuatu on Aug 13 at 12:18:14 UTC… in range but missed on magnitude!

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    August 13, 2017 at 2:27 pm #2507

    M 4.6 Southern Iran on Aug 13 at 09:34:45 UTC… in range but missed on magnitude!

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    August 13, 2017 at 2:23 pm #2506

    M 5.3 South Sandwich Islands at 10:14:33 on Aug 12… in range but missed on magnitude!

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    August 13, 2017 at 2:08 pm #2505

    Further to the data posted above, I have sequenced the following related to 136’E Honshu on August 11… please match the times.

    T sequence for 136.100’E – 33.540’N Off the Coast of Southern Honshu, Japan … Aug 11
    Dawn 18:44 UTC … Sunrise 20:14 UTC … Sunset 09:44 UTC … Dusk 11:18 UTC

    Dawn on 152.99’E – 4.25’S New Britain Region P.N.G. (5.3 epicentre, Aug 12) … 18:44 UTC, Aug 11
    Dawn on 153.53’E – 5.82’S New Ireland Region P.N.G. (5.0 epicentre, Aug 12) … 18:44 UTC, Aug 11
    Dawn on 153.56’E – 5.81’S New Ireland Region P.N.G. (5.0 epicentre, Aug 13) … 18:44 UTC, Aug 11

    Dawn on 131.26’E – 6.78’S Kep. Tanimbar, Indonesia (5.2 epicentre, Aug 11) … 20:14 UTC, Aug 11
    Dawn on 131.09’E – 6.30’S Kep. Tanimbar, Indonesia (5.2 epicentre, Aug 12) … 20:14 UTC, Aug 11

    Solar Noon on 35.475’E – 38.810’N Kayseri Region, Central Turkey … 09:44 UTC, Aug 11

    Sunrise on 73.54’W – 16.31’S Near Coast of Southern Peru (5.6 epicentre, Aug 8) … 11:18 UTC, Aug 11
    Sunset on 101.72’E – 3.60’S Southern Sumatra, Indonesia (6.4 epicentre, Aug 13) … 11:18 UTC, Aug 11
    Dawn on 109.020’W – 29.980’N Sonora, Mexico … 11:18 UTC, Aug 11

    Other correlations related to August 11…

    Dusk on 131.17’E – 30.04’N Kyushu Islands, Japan (5.3 epicentre, Aug 12) … 11:29 UTC, Aug 11
    Dusk on 157.29’E – 50.49’N Kamchatka Peninsula (5.0 epicentre, Aug 10) … 11:29 UTC, Aug 11
    Dusk on 168.84’E – 54.55’N Nikol’Skoye, Russia (7.7 epicentre, July 17) … 11:29 UTC, Aug 11
    Sunrise on 72.03’W – 30.28’S Offshore Coquimbo, Chile (5.8 epicentre, Aug 12) … 11:29 UTC, Aug 11
    Sunrise on 83.123’W – 8.717’N Golifito, Costa Rica … 11:29 UTC, Aug 11

    I could find no correlations related to the 6.2 Mindoro, Philippines event on August 11 with the current model. However, I am in the process of formulating a forecast for 175.157’E – 42.237’S Cook Strait, NZ… which currently has 23 correlations with events starting from July 1. The 6.2 Mindoro event occurred at 05:28;26 UTC… it was Sunset on the stated co-ordinates in NZ at this time. It may also be of interest that on July 20 at 05:11 UTC, it was Solar Noon on 104.03’E – 33.21’N Yongle, China (6.5 epicentre, Aug 8) and again Sunset on stated co-ordinates in NZ !. On August 20 (day before the eclipse), it will be Sunrise on 168.84’E – 54.55’N Nikol’Skoye, and Dawn on 175.157’E – 42.237’S Cook Strait, NZ at 17:31 UTC.

    I will post the remaining NZ correlations another day, because I think there is only myself minding the store at the moment !

    All the above can be verified with T&D and Suncalc.net

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    August 11, 2017 at 8:54 pm #2502

    Hook,
    Traces in the Tromso Magnetometer ( flux.phys.uit.no ) have undergone a significant aspect change, terminating at 20:14 UTC. Termination of Phi contact in the ACE MAG data also occurred at 20:22 UTC, -8 LS = 20:14 UTC… both sets correspond with 136’E Japan. I know you have been watching for this one as eagerly as I have, so I have now renewed my forecast… I’m just passing on the data !

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    August 11, 2017 at 8:15 pm #2500

    Counselor,
    There is an aspect change in the Bx, By, Bt traces in the MAG data at 17:48 UTC, -8 LS = 17:40 UTC (looks like a rectangle). You should keep a mental note of this ( 🙂 ) because it relates to New Zealand, Iceland and the eclipse on the 21st… still work in progress, but I’ll post on it when tie up the loose ends !

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    August 11, 2017 at 7:37 pm #2499

    Well, this is true… there have been so many theories, you are hard man to keep track of 🙂 it related to Ophiolite and Peridotite. I am still speculating on the possibility that the gigantic jets over Hawaii, have a volcanic connection with Kamchatka. Also the Costa Rica eruption location is too convenient to be coincidental for a quake forecast.

    I can appreciate how you can get in a mental mess, been there many times. The problem is you are trying to interact with conflicting methods, and you have your own theories that you wish to explore as well. Over the last 6 weeks, I have discovered that Hook and I do have some inter-relations, but we are not gaining any ground because our own ingrained beliefs are still taking us in different directions. We both believe the Earth retains seismic memory, and that TEC and magnetic anomalies are indeed related to seismic activity. But unfortunately, this is were we always part company, he goes underground and I head for the sky again, leaving you to try and work out both aspects… I just come up with the numbers Counselor, it is up to whom ever if they want to use them or not !

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    August 10, 2017 at 9:03 pm #2495

    Counselor,
    “The Costa Rica Star” newspaper ( news.co.cr/volcanos_costa_rica ) reports first eruption of Turrialba volcano occurred at 05:30 UTC Monday August 7 (Full Moon), followed by a second eruption at 13:20 UTC. The volcano is on co-ordinates 83.77’W – 10.03’N, this location is 28 km’s SE of my 7+ forecast co-ordinates (Lester: July 22 at 4:14 pm). I have found no correlation with the first eruption, but the second one at 13:20 UTC places Sunset on the 5.9 epicentre Mauritius (July 19). Exactly 24 hours later (bar 10 seconds) at 13:19:50 UTC August 8, the 6.5 occurred in Yongle, China !!

    I mentioned that I have a good combination for Costa Rica on the 25th, but it relates to Golifito on the South coast on 83.123’W – 8.717’N. Golifito had a 7.1 earthquake back in April 1983, and if I get a 5.5+ in Vanuatu before 25th, the combination will match up for a possible re-occurrence.

    Another eruption has begun in Kamchatka today, it is the third most volcanic region on Earth, after Hawaii and Iceland… a lot of fresh mantle material that fits your theory!… stop the press 🙂

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    August 10, 2017 at 6:53 pm #2493

    T sequence for L’esparance Rock NZ…

    2017-08-08 04:47:55 UTC, M 4.8 Kermadec Islands Region, NZ … 177.97’W – 30.77’S
    Dawn 17:10 UTC … Sunrise 18:34 UTC … Sunset 05:21 UTC … Please match the times!

    Sunrise on 168.84’E – 54.55’N Nikol’Skoye (7.7 epicentre, July 17) … 17:10 UTC, Aug 8
    Sunset on 27.45’E – 36.96’N Kos, Western Turkey (6.6 epicentre, July 20) … 17:10 UTC, Aug 8
    Longitude of the Sun on 76.09’W, opposite longitude = 103.89’E (6.5 epicentre, Yongl, China) … 17:10 UTC, Aug 8
    Sunrise on 164.34’E – 49.30’S Auckland Islands (6.6 epicentre, July 11) … 18:34 UTC, Aug 8
    Longitude of the Sun on 97.06’W, opposite longitude = 82.89’E (6.3 epicentre, Xinjiang, China) … 18:34 UTC, Aug 8
    Longitude of the Moon on 73.61’W (6.4 epicentre, Southern Peru, July 18) … 05:21 UTC, Aug 8

    Solar Noon on stated co-ordinates for L’esparance Rock 23:56 UTC, Aug 8
    Sunset on 83.850’W – 9.610’N San Jose, Costa Rica … 23:56 UTC, Aug 8

    Sorry Counselor, Nothing for Iceland but you still have a Costa Rica forecast I believe ?. I use an old program to determine these times, but there is a site called http://www.suncalc.net that you could look at, which you may find useful for sunrise/sunset times etc.

    I had a fall and the fool Doctor tried to stop me using my computer… thanks for your concern, old goat has a limp at the moment 🙂

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    August 10, 2017 at 3:58 pm #2488

    From a mathematical point of view, the Alaskan quakes are indeed related to the 6+ events in China…

    2017-08-08 13:19:50 UTC, M 6.5 Gansu, China … 104.03’E – 33.21’N
    Sunset on stated co-ordinates … 11:56 UTC, Aug 8
    Longitude of the Moon on 169.16’W (5.5 – 5.4 epicentres Aleutian Islands, Aug 8) … 11:56 UTC, Aug 8

    2017-08-08 23:27:54 UTC, M 6.3 Northern Xinjiang, China … 82.90’E – 44.37’N
    Sunrise on stated co-ordinates … 23:27 UTC
    Solar Noon on 169′.16’W – 52.54’N Fox Islands, Aleutian Islands … 23:27 UTC, Aug 8

    I could not find any correlations for any of the above being related to Afghanistan or Japanese Islands using this equation. Nor is there any correlation to Yellowstone National park, but that was just me making “assumptions” instead of following the data!… all the above can be corroborated using T&D.

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    August 10, 2017 at 8:06 am #2484

    Apologies… Longitude on this forecast should read as 156.460’E

    Noticed a mag 5 had occurred here at 07:07 UTC

    Dyslexia getting the better of me 🙂

    Thank you

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    August 9, 2017 at 12:16 am #2469

    2017-08-08 23:27:53 UTC, M 6.3 107 km’s SSE of Dostyq, Kazakhstan … 82.837’E – 44.323’N
    Dusk on 68.69’W – 28.60’S La Rioja, Argentina … 23:28 UTC, Aug 8

    Yeah!… must be a coincidence, think I’ll try and link this with Yellowstone tomorrow!

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    August 8, 2017 at 8:24 pm #2458

    Oh! Counselor, how did you land on such a prime location ?… here’s more

    Solar Noon on 21.982’W – 64.150’N City of Reykjavik, Iceland … 13:34 UTC, Aug 8
    Dusk on 103.843’E – 33.217’N Yongle, China (6.5 epicentre, Aug 8) … 13:34 UTC, Aug 8

    I have already shown it is Sunset at 22:10 UTC in Reykjavik (Aug 8), When you apply this time to the Moon light map, the Moon light threshold is on 44.36’W – 19.06’N Central Mid-Atlantic Ridge. this is the location of Hook’s Mag anomaly on July 27 !!

    As per your original enquiry, I could not find correlation to Rekjanes Ridge with the current model, but it could be a warning shot related to Reykjavik.

    I wouldn’t be surprised if you got a quake and an eruption !… hope you have some bubbly ready in the refrigerator 🙂

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    August 8, 2017 at 6:53 pm #2455

    The 4.6 Turkey just missed Montana by 12 minutes, However, the Moon at this time (05:18 UTC) was on the same longitude as Northern Costa Rica!

    Score: 0
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