Forum Replies Created
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115 pts115 ptslesterDecember 21, 2020 at 3:54 pm #9959
Thank you JEC, I also believe this will be the case, but it is likely to occur outside my forecast period. However, I have no issues if you want to follow your suspicions and continue perusing Hawaii at your discretion… I got what I came for 🙂
I will continue to report any relevant observations (as per my method), because activity in Hawaii will undoubtedly produce “far reaching” influences !
Thank you again…
Score: 0115 pts115 pts115 ptslesterDecember 19, 2020 at 10:44 pm #9951Hey Mark,
We are starting to have big problems in the UK, our health service is being stretched to the limit due to the pandemic. Many surgical and emergency departments are being re tasked to deal with Covid patients… so regular treatments are getting seriously behind. I am assuming the same thing is happening in the US, and the reason why you have not responded to messages of concern from fellow forecasters. I on the other hand hope you come back because I still have red rings on my Google map, from your experiments weeks ago… and I don’t know how to delete them !
Your contributions “do count” here… so get back on the horse buddy 🙂
Score: 0115 pts115 pts115 ptslesterDecember 19, 2020 at 4:27 pm #9947https://www.emsc-csem.org/Earthquake/earthquake.php?id=930834
M 4.9 East of Visokoi Island … 19th December
Bristol Island may be next !
Score: 0115 ptslesterDecember 19, 2020 at 3:39 pm #9946Observed… M 4.1 Sicily, Italy 10:57:42 UTC 19th Dec. The sun was located on longitude 14’54’E at the time of this event… Mt Etna volcano resides on longitude 14’59’E. I have not noted any recent correlations with Mt Etna, but this event may indicate that Mt Etna is gearing up for another eruption. The T sequence also shows that significant correlations between Mt Etna and Mauna Loa volcano in Hawaii, will occur on 20th – 22nd December.
20th Dec 03:50 UTC – Sunset on Mauna loa volcano … Moon located on longitude 165’01’W, opposite longitude calculates as 14’59’E !
20th Dec 21:55 UTC – RLT located on Mauna Loa volcano … SLT located on Mt Etna volcano !
22nd Dec 04:38 UTC – ATE threshold located on Mt Etna volcano … Moon located on longitude 155’51’WOn 18th December, three 2+ events occurred in the San Francisco Bay Area !
Score: 0115 ptslesterDecember 19, 2020 at 12:31 pm #9942on 17th Dec at 18:16:48 UTC, an M 3.8 event occurred in Uttar Pradesh, India (139 felt). At this time, the SLT was located on the pre seismic M 4.1 Albania epicentre, and it was moonrise in San Francisco. At “12-hours” earlier 06:16:48 UTC, the SLT was located on Mauna Loa volcano in Hawaii.
The M 4.1 event in albania occurred at 00:53:12 UTC 19th Dec… it was sunset in San Francisco !
Several correlations with Preveza, Greece also extended to Albania, Macedonia and Croatia… I didn’t follow through because this forecast was for “Ionian Region” !
Very good call… 🙂
Score: 0115 pts115 ptslesterDecember 18, 2020 at 6:16 pm #9938I reset magnitude to 5.2 on 3rd Dec (above) and this forecast expired 40 hours prior to this event occurring… but I thank you for looking out for my interests… 🙂
There is usually a “seesaw” effect in the South Sandwich Islands. An event near Bristol Island is usually followed shortly after by another event near Zavodovski Island… and vice versa.
Eyes on this region for the next few days !
Score: 0115 ptslesterDecember 17, 2020 at 3:06 pm #9933https://www.emsc-csem.org/Earthquake/earthquake.php?id=930237
Observed… M 4.6 Ryukyu Islands 10:18:36 UTC 17th Dec on coordinates 126’34’E – 26’15’N. At “12-hours” earlier 22:18:36 UTC 16th Dec, the sun was located on longitude 155’38’W Mauna Loa volcano. Hawaii… and the moon was located on longitude 122’47’W San Francisco. At 24-hours earlier 10:18:36 UTC 16th Dec, it was moonset on the M 4.6 Ryukyu Islands epicentre !
A well observed correlation, and you didn’t need any encouragement from Johnny… 🙂
Well Done…
Score: 0115 ptslesterDecember 16, 2020 at 7:38 pm #99276th Dec 04:50:09 UTC – M 5.0 Pacific Antarctic Ridge
7th Dec 22:30:03 UTC – M 5.1 Solomon Islands -12 hrs
12th Dec 17:48:04 UTC – M 5.2 New Ireland P.N.G. -12 hrs
16th Dec 05:49:23 UTC – M 5.3 Sand Point, Alaska
16th Dec 17:48:43 UTC – M 5.6 Southern Peru -12 hrsI hear it is nice in Preveza at this time of the year !
Score: 0115 ptslesterDecember 16, 2020 at 12:00 pm #9926https://www.emsc-csem.org/Earthquake/earthquake.php?id=930000
Barely registered on the scale… but it did happen !
Score: 0115 pts115 ptslesterDecember 15, 2020 at 4:27 pm #9921In 1954 Johnny Mercer wrote a song called “Something’s Gotta Give”… an appropriate title for our situation here. He also wrote another song called “Fools Rush In”… thought I would save this one for another occasion… 🙂
I have been reviewing my own data in relation to Los Angeles, and have determined only three recent correlations with LA during December; M 5.3 Western Turkey 5/12 – Mt Ebeko volcano 8/12 – M 6.2 Taiwan 10/12. I personally would require more data than this, to speculate a 5+ event in this region. But there is undoubtedly some concern in respect of the M 6.2 in Taiwan… especially if history is fated to repeat itself !
On 13th July 2008 at 14:58:33 UTC, an M 6.4 event occurred in the Taiwan Region on coordinates 121’15’E – 21’00’N. On 29th July 2008 at 18:42:15 UTC, an M 5.5 event occurred in the Santa Ana district of Los Angeles. According to EMSC records, this was the strongest event to occur in this region during the last 15 years. At the time of this event, it was moonrise on the post seismic M 6.4 Taiwan epicentre !
https://www.emsc-csem.org/Earthquake/earthquake.php?id=92234
So maybe there is hope for you yet… 🙂
Score: 0115 ptslesterDecember 15, 2020 at 12:28 am #9918Mt Etna scenario…
On 15th Dec at 04:30 UTC, the ATE threshold will be located on Mt Etna volcano. At “12-hours” later 16:30 UTC, the sun will be located on longitude 68’38’W (M 6.0 Antofagasta 68’42’W), it will be moonset on Mt Etna volcano, and moonrise in Richmond, San Francisco.
Other recent correlations with the San Francisco Bay Area include; M 5.3 Volcano Islands 8/12 – Mt Suwanosejima 8/12 – Mt Ebeko 8/12 – M 5.5 Lake Baykal 9/12 – Mt Suwanosejima 10/12 – M 6.0 Antofagasta 14/12
These correlations are not concentrated in any particular region, which “may reduce” the possibility of notable activity. But combined with this scenario, the odds of seismic activity actually occurring in the Bay Area during the next few days, is greatly increased !
The last event to occur in the San Francisco Bay area, was an M 2.2 on 24th November !
Score: 0115 pts115 pts115 ptslesterDecember 14, 2020 at 9:07 pm #9914https://www.emsc-csem.org/Earthquake/earthquake.php?id=929514
A very good call Fred… it didn’t make the grade, but you was spot on with timing !
Well done… 🙂
Score: 0115 pts -
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