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115 ptslesterJuly 22, 2020 at 9:27 am #9295
On 22nd July at 06:12:44 UTC, an M 7.8 event occurred South of Perryville in the Alaska peninsula region. On 20th July at 06:56 UTC, Sunset on this epicentre was joined by the SLT (Setting Lunar Threshold) during “New Moon” day !
This event places my double hit theory into question !
http://www.timeanddate.com … Moon Light World Map
Score: 0115 pts115 ptslesterJuly 20, 2020 at 3:19 pm #9291On 20th July at 03:08:02 UTC, an M 5.2 event occurred in the South Sandwich Islands. At this time, the RLT was located on Mt Stromboli volcano in Italy… and the SLT was located on Oakland, San Francisco Bay Area !
On 20th July at 02:32 UTC, Mt Ebeko volcano erupted in the Northern Kuril Islands… it was moonset in the San Bernardino region of Los Angeles !
Score: 0115 ptslesterJuly 20, 2020 at 1:19 am #9290An observation…
There have not been any 2+ events in Croatia since an M 2.3 occurred on 12th July at 20:19:01 UTC. At this time, the SLT was located in the San Francisco Bay Area, and the ATE threshold was located on Mt Etna and Mt Stromboli volcanoes in Italy… interesting !
Score: 0115 ptslesterJuly 19, 2020 at 10:19 pm #9289On report of the Mt Stromboli eruption earlier today, I made the “assumption” that the time stamp in the webcam image was local time to Italy. The time stamp indicates 03:00:57, and statement with the image reads “view of the crater area about one minute after the eruption this morning”. This time calculates as 00:00:00 UTC, however, if my assumption is wrong and the time stamp relates to UTC, then the following correlations occurred at this alternate time… The moon was located on longitude 115’08’E Bali Island, Indonesia… and it was Sunset in Los Angeles. At “12 hours” earlier 15:00: UTC 18th July, the moon was located on longitude 71’32’W Valparaiso, Chile !
It seems Valparaiso is “destined” to produce a result !!
Score: 0115 pts115 pts115 ptslesterJuly 19, 2020 at 2:45 pm #9284On 19th July at 20:15:12 UTC, an M 5.4 event occurred in the South Indian Ocean on coordinates 93’48’E – 10’54’S. At this time, the SLT (Setting lunar Threshold) was located in the San Francisco Bay Area… the RLT (Rising Lunar Threshold) was located on Mt Etna volcano in Sicily… it was Moonrise on Mt stromboli volcano in Italy… and the sun was located on longitude 147’47’E. The M 7.0 Eastern P.N.G. event of 17th July, occurred on longitude 147’45’E… therefore, it was solar noon (high noon) on this epicenter !
The T sequence for this Indian Ocean epicenter shows that this location currently shares the ATE threshold with Mt Ebeko volcano in the Northern Kuril Islands at 12:52 UTC. At 22:48 UTC, it currently shares a parallel ATB / Sunrise correlation with the post seismic M 6.7 Java Sea epicenter of 6th July i.e. ATB threshold on Indian Ocean epicenter, at the same time it is sunrise on the Java Sea epicenter. It is also currently sharing an ATE / Sunrise correlation with Los Angeles at 12:52 UTC.
On 11th July at 16:52 UTC, It was Moonrise on the pre seismic South Indian Ocean epicenter, on the stated coordinates… Moonrise on coordinates 94’52’E – 11’58’N pre seismic M 6.1 Andaman Islands epicenter of 17th July… the RLT was located on coordinates 94’49’E – 30’23’N pre seismic M 5.0 Eastern Xizang, China epicenter of 19th July… and the sun was located on longitude 71’36’W. I am currently working on Valparaiso, Chile, so inclusion of the suns position may have relevance. At “12 hours” earlier 04:52 UTC, the ATE threshold was located on Los Angeles !
On 11th July at 03:44 UTC, it was sunrise on Mt Stromboli Volcano, and the sun was located on longitude 125’23’E Sarangani Strait, Mindanao, Philippines. At 4 minutes later 03:48 UTC, it was sunrise on Mt Etna volcano, and the moon was located on longitude 14’58’E… Mt Etna volcano resides on longitude 14’59’E !
http://www.sunrisesunsetmap.com
Score: 0115 ptslesterJuly 18, 2020 at 4:41 pm #9283On 18th July at 15:32:35 UTC, an M 6.2 event occurred ENE of Hihifo, Tonga on coordinates 172’38’W – 15’16’S. At “12 hours” earlier 03:32:35 UTC, it was sunset in the San Francisco Bay Area. Between 18th – 21st July, San Francisco will share a sunset / ATE correlation with the M 6.2 Tonga epicentre… the ATE threshold will be located in the San Francisco Bay Area, at the same time it is sunset on this epicentre !
Score: 0115 pts115 ptslesterJuly 17, 2020 at 11:16 pm #9280On 24th June at 22:53:52 UTC, an M 4.0 event occurred near the North end of the Weija reservoir in Ghana, West Africa on coordinates 0’21’W – 5’37’N. It has been suggested that this event occurred due to over-spill of the hydroelectric dam i.e. volume of water is causing ground compression. On checking EMSC records, this event appears to be the only one to have occurred in this region during the last 15 years… or within limited period of EMSC records. This suggestion is “not” in dispute, but it would be interesting to know if, or when similar water levels were reached in this reservoir, during the stated 15 year period for comparison.
I had formulated an observational analysis related to the M 4.0 Ghana event… and posted a correlating forecast location accordingly. As off 14:03:42 UTC 17th July, a corresponding M 6.1 event has occurred in the Andaman Islands region on coordinates 94’52’E – 11’58’N. There is a Northerly difference of 210 km’s with the posted forecast coordinates. But due to threshold angles at this time of year, the pre 26th June formula is still within tolerant margins… thus data continues to correspond with the epicentre location.
The following table was used to calculate lunar stability between two specific locations i.e. moonrise / moonset. locations chosen were moonset in the Andaman Islands region, or pre epicentre coordinates… and moonrise at the coast of Oaxaca, Mexico. Each time represents the moon exactly on longitude 0’21’W Ghana.
20th June 11:21:41 UTC – moon 0’21’W – 22’14’N … MR Oaxaca 96’52’W …… MS Andaman 94’50’E
21st June 12:15:25 UTC – moon 0’21’W – 23’47’N … MR Oaxaca 97’36’W …… MS Andaman 94’52’E
22nd June 13:11:11 UTC – moon 0’21’W – 23’58’N … MR Oaxaca 97’36’W …… MS Andaman 94’52’E
23rd June 14:07:33 UTC – moon 0’21’W – 22’41’N … MR Oaxaca 97’06’W …… MS Andaman 94’52’E
24th June 15:03:05 UTC – moon 0’21’W – 19’57’N … MR Oaxaca 95’30’W …… MS Andaman 94’52’E
25th June 15:56:51 UTC – moon 0’21’W – 16’00’N … MR Oaxaca 95’00’W …… MS Andaman 93’15’EThe table shows that between 21st – 24th June, moonrise in Oaxaca differed by 2 degrees, whilst Andaman remained constant. Only exeption since the M 6.1 Andaman Islands event occurred, relates to 24th June… the SLT replaces moonset due to coordinate difference. On 20th and 25th June, as the table shows… there was no match with the Andaman epicentre or forecast coordinates.
During 21st and 24th June, several solar / lunar ephemeris events occurred. These events do not directly correlate to the locations in question, but give some indication of potential influences during this period…
On 21st June between times 04:15:14 UTC – 04:34:00 UTC, the sun and moon shared the same lateral position of 23’26’N for the duration of this period. This latitude is the highest the sun attains during the Northern Hemisphere solstice period. At 04:34:00 UTC, the moon was located on longitude 110’47’E. On 6th July at 22:54:47 UTC, an M 6.7 event occurred in Java, Indonesia on longitude 110’41’E… this event was included (second post above) in my determinations to continue this forecast.
On 21st June between times 06:41:56 UTC – 06:44:35 UTC, It was New Moon and this was accompanied by a Northern Hemisphere solar eclipse.
On 22nd June between times 00:51:43 UTC – 06:58:29 UTC, the moon was located on its most Northern Latitude for June at 24’04’N, and remained at this latitude for the duration of this period… a lunar standstill.
On 22nd June at 17:34:34 UTC, the sun made its first move South, after being at solar standstill for solstice, on latitude 23’26’N since first reaching this latitude at 01:22:41 UTC on 19th June.
On 23rd June between times 03:10:28 UTC – 03:28:21 UTC, the sun and moon were again sharing the same lateral position of 23’25’N.
Each of these events correlate to several of my current forecast locations, but these are not relevant in this analysis. Although this forecast resulted in a successful outcome, it does not conclusively suggest solar / lunar threshold correlations won the day over water volume theory. This is one analysis, and just like more “volume to quake” comparisons would be required to determine if this was a “working” theory. Further comparable analysis would be required as per my methodology i.e. would I get another positive result from analysing recent earthquakes in China !
The idea of posting this analysis, is to give opportunity to others to determine if this data can be deemed credible. This is pure observation, using online tools to determine calculations. However, though I try to be impartial whilst analysing comparative theories, on this occasion my last correlation may have swung the balance in my favour…
As mentioned at the start of this analysis, the M 4.0 Ghana event occurred on 24th June at 22:53:52 UTC. At “12 hours earlier 10:53:52 UTC, the SLT (Setting Lunar Threshold) was located on coordinates 145’45’E – 7’50’S pre seismic M 7.0 Eastern New Guinea epicentre of 17th July. Also at this time,the ATB threshold was located on both Los Angeles and the San Francisco Bay Area… this was an “interesting” event !!
http://www.sunrisesunsetmap.com
Thank you
Score: 0115 ptslesterJuly 17, 2020 at 8:43 pm #9279On 17th July at 16:33:53 UTC, an M 5.3 event occurred in the Myanmar-India border region. At “12 hours earlier 04:33:53 UTC, the SLT (Setting Lunar Threshold) was located on Bougainville Island.
On 17th July at 18:32:59 UTC, an M 5.7 event occurred in the Andaman Islands region… the ATB threshold was located on Bougainville Island at this time. At “12 hours” earlier 06:32:59 UTC, it was Moonset on Mt Ebeko volcano in Northern Kuril Islands !
Score: 0115 ptslesterJuly 17, 2020 at 5:22 pm #9278On 17th July at 05:40:36 UTC, an M 5.9 event occurred SSE of Iquique, Chile on coordinates 70’08’W – 20’13’S. At “12 hours” earlier 17:40:36 UTC 16th July, it was Sunrise on Mt Ebeko volcano in the Northern Kuril Islands.
Between 26th June and 28th July, the ATB threshold (Astronomical Twilight Begins) was located on this epicentre at “09:56 UTC” during this period !
On 17th July at 06:10:47 UTC, an M 5.0 event occurred in the Kuril Islands region. At “12 hours” earlier 18:10:47 UTC, it was Moonrise in the Sarangani Strait, Mindanao… correlations appear to be returning after a brief pause for the M 7.0 P.N.G. event of 17th July.
On 17th July at 13:29:05 UTC, an M 5.1 event occurred in the Andaman Islands region… the ATE threshold was located on Mt Ebeko volcano at this time.
On 17th July at 14:03:42 UTC, an M 6.1 event occurred in the Andaman Islands region… the ATB threshold was located on Mt Ebeko volcano at this time !
http://www.sunrisesunsetmap.com
Score: 0115 ptslesterJuly 17, 2020 at 4:56 pm #9277Addition to previous post…
On 17th July at 02:26 UTC, a volcanic eruption occurred from Mt Ebeko volcano in the Northern Kuril Islands… at “12 Hours” earlier 14:26 UTC 16th July, it was Moonrise on Mt Ebeko volcano !
On 17th July at 02:50:23 UTC, an M 7.0 event occurred in Eastern Papua New Guinea. As per my previous post, on 16th July two elevated anomalies were recorded in the ACE Phi data. First anomaly at 14:02 UTC now seems to correlate to Mt Ebeko volcano. Second anomaly occurred at 16:48 UTC, and remained elevated for 6 minutes until 16:54 UTC. At 16:54 UTC, the RLT (Rising Lunar Threshold) was located on coordinates 147’45’E – 5’50’S, epicentre of this M 7.0 P.N.G. event… Moonrise occurred “4 minutes” later at 16:58 UTC !
The last time the RLT was located on this epicentre was on 7th July at “09:56 UTC”… the moon was located on longitude 118’21’W at this time. Drawing on past experience again, the T sequence indicates this event may have “notable” consequences in US west coast regions !!
Score: 0115 pts115 ptslesterJuly 16, 2020 at 7:22 pm #9270An observation…
During the 24 hour period prior to this post time, two elevated levels occurred in the ACE Phi data. First point occurred from 14:02 UTC, and second point from 16:48 UTC… increased level was only maintained for 2 minutes and 6 minutes respectively. First elevation at 14:02 UTC, coincided with the ATB threshold (Astronomical Twilight Begins) being located on Mt Ebeko volcano in the Northern Kuril Islands. At “12 hours earlier 02:02 UTC, the sun was located on longitude 151’02’E New Britain P.N.G.
Second elevation at 16:48 UTC, coincided with the moon being located on longitude 122’36’W. At “12 hours” earlier 04:48 UTC, the ATE threshold was located on Los Angeles. My model indicates that in both cases, actual time and 12 hour windows do not correlate to any recent post seismic 5+ locations. Solar science may explain these short elevated levels. But drawing from past experience, I would speculate the first elevation indicates further activity may ensue from Mt Ebeko volcano… which erupted during the last 24 hours. And second elevation may be indicating the presence of a pre seismic anomaly within 1 degree of longitude 122’36’W… which includes the San Francisco Bay Area !
Score: 0115 pts115 pts115 ptslesterJuly 15, 2020 at 5:50 pm #9267Adjustment to forecast…
Decreasing margin to 200 km’s
Continuing this forecast for 3 days from 18:00 UTC July 15
Forecast includes possible eruptive event from Mt Ebeko volcano in the Northern Kuril Islands on longitude 156’0’E
On 13th July at 01:42:48 UTC, an M 5.0 event occurred in Hokkaido, Japan…. the sun was located on longitude 155’45’E Bougainville Island.
On 14th July at 01:42:04 UTC, an M 5.0 event occurred in the Balleny Islands region, South of New Zealand… the sun was located on longitude 155’58’E Mt Ebeko volcano.
On 15th July at 15:00:42 UTC, an M 5.1 event occurred on the Mid-Indian Ridge (EMSC)… this event is currently not listed by USGS !. At “12 hours” earlier 03:00:42 UTC, it was moonset on Bougainville Island.
Mt Ebeko volcano last erupted on 6th July at 20:38 UTC. At “12 hours” earlier 08:38 UTC, it was moonrise on Bougainville Island, and sunset on the pre seismic M 4.9 Western Indian-Antarctic Ridge epicentre of 8th July (USGS)… this event is STILL listed as M 5.6 with EMSC !!
Thank you
Score: 0115 ptslesterJuly 15, 2020 at 4:49 pm #9266On 14th July at 23:33:58 UTC, an M 5,7 event occurred in the Flores Sea on coordinates 120’27’E – 7’14’S. Comparative T sequence analysis has shown that sunset occurred in the Sarangani Strait, Mindanao between 2nd – 15th July at 09:56 UTC. Sunset occurred on the Flores Sea epicentre between 11th – 15th July at 09:56 UTC. Between 2nd – 16th July, both locations shared the same ATE threshold. Conclusion is that the M 5.7 Flores Sea quake may be a precursory event to activity in Mindanao… or, I was on the right train, but got off at the wrong stop !
There have currently been no further correlating events to Mindanao, since the double Vanuatu quakes of 13th July !
Score: 0115 ptslesterJuly 15, 2020 at 4:30 pm #9265On 15th July at 08:59:55 UTC, an M 5.3 event occurred in the Andreanof Islsnds, Alaska. At this time, it was moonrise in the San Francisco Bay area. Combined with moonset at 23:06 UTC (previous post), this calculates as moonrise / moonset in the Pleasant Hill / Mt Diablo regions.
At “12 hours” earlier 20:59:00 UTC 14th July, the ATB threshold was located on coordinates 120’27’E – 7’14’S post seismic M 5.7 Flores Sea epicentre of 14th July.
Score: 0115 ptslesterJuly 15, 2020 at 4:20 pm #9264On 15th July at 08:59:55 UTC, an M 5.3 event occurred in the Andreanof Islands, Alaska. At this time, it was moonrise in the San Francisco Bay Area. Combined with moonset at 23:06 UTC (previous post), this calculates as Moonrise / moonset in the Pleasant Hill / Mt Diablo regions !
At “12 hours” earlier 20:59:00 UTC, the ATB threshold was located on coordinates 120’27’E – 7’14’S post seismic M 5.7 Flores Sea epicentre of 14th July.
Score: 0115 ptslesterJuly 15, 2020 at 2:02 pm #9263On 15th July at 11:06 UTC, Mt Suwanose-jima volcano erupted in the Ryukyu Islands, Japan. At this time, the ATB threshold was located in the San Francisco Bay Area, and the sun was located on longitude 15’01’E, Therefore it was solar noon on Mt Etna volcano in Sicily, Italy, on longitude 14’59’E. At 12 hours later 23:06 UTC, it was moonset in the San Francisco Bay Area.
This correlation closely corresponds with analysis for “16th July” in first post above.
Score: 0115 ptslesterJuly 15, 2020 at 1:43 pm #9262On 15th July at 11:06 UTC, Mt Suwanose-jima volcano erupted in the Ryukyu Islands. At this time, the ATB threshold (Astronomical Twilight Begins) was located in the San Francisco Bay Area, and the sun was located on longitude 15’01’E. Mt Etna volcano resides on longitude 14’59’E, therefore it was solar noon (high noon) on this volcano. At “12 hours later 23:06 UTC, the sun will be located on the opposite longitude to Mt Etna volcano… and it will be moonset in Oakland, San Francisco Bay Area !
Mt Etna volcano currently shares a sunset / ATB threshold correlation with Mt Nishino-shima volcano in the Volcano Islands region, Japan. Mt Nishino-shima volcano is currently erupting, and reports from http://www.volcanodiscovery.com state that the continuing large ash emissions are now being accompanied by glowing lava bombs being thrown from the crater.
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