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  • 115 pts
    lester
    November 18, 2019 at 5:04 pm #6623

    I noted ACE had recorded 4 significant contacts during the past 7 days, each contact coincided with solar / lunar elements on 118’30’W. Correlations I have determined relating to today (18th Nov) may endorse said contacts…

    At 14:31 UTC, it was moonrise on the M 5.9 Kadingilan, Philippines epicentre of today. At this time in the Greater Los Angeles Area, it was sunrise in Santa Clarita on the west side of route 5, and down to the Thousand Oaks region near the coast.

    At 14:34 UTC, it was moonrise on the post seismic M 7.1 Molucca Sea epicentre of 14th Nov… and sunrise in the Santa Barbara Channel. If we determine that the RLT was located on the M 7.1 Molucca Sea epicentre at 14:30 UTC, it would have been sunrise on the east side of route 5 in Santa Clarita. Moonset in this region of Santa Clarita occurs today at 20:04 UTC… the ATB will be located on the M 7.1 Molucca Sea epicentre at this time !

    Fact: Mt Sakurajima Volcano in Kyushu, Japan exploded today at 14:31 UTC !

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    November 18, 2019 at 1:28 am #6622

    18th Nov 04:43 UTC – It will be moonrise on Mt Popocatepetl Volcano… the sun will be located on longitude 105’31’E = solar noon on Mt Anak Krakatau Volcano which resides on longitude 105’25’E.

    17th Nov M 5.6 Guam Region 23:55:49 UTC = sunset on Mt Popocatepetl Volcano… sunset occurs at this volcano between 14th – 19th Nov at 23:56 UTC.

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    November 17, 2019 at 7:02 pm #6621

    Oops !… Continuing forecast for 5 days from 19:00 UTC November 17

    Thank you

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    November 17, 2019 at 7:00 pm #6620

    Adjustment to forecast…

    Resetting Magnitude range as 5.0 – 6.3

    Thank you

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    November 16, 2019 at 2:29 am #6618

    Continuing this forecast for 5 days from 02:30 UTC November 16

    Thank you

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    November 16, 2019 at 2:27 am #6617

    Adjustment to forecast…

    resetting magnitude range as 5.5 – 6.8

    Thank you

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    November 16, 2019 at 12:29 am #6616

    Hey Counselor, I was tracking full moon correlations on 12th Nov, in relation to Continental North America. The correlations in question referred to sunrise and moonset occurring at the exact same minute. I have not observed any significant pre / post seismic correlations with your forecast location since 9th Nov. I originally decided not to post the full moon correlations because they held no relevance at the time… but recent circumstances suggest they do actually fit into a bigger picture.

    The solar / lunar correlation stated first made landfall (for the sake of a better word) on the southern tip of the Baja Peninsula, East of Cabo San Lucas at 13:31 UTC. It continued up the West coast of Baja until it reached San Diego at 14:16 UTC. The correlation then entered the water off San Diego, skimmed 500 metres off the beach at Ventura at 14:27 UTC, and made landfall again at Gaviota, West of Santa Barbara at 14:31 UTC. Last contact with the US mainland occurred at 14:33 UTC on coordinates 120’51’W – 35’18’N Morrow Bay, North of Vandenberg AFB.

    Today (15th) I made note of the fact that no 2.5+ events had occurred on the US West coast during a period of 38 hours 40 minutes. This period started at 07:49:38 UTC 14th Nov, when an M 2.6 event occurred on coordinates 120’40’W – 35’10’N approx 10 km’s South of Morrow Bay !! I noted for my own interest that it was sunset on 150’E New Britain P.N.G. at this time. This period ended this evening (my time) at 22:29:48 UTC, when an M 3.5 event occurred at Geysers, CA. My model showed it was sunrise on Mt Anak Krakatau Volcano, Sunda Strait, Indonesia… and the SLT was located on 150’E New Britain P.N.G. when this event occurred. Earlier today a 4.5 event occurred in Southern Greece at 18:15:12 UTC… the ATB was located on the same 150’E New Britain P.N.G. focal point at this time.

    I checked back through recent records, and found that the last absent 2.5+ event period occurred from 20:09:06 UTC 9th Oct when an M 2.6 event occurred in Ridgecrest, CA… until 13:39:33 UTC 11th Oct when an M 2.7 event occurred in the Salton Sea Region… a total of 41 hours 30 minutes. Doesn’t sound particularly interesting, but when I checked the Ridgecrest event time on my model, it showed the ATB was located on the pre seismic M 7.1 Molucca Sea epicentre of 14th Nov, and the moon was located on longitude 14’58’E… Mt Etna Volcano, Sicily resides on 14’59’E. Two days later on 11th Oct at 04:50 UTC, Mt Etna volcano erupted… I can testify to this happening ๐Ÿ™‚

    I don’t think you have missed the party here yet… its just waiting for the next solar wind to play more music !!

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    November 14, 2019 at 11:45 pm #6613

    Continuing this forecast for 5 days from 00:01 UTC November 15

    Note – The ATE was located on the posted forecast coordinates at 16:17:40 UTC 14th Nov, this was when the M 7.1 event occurred in the Molucca Sea.

    Thank you

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    November 14, 2019 at 9:48 pm #6612

    Hey Tayrence, I have noticed that the “Karma” points seem to increase when congrats is given to a fellow forecaster. If this is the case, then I reckon that at least 50% of mine are attributed to your “years” of successful forecasting ๐Ÿ™‚

    You are one of the original vet’s like myself, and the stats show that our hit rates have improved since we first joined Quake Watch… the same can be said of our differing methods. We have both received commendation from management for our contributions towards seismic science. Therefore, I believe this affords us the right to experiment, make “mistakes” and generally make fools of ourselves in the public arena ( that last part relates to me ๐Ÿ™‚ )

    We have had little differences in the time we have both invested here, but we have never intervened with each others determinations… I think that’s called “brotherly respect”. Lastly, could you try for a nice 4.5 in Puerto Rico once in a while… because these big ones are getting boring… ๐Ÿ™‚

    Well done again brother…

    This post has received 1 vote up.
    Score: 1
    115 pts
    lester
    November 14, 2019 at 2:39 pm #6609

    Continuing this forecast for 5 days from 15:00 UTC November 14

    Thank you

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    November 14, 2019 at 12:55 pm #6608

    Continuing this forecast for 5 days from 13:00 UTC November 14

    Note – focus is on Mt Fuego Volcano !

    Thank you

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    November 14, 2019 at 10:35 am #6607

    Continuing this forecast for 5 days from 10:35 UTC November 14

    Thank you

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    November 14, 2019 at 2:01 am #6606

    Continuing this forecast for 5 days from 02:00 UTC November 14

    Thank you

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    November 12, 2019 at 2:09 am #6599

    Continuing this forecast for 5 days from 02:10 UTC November 12

    Thank you

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    November 10, 2019 at 8:03 pm #6595

    With reference to the triple volcano correlation of 20:54 UTC 9th Nov… the moon was located on longitude 14’58’E Mt Etna, the SLT was located on Mt Anak Krakatau, and the ATB was located on Mt Merapi. An M 5.3 occurred today in Northern Peru at 16:14:20 UTC… moonset occurred on the M 6.5 Fiji epicentre of 8th Nov at 16:15 UTC today. At 20:54 UTC 9th Nov, the RLT was located on the pre seismic M 5.3 Northern Peru epicentre.

    At 10:32 UTC today (10th) it was sunrise and sunset on the M 5.3 Northern Peru epicentre, and Mt Merapi Volcano, Java respectively.

    At 00:14 UTC 11th Nov, the ATE will be located on the M 5.3 Northern Peru Epicentre… and the RLT will be located on Oxnard and Ventura, California !

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    November 10, 2019 at 4:33 pm #6594

    An M 5.2 event occurred today in the Scotia Sea at 14:24:03 UTC. Not a significant magnitude event, but significant for this region. The last 5+ event to occur here was on 8th August 2018. This event time coincided with sunrise on Oxnard and Ventura, California !!

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    November 10, 2019 at 11:35 am #6593

    Continuing this forecast for 5 days from 12:00 UTC November 10

    Thank you

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    November 9, 2019 at 5:47 pm #6592

    20:54 UTC 9th Nov could prove interesting… the three volcanos implicated with Oxnard and Ventura, CA are correlated to each other at this time !

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    November 9, 2019 at 11:34 am #6591

    Continuing this forecast for 5 days from 12:00 UTC November 9

    Thank you

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    November 9, 2019 at 1:31 am #6590

    Counselor, Mt Merapi volcano in central Java erupted at 23:21 UTC today… it was moonrise in Oxnard and Ventura, CA at this time. Active volcanic correlation strongly supports your belief of a 6+ event in this region… as do I.

    http://www.volcanodiscovery.com
    http://www.sunrisesunsetmap.com

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    November 8, 2019 at 5:48 pm #6587

    Glad I could help Counselorโ€ฆ these correlations are relaying signatures of location A feeding off location B etc. I finished work early today, so I have spent a couple of hours composing a small combo related to current West coast activity. Unsurprisingly, Mt Etna and Mt Anak Krakatau volcanos seem to play a key role with the correlations. Mt Etna is currently asleep (but not for long !), and Mt Anak Krakatau recently had two eruptions within hours on the 6th – 7th November… as implicated in my Italian forecast.

    7th Nov 19:33 UTC – The sun was located on longitude 117’20’W, which corresponded to solar noon in Ridgecrest, CA… and it was moonset on Mt Anak Krakatau volcano

    8th Nov 04:43 UTC – The sun was located on longitude 105’12’E, which corresponded to solar noon on Mt Anak Krakatau volcano… and the moon was located on longitude 119’07’W at this time.

    8th Nov 20:12:32 UTC – The moon will be located on longitude 14’59’E (Mt Etna)โ€ฆ and it will be moonset on Mt Anak Krakatau volcano.

    9th Nov 02:17 UTC – It will be moonset on Mt Etna volcano… and the ATE will be located on Ridgecrest, CA

    9th Nov 02:21 UTC – The SLT will be located on Mt Etna volcano… and the ATE will be located on Oxnard and Ventura, CA

    9th Nov 14:42 UTC – The moon will be located on longitude 105’21’E (Mt Anak Krakatau)โ€ฆ it will be moonrise on Mt Etna volcano… and it will be sunrise in the San Francisco Bay Area.

    Combinations between these volcanos and the LA region, don’t seem to correlate after the 9th November… so a window of opportunity according to this scenario may be short !

    I’ll finish here before I damage my rep, by posting “weird” stuff… ๐Ÿ™‚

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    November 8, 2019 at 11:52 am #6583

    An M 6.5 event has occurred South of the Fiji Islands at 10:44:44 UTC 8th Nov

    Within +/- 1 minute of this time, the SLT was located on Oxnard, CA… it was solar noon on Mt Etna volcano, Sicily… and moonrise on coordinates 65’10’E – 27’35’N Central Makran Mountains, Pakistan !

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    November 8, 2019 at 1:23 am #6581

    Continuing this forecast for 5 days from 04:30 UTC November 8

    Thank you

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    November 7, 2019 at 11:53 pm #6580

    I should also add that if the correlating sequence continues from the original post… then I should mention that it was moonrise in the San Francisco Bay area at 23:07:17 UTC (7th Nov) !

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    November 7, 2019 at 11:47 pm #6579

    An M 4.4 event occurred on the Iran-Iraq Border at 23:07:17 UTC

    Continuing this forecast for 5 days from 00:01 UTC November 8

    Thank you

    Score: 0
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