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  • 115 pts
    lester
    April 11, 2021 at 5:00 pm #10458

    Continuing this forecast for 10 days from 17:00 UTC April 11

    Thank you

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    April 10, 2021 at 8:08 pm #10457

    https://www.emsc-csem.org/Earthquake/earthquake.php?id=968593

    M 6.0 Off North Coast of P.N.G. (Bismarck Sea !) … 10th April

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    April 9, 2021 at 10:45 pm #10454

    Observed… M 5.3 Ryukyu Islands 22:07:30 UTC 9th April = Sunrise on Mt Sangeang Api volcano !

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    April 9, 2021 at 10:08 pm #10453

    https://www.volcanodiscovery.com/piton_fournaise/news/126882/Piton-de-la-Fournaise-volcano-La-Reunion-France-new-eruption-follows-sudden-seismic-crisis-with-more.html

    Unfortunately, I missed this eruption by one day… 🙁

    The report above states that Mt Piton de la Fournaise volcano erupted on 9th April at 7:00 pm local time (15:00 UTC). At 15:00 UTC, it was moonrise on Mauna Loa volcano in Hawaii. At “12-hours” earlier 03:00 UTC, the ATB threshold was located on Mt Etna volcano in Sicily !

    http://www.sunrisesunsetmap.com

    http://www.timeanddate.com

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    April 9, 2021 at 8:09 pm #10451

    https://www.volcanodiscovery.com/soufriere-st-vincent/news/126871/Soufriere-St-Vincent-volcano-St-Vincent-Island-West-Indies-massive-eruption-sends-ash-to-20000-ft.html

    The report above states that La Soufriere volcano on the island of St Vincent, erupted on 9th April at 08:40 am local time (12:40 UTC). At 12:39 UTC, it was moonrise in the Lennox district of Los Angeles !

    http://www.sunrisesunsetmap.com

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    115 pts
    lester
    April 9, 2021 at 8:02 pm #10449

    https://www.volcanodiscovery.com/soufriere-st-vincent/news/126871/Soufriere-St-Vincent-volcano-St-Vincent-Island-West-Indies-massive-eruption-sends-ash-to-20000-ft.html

    La Soufriere volcano on the island of St Vincent, erupted at 12:40 UTC 9th April. At “12-hours” earlier 00:40 UTC, the ATE threshold was located on Fagradalsfjall volcano on the Reykjanes Peninsula, Iceland !

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    April 7, 2021 at 5:32 pm #10444

    https://www.volcanodiscovery.com/soufriere-st-vincent/news/126627/Soufriere-St-Vincent-volcano-West-Indies-St-Vincent-effusive-eruption-continues-with-series-of-seism.html

    The report above states that a swarm of volcano-tectonic earthquakes occurred beneath La Soufriere volcano on 5th April, beginning at 06:38 local time. If I have correctly calculated UTC time for this region, the swarm began 37 minutes before the M 3.0 event occurred in Lennox, Los Angeles !

    The report was published on 7th April !

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    April 7, 2021 at 1:11 am #10443

    Adjustment to forecast…

    Resetting Magnitude range for Mayotte as 4.5 – 5.8

    Continuing this forecast for 5 days from 01:10 UTC April 7

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    April 6, 2021 at 1:17 pm #10442

    https://www.volcanodiscovery.com/suwanosejima/news/126526/Suwanose-jima-Volcano-Volcanic-Ash-Advisory-EXPLODED-AT-202104060135Z-OVER-FL050-EXTD-SW-OBS-VA-DTG-.html

    On 6th April at 01:35 UTC, an explosive event occurred from Mt Suwanosejima volcano in the ryukyu Islands, Japan. At “12-hours” earlier 13:35 UTC 5th April, it was sunrise in the Lennox district of Los Angeles !

    http://www.sunrisesunsetmap.com

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    April 6, 2021 at 12:55 pm #10441

    https://www.volcanodiscovery.com/sakurajima/news/126539/Sakurajima-volcano-Kyushu-Japan-moderate-to-strong-explosion-yesterday.html

    JEC, do you think this constitutes “notably” elevated activity from Mt Sakurajima volcano ?… be honest !

    Continuing this forecast for 10 days from 12:55 UTC April 6

    Thank you

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    April 6, 2021 at 12:45 pm #10440

    Continuing this forecast for 5 days from 12:45 UTC April 6

    Ref; La Soufriere and Sangeang Api forecast !

    Thank you

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    April 6, 2021 at 12:31 pm #10439

    Analysis…

    On 5th April at 11:15:37 UTC, an M 3.0 event occurred in the Lennox district of Los Angeles… the “first” of several such events. At this time, the moon was located on longitude 60’55’W, this longitude places it at the influential 15 arcmins east of La Soufriere volcano on St Vincent Island. The opposite longitude calculates as 119’05’E… Mt Sangeang Api volcano resides on longitude 119’04’E. At this same event time, the ATE threshold was located on Mt Sangeang Api. Last reports of activity from Mt Sangeang Api volcano, are from June 2020, and I speculate that this opposite moon / ATE correlation may indicate that this volcano is about to reawaken !

    If this theory holds true that events in Los Angeles were instigated by these volcanoes, then another testing time is going to occur today (6th April). At 16:06:05 UTC, the sun will be located on longitude 60’56’W… opposite longitude to Mt Sangeang Api. The moon will be located on longitude 118’01’W at this time. At 16:06:58 UTC, the sun will be located on longitude 61’10’W La Soufriere volcano… and the moon will be located on longitude 118’14’W. At “12-hours” earlier 04:06:10 UTC, the sun was located on longitude 119’04’E Mt Sangeang Api… it was moonset on Mt Sakurajima volcano in Kyushu, Japan… and the moon was located on longitude 55’39’E, Mt Piton de la Fournaise resides on longitude 55’42’E. It is also worth mentioning that whilst the sun was located on longitude 119’04’E on 4th, 5th, 6th April… the ATE threshold was located on the San Francisco Bay Area. Recent 5.5+ activity in Guadeloupe and Barbados may be related to La Soufriere volcano… or vice versa !

    T Sequence Data…

    4th April 16:07:32 UTC – The sun was located on longitude 61’10’W, and it was moonset on La Soufriere.

    4th April 22:07 UTC – 10:07 UTC = Sunrise / Sunset on Mt Sangeang Api = “12-hours”.

    6th April 18:10 UTC – 06:10 UTC = Moonrise / Moonset on Mt Sangeang Api = “12-hours”.

    7th April 12:59:33 UTC – Moon located on longitude 60’56’W… Moonset on Mt Etna volcano in Sicily.

    8th April 20:55:23 UTC – ATB threshold located on Mt Sangeang Api … Moon located on longitude 165’01’W, opposite longitude calculates as 14’59’E Mt Etna volcano.

    9th April 20:56 UTC – ATB threshold located on Mt Sangeang Api … Sunrise on Mt Sakurajima volcano.

    10th April 04:05:04 UTC – Sun located on longitude 119’04’E … Moonrise on Mt Etna volcano … at “12-hours” later 16:05 UTC, SLT (moonset) located on Mt Etna.

    10th April 21:22 UTC – Moonrise on Mt Sangeang Api … Moonset on La Soufriere volcano.

    11th April 09:42 UTC – Moonrise on La Soufriere … Moonset on Mt Sangeang Api volcano.

    11th April 16:04:40 UTC – Sun located on longitude 60’56’W … RLT (moonrise) located on Mauna Loa volcano in Hawaii.

    11th April 16:08 UTC – Sunrise / Moonrise on Mauna Loa volcano.

    11th April 22:06 UTC – Sunrise / Moonrise on Mt Sangeang Api volcano.

    13th April 20:56 UTC – ATB threshold located on Sangeang Api … Sunset on Fagradalsfjall volcano in Iceland.

    14th April 20:56 UTC – ATB threshold located on Mt Sangeang Api … Sunrise on Mt Suwanosejima volcano in the Ryukyu Islands, Japan.

    https://www.volcanodiscovery.com/fagradalsfjall/news/126506/New-eruptive-fissure-opens-1-km-northeast-of-current-eruption-site.html

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    April 6, 2021 at 11:01 am #10438

    https://www.volcanodiscovery.com/sakurajima/news/126539/Sakurajima-volcano-Kyushu-Japan-moderate-to-strong-explosion-yesterday.html

    On 5th April at 15:19:59 UTC, an M 5.0 event occurred NNW of Samtse in Bhutan. The sun was located on longitude 49’21’W at this time… the opposite longitude calculates as 130’39’E Mt Sakurajima volcano !

    Continuing this forecast for 5 days from 11:00 UTC April 6

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    April 6, 2021 at 1:47 am #10435

    Oops ! … Period: From 00:45 UTC April 6, for 10 days

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    April 5, 2021 at 8:16 pm #10433

    https://www.emsc-csem.org/Earthquake/earthquake.php?id=966951

    M 4.1 Lennox District, Los Angeles (listed as M 4.0 with USGS) … 5th April

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    April 4, 2021 at 11:09 pm #10430

    On 4th April at 21:41 UTC, an explosive event occurred from Mt Sakurajima volcano. With reference to the previous post, it already states what happened “12-hours” earlier at 09:41 UTC !

    If you take this Mt Sakurajima event at 21:41 UTC, and combine it with a “significant” contact in the ACE Phi data at 20:22 UTC 4th April… it may present you with a second chance at something you missed previously !!

    http://www.timeanddate.com

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    April 4, 2021 at 6:08 pm #10428

    Also worth mentioning that an explosive event occurred from Mt Sakurajima volcano today at 14:35 UTC… first reported activity since 29th March. At this time, the moon was located on longitude 122’36’W… at “12-hours” earlier 02:35 UTC, it was sunset in Berkeley, San Francisco !

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    April 4, 2021 at 5:30 pm #10425

    Hey Mark,

    I have been playing around with “Western US verses volcanoes” scenarios today, and thought I would contribute what I have found towards your watch. I too noted that activity in the US has gone strangely quiet, and was actually checking this out when you submitted your post. One thing I am trying to do is to establish correlations with active volcanoes, because I believe these play a “big” part with respect to seismicity. As of late evening on 1st April (UK time), I had formulated a forecast for New Zealand, and was just waiting for that little extra before committing a forecast. On 2nd April at 03:59 UTC, an explosive event occurred from Mt Suwanosejima volcano in the Ryukyu Islands, Japan. the moon was located on longitude 174’18’E New zealand at this time. As I had already included Mt Suwanosejima in the pre event scenario, I figured this was the calling I was waiting for. On 3rd April at 01:16:39 UTC, an M 6.6 event occurred East of the South sandwich Islands… and this was the exact time that moonset occurred on Mt Suwanosejima. New Zealand was not the target on this occasion, but it is an excellent example of “volcanic influence” at work !

    As far as the US is concerned, I observed that since 1st April, moonset on Mt Etna volcano has been correlating with the western US as moonrise. For example, correlating moonrise was located on Vancouver Island on 1st April. then as the moon headed south each passing day, so did the moonrise threshold. On the 2nd, it was off the coast of Northern California, on the 3rd at 08:49 UTC, it was located on Berkeley, San Francisco. And on 4th April at 09:47 UTC, it transited as far south as San Jose. However, looking further inland at this time, it was also moonrise on coordinates 115’25’W – 44’27’N. This location is the Bear Valley Mountain region in Southern Idaho. I checked EMSC records and it appears all recent activity in Idaho, has occurred within this region. So, a moonrise / moonset relationship with Mt Etna could potentially lead to more notable activity in the coming days. This moonrise correlation with Mt Etna enters Canada again on the 6th, transits Alaska, and returns to the US on 29th April. I mentioned “Berkeley” as a point of concern, because on 2nd April at 17:24 UTC, it was moonset in Berkeley and sunset on Mt Etna volcano !

    On 4th April at 02:04 UTC, it was moonset on Mt Sakurajima volcano, and sunset in Holtville, south of the Salton Sea. This location also has potential because on 3rd April at 21:04:27 UTC, the moon was located on longitude 129’42’E Mt Suwanosejima, and it was sunrise on Mt Sakurajima volcano. There is going to be a lot of influence from this correlation, and at “12-hours” later 09:05 UTC 4th April, it was moonrise in Holtville on coordinates 115’23’W – 32’48’N. At 02:13 UTC on 4th April, it was moonset on Mt Suwanosejima… and sunset in Searles Valley and San Bernardino, Los Angeles.

    One other 12 hour scenario relates to Hawaii… on 3rd April at 21:28 UTC, it was moonset on Mauna Loa volcano. At “12-hours” later 09:28 UTC, it was moonrise in Lone Pine, California.

    On 4th April at 09:41 UTC, it was sunset on Mt Suwanosejima volcano, and moonrise in the region of Pinnacles, California, on coordinates 121’10’W – 36’34’N.

    I do have other correlations, but decided to just include places of familiarity and known seismic history. The 4th April is a very significant day in the ephemeral calendar, because it is “Last Quarter” moon phase… and the moon reaches its most southern latitude for the month of April. These points alone may contribute to significant activity in the coming days !

    My scenarios indicate that there is potential for a few “vague” quakes 🙂 … but I don’t see anything that has me waiting in anticipation !

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    April 3, 2021 at 1:46 am #10421

    Continuing this forecast for 5 days from 01:45 UTC April 3

    Ref; M 6.4 East of South Sandwich Islands

    Thank you

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    April 1, 2021 at 10:30 pm #10418

    https://www.emsc-csem.org/Earthquake/earthquake.php?id=965832

    M 5.1 South Sandwich Islands … 22:02:15 UTC 1st April = Moonrise on Mt Etna volcano !

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    April 1, 2021 at 10:10 pm #10417

    Continuing this forecast for 5 days from 22:10 UTC April 1

    Thank you

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    March 31, 2021 at 1:36 am #10412

    Observed… M 5.2 Russia-Mongolia border region 00:01:26 UTC 31st March… -12-hours = Moon located on longitude 155’35’W Mauna Loa volcano !

    http://www.fourmilab.ch/cgi-bin/Earth

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    March 31, 2021 at 12:01 am #10411

    https://www.volcanodiscovery.com/earthquakes-volcanoes/news/125942/Volcano-earthquake-report-for-Tuesday-30-Mar-2021.html

    Continuing this forecast for 10 days from 00:01 UTC March 31

    Mauna Loa volcano had a busy day !

    Thank you

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    March 30, 2021 at 11:43 pm #10410

    https://www.volcanodiscovery.com/suwanosejima/news/125943/Suwanose-jima-Volcano-Volcanic-Ash-Advisory-ERUPTED-AT-202103300102Z-FL070-EXTD-NE-OBS-VA-DTG-300100.html

    Observed… M 5.8 Southern East Pacific Rise 21:35:48 UTC 30th March on coordinates 106’02’W – 35’23’S. At “12-hours” earlier 09:35:48 UTC, it was sunset on Mt Sakurajima volcano. On 30th March at 01:02 UTC, an eruption occurred from Mt Suwanosejima volcano… it was sunset on the M 5.8 Southern East Pacific epicentre at this time !

    Score: 0
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