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  • 115 pts
    lester
    August 3, 2017 at 3:45 pm #2387

    A B 9.4 flux event occurred at 23:59 UTC, August 2, it was Dusk on 73.66’W – 16.39’S Peru (6.4 epicentre), and Sunset on 83.850’W – 9.610’N San Jose Province, Costa Rica !!

    Score: 0
    37 pts
    HookEcho
    August 4, 2017 at 5:43 am #2389

    No, the TEC anomaly has not appeared, but it almost seems like they are censoring some of the data, lots of broken up imagery…
    I went with the 10 day window, that is the standard time frame between the anomaly and the associated seismic event.
    We have to Take in account potential alignment errors and plasma drift, here is a close up: https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B83EkoitOiKQUU5uTFAtZmFpbzA/view?usp=sharing

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    August 4, 2017 at 4:07 pm #2392

    Hook / Counselor
    A transmission break occurred in the ACE MAG data at 10:18 UTC, -8 LS = 10:10 UTC. You guy’s might have missed it because of the time difference, all traces were affected. The EPAMp data is showing structure atop the proton increase, first peak at 11:30 UTC -8 LS = 11:22 UTC. Second and highest peak at 11:50 UTC, -8 LS = 11:42 UTC. I have related these times to the following…

    10:10 – 11:22 UTC correlates with Sunset/Dusk on 117.230’E – 9.220’S West Nusa Tenggara … Dawn/Sunrise on 81.660’W – 6.010’N Off the Coast of Panama. If you allow a 1 minute margin, this also includes Northern Costa Rica.

    10:10 – 11:42 UTC correlates with Dawn/Sunrise on 70.770’W – 36.520’S Border of Argentina and Maule Chile. It may also be worth noting, at 10:10 UTC, positional longitude of the moon was on 169.349’E (Vanuatu!)

    A double contact (butterfly) occurred in the MAG Phi trace at 14:43 UTC, -8 LS = 14:35 UTC, it was Dusk on 66.67’E – 17.48’S Mauritius (5.9 epicentre, July 19) at this time. It also shows in the EPAMp data at the structure termination point.

    Probably nothing to get exited about yet, couple of 4’s perhaps… be nice to have something to break the boredom !

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    August 4, 2017 at 9:39 pm #2393

    Large spike in EPAMp data at 19:33 UTC, -8 LS = 19:25 UTC

    Positional longitude of the sun on 109.730’W (Sonora)

    Positional longitude of the moon on 35.116’E (Central Turkey)

    I’m a little less bored now 🙂

    Score: 0
    37 pts
    HookEcho
    August 5, 2017 at 12:45 am #2394

    The solar wind has been charging up our planet..quake time!

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    August 5, 2017 at 10:20 am #2396

    M 5.8 in Suyan, Philippines on 125.428’E – 7.155’N

    Check out my posts in this thread: July 23 12:03 am (Structural description) … July 23 12:58 pm (determined location) … July 24 11:05 pm (3rd paragraph, re-analysis of magnitude). This relates to 125.425’E – 7.155’N Davoa, Philippines.

    Woke this morning, exited to find I had a hit 60 miles South of my forecast co-ordinates… then I realised, I had forgotten to post an official forecast 🙂

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    August 5, 2017 at 10:23 am #2397

    Apologies… 5.8 Suyan was on 6.146’N

    Score: 0
    37 pts
    HookEcho
    August 5, 2017 at 12:36 pm #2398

    M4.4 – 72km SW of Challapata, Bolivia 2017-08-05 04:15:39 UTC at a depth of 231.8 km.
    M4.0 – 44km NNW of Torata, Peru 2017-08-05 06:17:36 UTC at a depth of 118.0 km.

    Deep seismic shocks nearby the TEC anomaly, approaching Full Moon, partial Lunar Eclipse.
    There also may be a link between the TEC above Bolivia and seismic events in Chile, but I need to do a bit more research.

    Score: 0
    11 pts
    Counselor
    August 5, 2017 at 6:10 pm #2399

    Heartbroken again… just missed the magnitude by .2, said m6+ though :-/, but forecasted the area:

    Counselorgimber
    JULY 18, 2017 AT 4:47 AM #2104
    https://photos.app.goo.gl/06gkNHmwxCi95cxI2

    That area too was based on some environmental factors and the exposed ophiolite. I believe the crust is also thinner in that spot. (Referencing the suyan quake in Philippines)And, previous blots in that area.

    • This reply was modified 7 years, 4 months ago by Counselor.
    • This reply was modified 7 years, 4 months ago by Counselor.
    Score: 0
    11 pts
    Counselor
    August 5, 2017 at 6:26 pm #2402

    Analyzing my screen shots lately has me curious about a few locations. Are the South American blots/quakes connected to a separate event? I am not seeing that lining up as clean. Since I am not using the math skills you have, I wanted your guys thoughts?

    Also, Fiji/Tonga, South Soloman Islands, Sandwich, Bougainville (#1) Alaska to Kamchatka, like Turkey and Costa Rica/Panama at the moment, keep showing up like a nodal point. If you were to imagine my images as a flip book, terminators/sun/moon seem to “stall/stutter/hicough” at those spots more often than most. Then, the environment is seeming to shift lows into the regions within the time gram you guys are using (either within 5-10 days, or into that 20 day mark). Are you guys looking at these spots for the next M7+, or is there something left you guys still need to see to make that prediction?

    Oh Hook, BTW, went to the TEC site for South America that you posted screen shots from. I have a screen shot that confirms they’re censoring that data. Same date of August 2, at 0400 UTC shows very little of the anomaly.

    Score: 0
    37 pts
    HookEcho
    August 6, 2017 at 2:18 am #2403

    Counselorgimber
    “Are the South American blots/quakes connected to a separate event? I am not seeing that lining up as clean.”
    You have to explain further, the TEC anomaly is a sign of a potential seismo-ionospheric coupling. We really do not know the exact placement of the epicenter of a future event. The actual TEC anomaly could have, and very likely occurred above Peru. But I cannot be sure, because I have to consider errors in the the placement of the anomaly. It is a problem they have been attempting to fix for years.
    I have found TEC anomalies near Bolivia leading up to significant seismic events that occur in Chile.
    Many times it doesn’t go the way you envision. Then again I am not sure what you are stating.

    The deep seismic events that occurred today are a sign that energy is on the way up to shallower depths.

    Those deep-seated faults are facilitators of geodynamic processes by providing channels for energy to transmigrate to the crust. These channels are complex, as stated by Dr. Chio. The energy could end up a channel where no amplification takes place and it stays in the 4 magnitude range, it could become trapped as well.

    The high speed solar wind is currently charging up tulleric currents, and if everything comes together at the right time with the Full Moon initiating an electrostatic discharge..a higher magnitude event will take place. After reviewing past higher magnitude events, a window of 3 days before, and after the Full Moon is an appropriate window.
    Possible influence of telluric current on seismicity of the Earth’s crust in seismoactive zones:
    https://link.springer.com/article/10.1134/S0016793215010119

    Maybe nothing will occur as well.

    • This reply was modified 7 years, 4 months ago by HookEcho.
    Score: 0
    37 pts
    HookEcho
    August 6, 2017 at 2:38 am #2405

    For an example, here is a close up of the TEC anomaly the day before M6.4 Peru:
    https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B83EkoitOiKQdXJ4bm9JVndfV2M/view?usp=sharing

    And the actual epicenter is way the f*ck over here:
    https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B83EkoitOiKQTEtoMHV5S0hQYmc/view?usp=sharing

    In regards to math skills you must be referencing Lester. I have no math skills, lol. I may have a few, but usually prefer someone else taking on such tasks. Counselor, you could could likely bury me in a math match up, match off, tournament or whatever those competitions are called..

    • This reply was modified 7 years, 4 months ago by HookEcho.
    Score: 0
    11 pts
    Counselor
    August 6, 2017 at 5:24 pm #2413

    Hook, lol thanks for the vote of confidence about the math, but I was just happy Geometry made sense to me.

    I was thinking I saw something… it may be nothing.

    Score: 0
    11 pts
    Counselor
    August 6, 2017 at 5:45 pm #2414

    BTW…thinking I see things…here is something that I have been working on since you shared the SA TEC Map with us. Wanted to see where the TEC was falling relative to types of rock formations…whether there is value/meaning here…figured it would something you guys might enjoy: https://goo.gl/photos/eTrzUnzZMUWPaD3j7

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    August 6, 2017 at 9:29 pm #2415

    If it makes you both feel better about your math skills… I don’t know much about TEC anomalies 🙂

    I don’t know where this fits in Counselor, but the focus of the TEC anomaly on August 2, appears to be centred on a little brown patch of 1700 million year old pre Cambrian terrain, according to your map… worth noting for future reference!

    Sorry you missed the Philippines, but as you say, you were in the right region… at least you posted yours lol.

    Thanks Hook for posting the TEC links… not been well for a couple of days, so it with give me something to study whilst I mend.

    I’m posting a couple of forecasts based on EPAMp anomalies today, one is linked to the EMBRACE data so I don’t want to miss it 🙂

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    August 6, 2017 at 10:56 pm #2418

    Something you might find interesting…

    2017-08-05 00:30:42 UTC, M 5.8 Suyan, Philippines … 125.428’E – 6.146’N
    Sunrise on Stated co-ordinates … 21:33 UTC, August 5
    Sunset on 44.360’W – 19.06’N Central Mid-Atlantic Ridge … 21:33 UTC, August 5

    2017-08-06 19:32:06 UTC, M 5.8 Southeast Indian Ridge … 99.756’E – 47.320’S
    Dawn on stated co-ordinates … 22:52 UTC, August 6
    Dusk on 44.360’W – 19.06’N Central Mid-Atlantic Ridge … 22:52 UTC, August 6

    Solar Noon on 72.080’E – 10.800’S Chagos Region (Just forecast!)… 07:17 UTC, August 6
    Dawn on 44.360’W – 19.06’N Central Mid-Atlantic Ridge … 07:17 UTC, August 6

    Central Mid-Atlantic Ridge location is Hook’s Mag anomaly from the EMBRACE data on July 27 15:04 UTC
    All details are in this thread; post of July 30 3:41 pm

    When the 5.8 Southeast Indian Ridge event occurred at 19:32 UTC, it was Sunrise on 161.478’E – 10.266’S Kirakira, Solomons 5.7 epicentre today (August 6)

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    August 7, 2017 at 12:26 am #2419

    EMSC has posted 4.1 Sonora, Mexico 22:55 UTC… right on the cross 🙂

    Score: 0
    37 pts
    HookEcho
    August 7, 2017 at 7:25 am #2424

    Argh! I just knew the M5.7 – 52km WNW of Kirakira, Solomon Islands quake was deep enough that we would see migration to the NW, and would likely be of similar magnitude or slightly higher. M5.8 – 139km SW of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea. But I hesitated posting a forecast in regards. You would not believe how many M6’s I have missed this year because I have began to hesitate since that long lull in activity. It has really thrown me off. I should just start following my instincts more often.

    I added some more map links, and will try and add some related papers so everyone gets an idea of what to look for and how to utilize those maps.

    Score: 0
    37 pts
    HookEcho
    August 7, 2017 at 10:34 am #2435

    You all could have very well already researched these topics on your own, but I am also posting for those who do not participate in our discussions, and for future members as well.

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    August 7, 2017 at 7:31 pm #2437

    Hook,
    I have been trying to correlate the 5.7 Solomon quake on the 6th, with other seismic sites and anomalous locations, but it won’t fit anywhere in my model. This afternoon, I was going down the chat room list to find your new map links, and found something you posted a few days ago… when I applied it to my model, I nearly fell out of my chair!

    Two structures appeared in the EPAMp data Yesterday (Aug 6), I worked them both just like I did for the Philippines. First one was Chagos Region, Indian Ocean, and the second was off the coast of Oman… both structures related to Sunset/Dusk. I then used the Solomon event time 00:15 UTC as a Dawn signature, I figured if it didn’t fit the model, it had to be a footprint!. At 00:10 UTC today (Aug 7), I noted a compression in the Tromso data, then another structure appeared this afternoon in the EPAMp data relating to Sunset/Dusk again… I determined this as Southern Iran.

    If you open 2 tabs with T&D, input Aug 6 14:22 UTC in the first, and Aug 6 00:15 UTC in the second. Flick between the tabs and you will see they converge in the Central Indian ocean… draw a small felt pen cross at this point (Chagos).

    Change the time in the first tab to Aug 6 15:47 UTC, leave the second unchanged. Again, flick between the tabs, and draw a cross where they converge off the coast of Oman.

    For todays structure, Change both tabs to Aug 7 00:10 UTC and Aug 7 16:22 UTC, and draw a cross on Southern Iran.

    Lastly, if you input the Solomon event time of Aug 6 00:15 UTC in the first tab again, and change the map in the second tab to the “Moon Light World Map”, and input the event time again… look what happens!!

    Solomon’s doesn’t fit in because it “is” a footprint!… I’m doing this against doctors orders, so I hope you try it 🙂

    A 3.8 in the Caspian Sea at 12:00 UTC today, fits on this line too!

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    August 7, 2017 at 8:45 pm #2438

    Further to this, inputting the time of the 5.8 Southeast Indian Ridge event, not only has Sunrise on the 5.7 Solomon epicentre (as I mentioned yesterday), but if you apply this to the moon light map, the moon light threshold is on 136’100’E – 33.540’N Honshu, Japan. And the moon itself is on positional longitude 57.02’E, close match to the Southern Iran Forecast I recently posted.

    I don’t keep landing on 136’E Honshu for no reason… if it fits the model, something is there!

    Score: 0
    37 pts
    HookEcho
    August 8, 2017 at 7:30 am #2443

    Nice presentation above, Counselor, I hate to even state this, but the tec anomaly appeared 08/02. Unless you located another?

    Oh here is something that slipped my mind.
    The M5.7 Solomon Islands occurred @ 2017-08-06 00:15:10 UTC. Nearby station Willis Island detected a strong ionospheric scintillation
    event just beforehand. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B83EkoitOiKQVU93SEVNb251MzQ/view?usp=sharing

    The same day, M4.9 Halls Creek, Australia @2017-08-06 04:21:51 UTC: https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/us2000a5b3#executive
    Located just above, The Darwin station shows a weak scintillation event, also prior to the seismic event.
    https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B83EkoitOiKQU0R5REtxRnNVWEk/view?usp=sharing

    M4.6 New Zealand @ 2017-08-05 22:42:40 UTC: https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/us2000a597#executive
    Nearby station Macquarie Island shows a spike/fluctuation in the Phase scintillation, also prior to the nearby seismic event.
    https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B83EkoitOiKQdlZSSUZOUXlPUmM/view?usp=sharing

    “Macquarie Island scintillation monitor is generally a sign of auroral activity.” There wasn’t any!
    “plasma bubbles” they state for the other two stations.

    Ya, that maybe so..I say they are also useful short term local earthquake detection stations!
    Ionosphere scintillation and earthquakes: https://inis.iaea.org/search/search.aspx?orig_q=RN:43020064
    And also that “Plasma bubbles” are formed when flux tubes pierce through the Ionsophere and are later depeleted.

    • This reply was modified 7 years, 4 months ago by HookEcho.
    Score: 0
    37 pts
    HookEcho
    August 8, 2017 at 10:31 am #2445

    The lastly, the rate of change in TEC over the last 24 hrs:
    https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B83EkoitOiKQUEFBNHJSOVJyVWc/view?usp=sharing
    Red ranks the highest..notice red is very close to the M5.3 Bodrum, Turkey 2017-08-08 @ 07:42:22 UTC. When I noticed all the smaller eq’s near the region earlier I thought to myself, they may see a larger seismic event soon. To add, the region stands out with a surface heat anomaly. I should rest now good morning and good night!

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    August 8, 2017 at 12:58 pm #2446

    At 07:42 UTC Aug 8 – Sunset on Bougainville P.N.G. … Dusk on Isangel, Vanuatu … Solar Noon on Mauritius 5.9 epicentre … Moon on longitude 107.44’W, opposite longitude = 72.26’E (Chagos!)

    2017-08-07 06:26:43 UTC, M 5.8 New Britain Region P.N.G. … 151.75’E – 5.40’S
    Dawn on stated co-ordinates … 18:51 UTC, Aug 7
    Dusk on 27.63’E – 37.00’N Bodrum, Western Turkey (5.3 epicentre, Aug 8) … 18:51 UTC, Aug 7

    Dawn on ,,,,,,, – ,,,, Bodrum, Western Turkey … 01:43 UTC, Aug 8 – Solar Noon on Bougainville P.N.G. … 01:43 UTC, Aug 8
    Sunrise on ,,,, – ,,,, Bodrum, Western Turkey … 03:21 UTC, Aug 8 – Longitude of Moon 44.36’W (See below) … 03:21 UTC,Aug 8
    Sunset on ,,,,, – ,,,, Bodrum, Western Turkey … 17:08 UTC, Aug 8 – Sunrise on Nikol’Skoye (7.7 epicentre) … 17:08 UTC, Aug 8

    Item in error…

    2017-08-06 00:15:11 UTC, M 5.7 Solomon Islands … 161.36’E – 10.22’S
    Sunset on stated co-ordinates … 07:13 UTC, Aug 6
    Dawn on 44.36’W – 19.06’N Central Mid-Atlantic Ridge (Hook’s anomaly!)… 07:13 UTC, Aug 6
    (Apologies … I didn’t have my Fiji mark lined up correctly!)

    Score: 0
    115 pts
    lester
    August 8, 2017 at 2:31 pm #2448

    2017-08-08 13:19:49 UTC, M 6.5 36 km’s West of Yongle, China … 103.843’E – 33.217’N
    Longitude of Sun at 13:19:49 UTC = 18.54’W, opposite longitude = 161.42’E (Kirakira, Solomon Islands!)
    Sunset on 66.67’E – 17.48’S Mauritius (5.9 epicentre, July 19) … 13:20 UTC, Aug 8

    Sunrise on 103.843’E – 33.217’N Yongle, China … 22:24 UTC, Aug 7
    Sunset on 66.280’W – 10.570’S Riberalta, Northeast Bolivia (Hook’s TEC anomaly, Aug 2)… 22:24 UTC, Aug 7

    Solar Noon on ,,,,, – ,,,,, Yongle, China … 05:11 UTC, Aug 8
    Dusk on 112.42’W – 46.98’N Western Montana (5.8 epicentre, July 6) … 05:11 UTC, Aug 8

    No other correlations found at this time…

    Score: 0
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