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115 ptslesterAugust 10, 2017 at 6:53 pm #2493
T sequence for L’esparance Rock NZ…
2017-08-08 04:47:55 UTC, M 4.8 Kermadec Islands Region, NZ … 177.97’W – 30.77’S
Dawn 17:10 UTC … Sunrise 18:34 UTC … Sunset 05:21 UTC … Please match the times!Sunrise on 168.84’E – 54.55’N Nikol’Skoye (7.7 epicentre, July 17) … 17:10 UTC, Aug 8
Sunset on 27.45’E – 36.96’N Kos, Western Turkey (6.6 epicentre, July 20) … 17:10 UTC, Aug 8
Longitude of the Sun on 76.09’W, opposite longitude = 103.89’E (6.5 epicentre, Yongl, China) … 17:10 UTC, Aug 8
Sunrise on 164.34’E – 49.30’S Auckland Islands (6.6 epicentre, July 11) … 18:34 UTC, Aug 8
Longitude of the Sun on 97.06’W, opposite longitude = 82.89’E (6.3 epicentre, Xinjiang, China) … 18:34 UTC, Aug 8
Longitude of the Moon on 73.61’W (6.4 epicentre, Southern Peru, July 18) … 05:21 UTC, Aug 8Solar Noon on stated co-ordinates for L’esparance Rock 23:56 UTC, Aug 8
Sunset on 83.850’W – 9.610’N San Jose, Costa Rica … 23:56 UTC, Aug 8Sorry Counselor, Nothing for Iceland but you still have a Costa Rica forecast I believe ?. I use an old program to determine these times, but there is a site called http://www.suncalc.net that you could look at, which you may find useful for sunrise/sunset times etc.
I had a fall and the fool Doctor tried to stop me using my computer… thanks for your concern, old goat has a limp at the moment 🙂
Score: 011 ptsCounselorAugust 10, 2017 at 7:40 pm #2494Yes Lester, I still have a Costa Rica forecast. Guess I should have applied that Volcano suspicion to Costa Rica 🙂
Heard in the daily S0 news that one had erupted there.
Yes, please be careful on that computer…I hope your not walking and using tech at the same time!
Score: 0115 ptslesterAugust 10, 2017 at 9:03 pm #2495Counselor,
“The Costa Rica Star” newspaper ( news.co.cr/volcanos_costa_rica ) reports first eruption of Turrialba volcano occurred at 05:30 UTC Monday August 7 (Full Moon), followed by a second eruption at 13:20 UTC. The volcano is on co-ordinates 83.77’W – 10.03’N, this location is 28 km’s SE of my 7+ forecast co-ordinates (Lester: July 22 at 4:14 pm). I have found no correlation with the first eruption, but the second one at 13:20 UTC places Sunset on the 5.9 epicentre Mauritius (July 19). Exactly 24 hours later (bar 10 seconds) at 13:19:50 UTC August 8, the 6.5 occurred in Yongle, China !!I mentioned that I have a good combination for Costa Rica on the 25th, but it relates to Golifito on the South coast on 83.123’W – 8.717’N. Golifito had a 7.1 earthquake back in April 1983, and if I get a 5.5+ in Vanuatu before 25th, the combination will match up for a possible re-occurrence.
Another eruption has begun in Kamchatka today, it is the third most volcanic region on Earth, after Hawaii and Iceland… a lot of fresh mantle material that fits your theory!… stop the press 🙂
Score: 011 ptsCounselorAugust 11, 2017 at 1:41 pm #2497My theory? Which of my silly theories are you referring to? 🙂 Like I had said with Hook, “my mind wanders.” Just when I think I have your idea worked out, I am discovering I was diverging from the practice completely until you give me a “follow the bouncing ball” timeline to work with as a refresher. Same with the reminders Hook gives for transmigration…my mental room has grown messy and I will need tidy up a bit.
Score: 0115 ptslesterAugust 11, 2017 at 7:37 pm #2499Well, this is true… there have been so many theories, you are hard man to keep track of 🙂 it related to Ophiolite and Peridotite. I am still speculating on the possibility that the gigantic jets over Hawaii, have a volcanic connection with Kamchatka. Also the Costa Rica eruption location is too convenient to be coincidental for a quake forecast.
I can appreciate how you can get in a mental mess, been there many times. The problem is you are trying to interact with conflicting methods, and you have your own theories that you wish to explore as well. Over the last 6 weeks, I have discovered that Hook and I do have some inter-relations, but we are not gaining any ground because our own ingrained beliefs are still taking us in different directions. We both believe the Earth retains seismic memory, and that TEC and magnetic anomalies are indeed related to seismic activity. But unfortunately, this is were we always part company, he goes underground and I head for the sky again, leaving you to try and work out both aspects… I just come up with the numbers Counselor, it is up to whom ever if they want to use them or not !
Score: 0115 ptslesterAugust 11, 2017 at 8:15 pm #2500Counselor,
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There is an aspect change in the Bx, By, Bt traces in the MAG data at 17:48 UTC, -8 LS = 17:40 UTC (looks like a rectangle). You should keep a mental note of this ( 🙂 ) because it relates to New Zealand, Iceland and the eclipse on the 21st… still work in progress, but I’ll post on it when tie up the loose ends !115 ptslesterAugust 11, 2017 at 8:54 pm #2502Hook,
Score: 0
Traces in the Tromso Magnetometer ( flux.phys.uit.no ) have undergone a significant aspect change, terminating at 20:14 UTC. Termination of Phi contact in the ACE MAG data also occurred at 20:22 UTC, -8 LS = 20:14 UTC… both sets correspond with 136’E Japan. I know you have been watching for this one as eagerly as I have, so I have now renewed my forecast… I’m just passing on the data !115 ptslesterAugust 13, 2017 at 2:08 pm #2505Further to the data posted above, I have sequenced the following related to 136’E Honshu on August 11… please match the times.
T sequence for 136.100’E – 33.540’N Off the Coast of Southern Honshu, Japan … Aug 11
Dawn 18:44 UTC … Sunrise 20:14 UTC … Sunset 09:44 UTC … Dusk 11:18 UTCDawn on 152.99’E – 4.25’S New Britain Region P.N.G. (5.3 epicentre, Aug 12) … 18:44 UTC, Aug 11
Dawn on 153.53’E – 5.82’S New Ireland Region P.N.G. (5.0 epicentre, Aug 12) … 18:44 UTC, Aug 11
Dawn on 153.56’E – 5.81’S New Ireland Region P.N.G. (5.0 epicentre, Aug 13) … 18:44 UTC, Aug 11Dawn on 131.26’E – 6.78’S Kep. Tanimbar, Indonesia (5.2 epicentre, Aug 11) … 20:14 UTC, Aug 11
Dawn on 131.09’E – 6.30’S Kep. Tanimbar, Indonesia (5.2 epicentre, Aug 12) … 20:14 UTC, Aug 11Solar Noon on 35.475’E – 38.810’N Kayseri Region, Central Turkey … 09:44 UTC, Aug 11
Sunrise on 73.54’W – 16.31’S Near Coast of Southern Peru (5.6 epicentre, Aug 8) … 11:18 UTC, Aug 11
Sunset on 101.72’E – 3.60’S Southern Sumatra, Indonesia (6.4 epicentre, Aug 13) … 11:18 UTC, Aug 11
Dawn on 109.020’W – 29.980’N Sonora, Mexico … 11:18 UTC, Aug 11Other correlations related to August 11…
Dusk on 131.17’E – 30.04’N Kyushu Islands, Japan (5.3 epicentre, Aug 12) … 11:29 UTC, Aug 11
Dusk on 157.29’E – 50.49’N Kamchatka Peninsula (5.0 epicentre, Aug 10) … 11:29 UTC, Aug 11
Dusk on 168.84’E – 54.55’N Nikol’Skoye, Russia (7.7 epicentre, July 17) … 11:29 UTC, Aug 11
Sunrise on 72.03’W – 30.28’S Offshore Coquimbo, Chile (5.8 epicentre, Aug 12) … 11:29 UTC, Aug 11
Sunrise on 83.123’W – 8.717’N Golifito, Costa Rica … 11:29 UTC, Aug 11I could find no correlations related to the 6.2 Mindoro, Philippines event on August 11 with the current model. However, I am in the process of formulating a forecast for 175.157’E – 42.237’S Cook Strait, NZ… which currently has 23 correlations with events starting from July 1. The 6.2 Mindoro event occurred at 05:28;26 UTC… it was Sunset on the stated co-ordinates in NZ at this time. It may also be of interest that on July 20 at 05:11 UTC, it was Solar Noon on 104.03’E – 33.21’N Yongle, China (6.5 epicentre, Aug 8) and again Sunset on stated co-ordinates in NZ !. On August 20 (day before the eclipse), it will be Sunrise on 168.84’E – 54.55’N Nikol’Skoye, and Dawn on 175.157’E – 42.237’S Cook Strait, NZ at 17:31 UTC.
I will post the remaining NZ correlations another day, because I think there is only myself minding the store at the moment !
All the above can be verified with T&D and Suncalc.net
Score: 0115 ptslesterAugust 13, 2017 at 2:56 pm #2509Due to the current rate at which Bodrum, Western Turkey is dominating the EMSC page, I thought I would include the following…
Dawn on 136.100’E – 33.540′ Southern Honshu, Japan … 18:44 UTC, Aug 12
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Dusk on 27.17’E – 37.13’N Bodrum, Western Turkey (4.9 epicentre) … 18:44 UTC, Aug 1237 pts115 pts115 ptslesterAugust 14, 2017 at 8:32 pm #2520Speaking of solar flux events… here’s something I worked on today that you might find interesting, if you don’t mind placing a couple of felt pen dots on your screen!
Open 2 tabs with T&D, in the first map input 02:08 UTC July 24, place a dot in the centre of the sun image, and then change the time to 10:04 UTC. In the second map, input 02:13 UTC Aug 14, dot the centre of the sun again, then change the time to 09:46 UTC. If you flick between the tabs, you will see that Dusk alternates between the 2 dots, but Sunset remains constant on 136’E Honshu. The first dot represents the time of the M 2.4 flux event on July 24, the second dot relates to the C 1.8 flux event today. Taking this further, input 03:48 UTC Aug 14, dot the sun again, and then change time to 20:17 UTC, at this time, Dawn is on the dot and Sunrise is on 136’E Honshu. 03:48 UTC represents the B 6.4 flux event that followed the C 1.8.
Are you able to source any regional TEC data for New Zealand ?
Score: 037 pts115 pts11 ptsCounselorAugust 16, 2017 at 6:10 am #2529Hello Hook and Lester,
Just been in observation mode lately. I have a couple of forecasts left out there, but it has been busy for me at work. I wanted to share a compilation of the epicenters of some of the 5.7+ quakes I have been tracking since talking with you guys using TandD. It is just time and date screen shots, and only big quakes. Forgive the duplicates 🙂 Just thought it would be interesting to have another album to share where the pattern begins to emerge. Hope to be able to provide more comprehensive albums that include other pieces of information. Just wanted to check in…hope to be back again soon!
BTW… look for the red dot
https://goo.gl/photos/6M2ESEf8AMEefara7
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This reply was modified 7 years, 4 months ago by
Counselor.
115 ptslesterAugust 16, 2017 at 8:07 pm #2533These are really good Counselor, I like how you have also included Moonlight shots too. I have picked out at least 5 contacts relating to Cook Strait NZ using these… but most tend to favour Iceland for some reason 🙂 . Which reminds me about what I was going to tell you the other day. On August 21, the City of Reykjavik, Iceland on 21.98’W – 64.150’N, and Cook Strait NZ on 175.150′ – 42.230’S, share Sunrise and Sunset respectively at 05:44 UTC… this only happens on this day !!
Score: 037 ptsHookEchoAugust 17, 2017 at 4:33 am #2536Yup, Counselor. Fine job.
So, this is actually what I did awhile back, I just did not make a presentation of it.
Perhaps you may find the time?
I used this list: significant earthquakes 2017 https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php
and a few others.
Also if you can pull out a pattern and post the presentation for reference, etc. Like I did with the tec maps.Yo management! An area where we can post these
sorts of things. Like a “Current Research” section or something with controlled access, not restricted..but controlled.
Idk, I need a soda, brb-
This reply was modified 7 years, 4 months ago by
HookEcho.
115 ptslesterAugust 17, 2017 at 11:18 am #2544Focal point of the TEC anomaly is Caprixaba, Brazil/Bolivia border on 67.625’W – 10.612’S approx 150 km’s West of Riberalta. Dawn in Caprixaba today occurs at 09:31 UTC, on the 18th this changes to 09:30 UTC, and remains this time until the 21st when it then changes to 09:29 UTC.
On the 18th at 04:11:05 UTC, the moon reaches its most Northerly latitude of the month at 19.38’N. It remains on this latitude until ” 09:30:06 UTC”, at which point it begins its journey South. Perhaps this is the same anomaly as detected on August 2, its reappearance further West could be attributed to orbital position, or similar solar wind influences… may be nothing, but who knows !
Score: 037 ptsHookEchoAugust 17, 2017 at 1:12 pm #2545Lester,
Oh but there is more. I found some newer anomalies around the same area, but also along with this:
https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B83EkoitOiKQbTVxU1BQZXl1QXM/view?usp=sharing
So I am scrolling through the hours of data watching that anomaly shift, re-adjust, wondering.
https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B83EkoitOiKQWEk2WFhUSFdOTnM/view?usp=sharingIt stopped updating @ 8:50 so I went and checked the latest quakes, and was drawn immediately to:
M5.2 – Ascension Island region 2017-08-17 08:52:25 UTC at a depth of 10.0 km.
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/us2000a90w#executiveNow I will be the first to state, ya it wasn’t all that large of a quake and even though it lines up well horizontally, still out there.
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Maybe those seismo electric fields are indeed being amplified by the ocean and the appearance in size of the anomaly and the strength of the associated seismic event does not necessarily reflect one another in those terms. I will have to follow up on that.11 ptsCounselorAugust 17, 2017 at 1:36 pm #2546Real quick on the dates coming up… from now until the 21 and a few days following, many lows present or moving into the spots we have had on watch (environmental factor), fun fact about cook strait is that it has a nice ophiolite line that starts mid point on South Island and traces right into the straight and has been found to have a magnetic anomaly that tracks from the point around the straight to north island. Although probably no surprise, but I will look at some past records for quakes in that area soon. With the spectral foot print left in that zone, any crazy TEC or fO2 changes (if any, but went to that giro site and there was some craziness a day or two ago in Brazil that is along that same line that traces over to Fiji/tonga area???
Score: 037 ptsHookEchoAugust 17, 2017 at 1:54 pm #2547So I was toying with this notion before, I went to post a forecast noticed someone had created a post right before me identifying the same region.
In this case, Chile. So I thought to myself, how can I make my forecast slightly more accurate, or at the very least add something overall if the event was to occur.I went ahead and added some of the most recent anomalies, but also this:
Peak onset times UTC:
(Experimental)
07:00
11:00
12:16
17:00
22:29Since I was rather spontaneous in tagging it on, and certainly did not want to be fumbling around and have the event occur before I finish the post (oh yeah, it happens) I just rattled off a few sets of times without any real checking or verifying. This is one way we can combine some of our efforts and methods. Perhaps you all can come up with more accurate onset times or perhaps a better way of doing/presenting. If it would improve accuracy and shown to be consistent, I personally would totally add this to my future forecasts or something similar. Thoughts?
Score: 037 ptsHookEchoAugust 17, 2017 at 2:07 pm #2548How about I actually provide you a premise? Lol! I am losing my mind.
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So, if we are focused on a particular region for limited amount of time, it would be within reason to provide time sets that are based off terminators, Sun/Moon shadows each respectively.37 pts11 ptsCounselorAugust 17, 2017 at 2:40 pm #2550Hahaha…no worries man! Brb…gotta go myself. And, I dig the idea dude! If we divide up some of the work, the. We should also figure what timeszones we are in. It might help with those sites that archive, but “adjust/smooth” the data later? …cough cough embrace cough…catching the data as fresh as it can be per our respective time zones? Losing my mind with you guys 🙂
Score: 037 ptsHookEchoAugust 17, 2017 at 2:44 pm #2551It would be a tough call without an image to source, as those images get scrapped and replaced throughout the day,
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When I think I may have gotten something, I usually take some screenshots and cross check with various other monitors. They display some insane looking variations on those monitors at times, the latest B0 not an exception.
https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B83EkoitOiKQTVo2Q2diTmNWY0k/view?usp=sharing -
This reply was modified 7 years, 4 months ago by
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