Please note Hook’s words, and they are accurate. Dutch uses a derivative of what Hook showed everyone. Then he claimed everyone else stole it. He has done this to people for years and his followers never catch on. Not just our group, but Jim Lee, patriocspace, and even some who used to be within his group. It is sad but true. I implore you, if you want to credit someone, credit Hook or Blot… but not the guy who gives no credit for what he does, and then claims others stole it.
Agreed – that’s the Indo/PNG area. It will be difficult if Solomon Is. or the starred areas go off in a big way due to the confusion. The Solomon Is. took a 5.6 this morning but in the far eastern islands, not near the star.
On SpaceWeatherNews.com — but not so helpful for earthquakes. They use 250km blocks which smudge out and remove any real anomalies, which are just a few kilometers wide at most.
Hello fallensun – the title of the post is a bit confusing – March 3? Is that a typo? If so, just reply and correct it- no big deal.
Check out the forecasting guidelines- it is difficult to tell when your forecast ends. I love the magnitude forecast and the easy-to-see location lines that show which areas are on alert. I usually don’t specify a timeline in my alert maps because they run until the next one is made – is that your situation?
If yes, remember the timeline restrictions for calling out hits. Otherwise, I would say that this is a darn good approximation of the blot events. If posted for less than a full week, and a 7.5+ hits a red line, you’d qualify for the official contest. 🙂
Click around here and see if you can pick out the anomaly. If it is just one frame it is usually best to ignore it- most are cosmic rays or dust/gases. If it persists for at least 3 frames it might be something else.
🙂
🙁 Sadly, numerous people posted coronal hole earthquake alerts for Japan – and nobody listened. Do you know how to find the coronal holes from that day?
Right now I would suggest using the overlays on the windmaps. Two good ones are earth.nullschool.net and WindyTV.com
Philippines has highest risk when the earthspot is overhead, Japan rumbles before or during the event, Mexico rumbles while storms are to the south. Central America has rumbled when a storm approached. South America storms crossing the fault line are significant especially if the incoming wind flow from the north came from across the equator in the northern hemisphere. New Zealands M7.8 this year hit with a cyclone nearby.
Too many to list them all.
Mapping coronal holes and other space weather impacts (like CMEs and flares) to which pressure cells will have enhanced GEC effects is the subject of our next advice video – hopefully coming out in the next day or two 🙂
There is no doubt about it, this is the first M6 prediction of the website. And it is highly significant!
Here is some preliminary information (no deep analysis): M6 in Nicobar Islands (West of Sinabung, understood to mean the rest of Indonesia, India, and the northeast Indian ocean.
User correctly forecast the location, magnitude and time of an earthquake that is rare enough to be noteworthy. This alert period lasted less than 48 hours (posted on the 13th, lasted until the 15th- which means the end of the 14th).
According to our model, the Blot echo in that region was unquestionably a factor in that region being placed on our M5.6 – M6.3 alert hours before it occurred, and the low pressure cell and OLR data suggest atmospheric signals were at work as well. From the GEC perspective, none of the high pressure cells appear in position to have affected the release of this deep energy, but let us not forget that blot echoes can result from a number of energetic sources beneath the ground, including pyroelectric, piezoelectric, and other deforming actions in subjected crust which are known to generate electricity, and therefore could translocate water and olivine (per Billy’s groundbreaking experiments).
If any website members from S0 are here, this should start to sound familiar now, and every last piece of this puzzle should be coming together.
This is an excellent example of a forecast that would be valid, if such an event occurs. It would qualify for both the Success Proclamations forum and for the contest.
Good to see you Fred. We hope to get as much information out to you as possible over the coming months, and hopefully it will begin a major scientific movement! The first Members tips posts is already posted in the tips forum 🙂
Despite the failed links, you described it well enough. The PMSA station is easy to find on a map and the Somalia plate basically covers far southeastern Africa. This clearly defines the region in question.
I would also say that these would have worked: “The southern Atlantic Ocean fault area, closest to the Somalia plate.” or “from the Somalia Plate westward to PMSA station.”
I’m sorry, but your post was not acceptable my friend. There is a simple method that allows for these forecasts to work. If you want to write a speech after following the formula, fine- but you MUST follow the formula FIRST. Post anything you want beneath that. Please follow the guidelines- I could not have been more clear about that. It is not just so we can tell if your methods have merit, but so that others can easily get the facts THEN read your explanation.
There was one legitimate prediction in there. Please feel free to amend the others by replying OR starting a new post. Truly, you have made the first valid prediction on this site, and you can easily amend the others to make them valid.
See the [EXAMPLES] postings if you need to see the rules in a action. You can feel free to post forecasts in any way that satisfies the three aspects of the forecast (location, magnitude, timing) and then write anything you want.
