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11 ptsCounselorSeptember 8, 2017 at 5:10 am #2833
Well…
This is what I get for ignoring signs that still pointed to this areas for weeks after, took my eyes off of it for other signs I thought were making for something more imminent. Definitely going back to the drawing board now:
Counselorgimber
JULY 29, 2017 AT 3:12 PM #2305
Would also like to include a 350KM line along the coast of Chiapas Mexico that starts from Mexico Guatemala border, then northwestward along the coast line. Possible M6+ for same watch period above.Scratching my head…majorly scratching my head.
This post has received 1 vote up.Score: 111 ptsCounselorSeptember 7, 2017 at 5:00 am #2828Lester,
I haven’t been keeping up with Iceland as much as I would like too. I got swept up in some blots that were hitting in Alaska and Kamchatka region. The recent solar flares have put much of what I had been tracking on pause just because I feel like sitting back and watching a bit too. I revisit Iceland because I do have an active forecast based on some previous information. I have only seen smaller quakes show up in the areas I recently forecasted, including Costa Rica again, but I just extended it to the 20 day max (a post that I made on August 28th) thinking that those blots, weather activity, terminator contacts won’t go totally unanswered in light of these recent flares and coronal holes. I even took a detour to review some concepts and mess around with around with other ideas, probably incorrectly linking ideas together, but I am a sucker for theorizing.
I do thank you for letting me know where you stood at that time. I realized later that my message to you may have come off as snarky (darn lack of a face and voice when we write only in part). So, I understood why you would have shut down, and apologize for the effect that had on you. To clarify, there is some truth to my statement, but it’s more related to migraines (which have started to come back lately and have suffered with since age 5). I do need to slow down because they become worse when I begin to work my thinking in a frenetic way. If I forget to “rest” my brain, then I can actually suffer from symptoms debilitating enough to keep me home for a day or two (sometimes longer) even when I make a concerted effort for scheduling sleep and family. What stinks is then I end up taking a break from something long enough where I begin cutting it out from my routine, then I forget about it. But, I enjoy this too much to let it go. Yet, I think I need to (me being sarcastic again) go take a seat at the kids table (I am one at heart anyway).
I would like to read about more of what you found because I did happen to look at where the moon and sun were at the different flaring events, but didn’t really have time for any analysis. You and Hook have been generous with your knowledge, and I am a willing reader/student. So, I would be remiss to pass on anything else I could learn. I hope you are enjoying the book!
Score: 011 pts11 pts11 ptsCounselorSeptember 1, 2017 at 4:50 am #2797Hook… 2 questions-
Do you have any PDF files or links to share about your comment related to the tilt?
Did you shut down another TEC site?
http://swaciweb.dlr.de/fileadmin/PUBLIC/TEC/TEC_RATE_GB.png hasn’t been updating lately. It has been stuck on 8/31/17 at 0845 UTC.I have a few screen shots to show for it: https://photos.app.goo.gl/Vv2uCb7a7cNT4k9g1
This post has received 1 vote up.Score: 111 pts11 ptsCounselorAugust 28, 2017 at 11:27 pm #2741Yes, Rock on! And, saw your post mentioned in the news today Hook! Thanks for the reminder about that blot quake that preceded the recent one. I forgot that shot in the part one album. Just added it in the link above and hoping that will show. I just didn’t want to throw too much into these albums, and it was late. I think the magnetic coupling talk on recent podcasts had me going over to that stack plot most recently…again my mind wanders…
Ok…guess I will be back later.
Score: 011 pts11 ptsCounselorAugust 28, 2017 at 7:40 am #27207+ experimental analysis
https://goo.gl/photos/5KWMhxmzaxr5xtYx87+ experimental analysis part 2
https://goo.gl/photos/oQSdA23kzXFE731D7Hello guys,
The links are to some small albums…my promise… that are simply my humble rational for my recent quake forecast. Haven’t really had any time to myself this week until today, and charged hard to put together these recent pieces of data together. Wanted to see where you guys are and you each have been busy. I thought I was busy keeping up with all the San Antonio, Puerto Rico quakes, which is what distracted me from looking at a different set of older quakes for analysis.
So…Anyway…
Part one was my simply some unscientific inkling about that recent 6 pointer, hence the review of a few big quake locations at the start of that album, but I have a combination of Mag data, and some small quakes that lined up the larger one. The start of the mag formation shows the sun terminator at the future epicenter with the end of the formation being the beginning of the moon terminator. The couple of quakes I found that lined up seemed like it followed the pattern per Lester’s teaching (minus a few quakes in between…sorry), but I was looking for rare M4/5 clues (like the recent Atlantic quake that Ben pointed out on one of daily news reports.
Part 2 was realizing that stack plot I reviewed shows a green tesla strength line that I don’t see dip very often, especially one that causes a ripple in the red line underneath it (I don’t have any other images from the previous 7.7 to confirm this so it is my speculation). I used TandD to map out terminators and the locations of sun and moon, coupling those environmental factors again (wind/pressure maps). Lester, I am sorry for not having a graphic that represents the T sequence. I have to work with a phone more or less.
Since I was thinking about the lows that dissipate/dramatically gain in strength, my top forecasts went into my official one on “make a forecast”. Unofficially, we can see a nod to central/eastern Turkey, north island Japan/southern tip of Japan, a tip of the hat to Greece, a terminator running through a seemingly rare Bosnia/Herzegovina region (which popped today), Pakistan, PNG, and Sinabang, Indonesia. What made me think of you guys was where the sun and moon are at the start and end of the part 2. At the start, Moon lines up Iceland, and North Acencion Islands epicenter. Sun at the start looks like it sits right over Costa Rica/Panama/Guatamala. At the end, Moon lines up with that funny spot (Skagway?) that I think had an epicenter (that in between area of Alaska/Canada?), but the Sun lines up with the Solomon Islands (Bougainville maybe?)
Haven’t had a chance to read much of your guys past posts so I feel even more behind. I felt like there might be one more big quake left before we hit another big earthquake quiet.
Score: 011 pts11 ptsCounselorAugust 20, 2017 at 7:00 pm #2600Ok Hook and Lester. I will start here because I am hoping for you to have some TEC sourced for this time period, as well as the Math Lester. Starting with a ridge quake south of Africa up to a larger quake in Japan. I have some of the Windy.com maps that I sourced from S0 daily news to demonstrate something I see happen with the lows like the TEC disappearances that take place after any quake . At times of these quakes along the ridges, or subduction zones near the magnetic/gravitational anomalies, I have seen a low develop in areas along spots near central Atlantic, at terminator locations near at/near a previous epicenter, and it makes it way to an area that sun/moon is repeatedly showing up at the times of M4/5 quakes (probably not limited to larger quakes if these are linked too). And, yes, there is a quake I have in the Mediterranean here too because of that gravitational anomaly near the Atlas Mountains. When you get to the Japan quake at the end, the low pressure system begins to break down. I will work on the next big quakes I have in my obscenity of an album in the previous post. Hoping to have some TEC images for the other quakes I have listed. What I am hoping to contribute for you two, and for this group at large, is the intermediary for your models, and maybe one that can be “bolt on” during these periods of a less active sun.
Japan Experimental Analysis
https://goo.gl/photos/UjKa8DsxR2ZF6kFG7Lastly…I am sorry guys. Lester, I do appreciate your concern, and I am sticking to that making time for family. This is just how I am when I have an hour in the morning, and an hour at night to myself. I then get a little extra time in the day during Saturday here on the pacific coast. I knew I liked you when you referenced “Out of Africa”. So, here is a reference you may appreciate. Did you ever read Flowers for Algernon ? I am kind of dummy most of the time, but I have a trap memory for a lot of things. So, like the rise and fall of the character in that book, I sometimes have my bright moments. However, I fall into periods of being kind of slow and then I have a difficult time making sense to things I see. However, it repeats. I am beginning to slow down again and will need to focus on the here and now (home and career).
Score: 011 ptsCounselorAugust 19, 2017 at 8:50 pm #2583Hook and Lester, it looks like I may have found another key. Lester, not to leave out how awesome your spectral idea is too since I passed a comment over to Hook. Both your styles were inspirational for this moment I just had. Remember that little observation I had about TEC seemingly occurring in many of the same spots around Alaska, Africa, Fiji/Tonga, South America (and pribably of no surprise to some others reading this too perhaps). In addition, my ideas about the water that you validated here Hook with that article discussing the oceans as having an affect on the magnetic fields kept TEC as the elephant in the room for me. Then, I also had my fun idea about Ophiolite and how maybe there is a thing to that static build over the major fault lines, but a path of least resistance for teluric current kept dogging me too. The crust where it spreads is the thinnest and I know somebody in here mentioned the in flow/out flow of energy in different ways (Hook with energy transmigration and Lester with Spectral analysis/terminator sequences). I think Hook mentioned Peak times for earth quakes, and I too believe in something orderly with quake timing too as I would wake up to a S0 quake alert at so many of the same times in the early morning hours that the first 100 days of forecasting was almost like an alarm clock that was set for the same time. So, take a look at quakes that I used TandD on the ocean floor ridge lines, note the terminators of both sun and moon, as well as location. The usual suspects come up in almost every image with slight variation. Correct me if this sounds to forward, but perhaps these albums are the validating pieces of information for both your styles. I also could not let little line starting from north of Iceland down to the south polar region go from my sight! My brain kept telling me there was a pattern through that spot. I have also included an album of TEC images that had a reference to the salinity map and plasma jets map we have been looking at together over the course of a month. I reposted a link at the end for reference to the big quakes.
https://goo.gl/photos/DiAGPBAMn3KuHNvU9
https://goo.gl/photos/eVYJ9RBcJS7ESFDMA
https://goo.gl/photos/NjB4jx7ngcFRf6pa8
https://goo.gl/photos/3CdgWF8QdqhCB6Qt6
https://goo.gl/photos/6M2ESEf8AMEefara7
- This reply was modified 7 years, 4 months ago by Counselor.
11 ptsCounselorAugust 19, 2017 at 3:55 pm #2580Hook dude…I am not in the habit of pondering people’s reputations, but your talents for being a bad mama jama earthquake forcasta has spilled into the other part of the site that had been working! See the last image in this link…thought I would try to collect a few more images to begin making a few new forecasts when I got cut off and flipped off on my forecasting road this morning:
https://goo.gl/photos/opRtUVyL9KadhXAU7
Score: 011 ptsCounselorAugust 19, 2017 at 5:43 am #2577My thumb missed these when making the link: https://goo.gl/photos/w9J1UQjjUxXtLZPu9
Score: 011 ptsCounselorAugust 19, 2017 at 5:15 am #2576https://goo.gl/photos/hy8LZiPaQnL8T2hw5
Got lucky on this one!… speaking of eyes 🙂
Score: 011 pts11 ptsCounselorAugust 18, 2017 at 2:38 pm #2562Btw those shots of ionosondes are out of order because I have been watching the strange interference at the campo grande site for a while and it was happening at different times. The only other one catching my attention showing reading like that was Idaho labs.
Score: 011 ptsCounselorAugust 18, 2017 at 1:49 pm #2561Ok guys…barely had time last night and this morning. This is definitely going to feel like the kitchen sink being thrown at you, but it is how my mind works with staring at the Atlantic the last couple of days anticipating something. The part at the end is probably of most value…embrace shots and ionosonde shots from Campo Grande, Brazil.
https://goo.gl/photos/dF2sswuc269PBPR2A
Score: 011 ptsCounselorAugust 17, 2017 at 2:40 pm #2550Hahaha…no worries man! Brb…gotta go myself. And, I dig the idea dude! If we divide up some of the work, the. We should also figure what timeszones we are in. It might help with those sites that archive, but “adjust/smooth” the data later? …cough cough embrace cough…catching the data as fresh as it can be per our respective time zones? Losing my mind with you guys 🙂
Score: 011 ptsCounselorAugust 17, 2017 at 1:36 pm #2546Real quick on the dates coming up… from now until the 21 and a few days following, many lows present or moving into the spots we have had on watch (environmental factor), fun fact about cook strait is that it has a nice ophiolite line that starts mid point on South Island and traces right into the straight and has been found to have a magnetic anomaly that tracks from the point around the straight to north island. Although probably no surprise, but I will look at some past records for quakes in that area soon. With the spectral foot print left in that zone, any crazy TEC or fO2 changes (if any, but went to that giro site and there was some craziness a day or two ago in Brazil that is along that same line that traces over to Fiji/tonga area???
Score: 011 ptsCounselorAugust 16, 2017 at 6:10 am #2529Hello Hook and Lester,
Just been in observation mode lately. I have a couple of forecasts left out there, but it has been busy for me at work. I wanted to share a compilation of the epicenters of some of the 5.7+ quakes I have been tracking since talking with you guys using TandD. It is just time and date screen shots, and only big quakes. Forgive the duplicates 🙂 Just thought it would be interesting to have another album to share where the pattern begins to emerge. Hope to be able to provide more comprehensive albums that include other pieces of information. Just wanted to check in…hope to be back again soon!
BTW… look for the red dot
https://goo.gl/photos/6M2ESEf8AMEefara7
- This reply was modified 7 years, 4 months ago by Counselor.
11 ptsCounselorAugust 11, 2017 at 1:41 pm #2497My theory? Which of my silly theories are you referring to? 🙂 Like I had said with Hook, “my mind wanders.” Just when I think I have your idea worked out, I am discovering I was diverging from the practice completely until you give me a “follow the bouncing ball” timeline to work with as a refresher. Same with the reminders Hook gives for transmigration…my mental room has grown messy and I will need tidy up a bit.
Score: 011 ptsCounselorAugust 10, 2017 at 7:40 pm #2494Yes Lester, I still have a Costa Rica forecast. Guess I should have applied that Volcano suspicion to Costa Rica 🙂
Heard in the daily S0 news that one had erupted there.
Yes, please be careful on that computer…I hope your not walking and using tech at the same time!
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