In regards to math skills you must be referencing Lester. I have no math skills, lol. I may have a few, but usually prefer someone else taking on such tasks. Counselor, you could could likely bury me in a math match up, match off, tournament or whatever those competitions are called..
This reply was modified 7 years, 3 months ago by HookEcho.
Counselorgimber
“Are the South American blots/quakes connected to a separate event? I am not seeing that lining up as clean.”
You have to explain further, the TEC anomaly is a sign of a potential seismo-ionospheric coupling. We really do not know the exact placement of the epicenter of a future event. The actual TEC anomaly could have, and very likely occurred above Peru. But I cannot be sure, because I have to consider errors in the the placement of the anomaly. It is a problem they have been attempting to fix for years.
I have found TEC anomalies near Bolivia leading up to significant seismic events that occur in Chile.
Many times it doesn’t go the way you envision. Then again I am not sure what you are stating.
The deep seismic events that occurred today are a sign that energy is on the way up to shallower depths.
Those deep-seated faults are facilitators of geodynamic processes by providing channels for energy to transmigrate to the crust. These channels are complex, as stated by Dr. Chio. The energy could end up a channel where no amplification takes place and it stays in the 4 magnitude range, it could become trapped as well.
The high speed solar wind is currently charging up tulleric currents, and if everything comes together at the right time with the Full Moon initiating an electrostatic discharge..a higher magnitude event will take place. After reviewing past higher magnitude events, a window of 3 days before, and after the Full Moon is an appropriate window. Possible influence of telluric current on seismicity of the Earth’s crust in seismoactive zones: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1134/S0016793215010119
Maybe nothing will occur as well.
This reply was modified 7 years, 3 months ago by HookEcho.
M4.4 – 72km SW of Challapata, Bolivia 2017-08-05 04:15:39 UTC at a depth of 231.8 km. M4.0 – 44km NNW of Torata, Peru 2017-08-05 06:17:36 UTC at a depth of 118.0 km.
Deep seismic shocks nearby the TEC anomaly, approaching Full Moon, partial Lunar Eclipse.
There also may be a link between the TEC above Bolivia and seismic events in Chile, but I need to do a bit more research.
No, the TEC anomaly has not appeared, but it almost seems like they are censoring some of the data, lots of broken up imagery…
I went with the 10 day window, that is the standard time frame between the anomaly and the associated seismic event.
We have to Take in account potential alignment errors and plasma drift, here is a close up: https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B83EkoitOiKQUU5uTFAtZmFpbzA/view?usp=sharing
Modifying forecast to a 10 day window from the time posted [08:09:11 UTC Wednesday, August 2, 2017] This forecast is based off an TEC anomaly that had appeared in the ionosphere on 08/02.
M4.3 – 50km WNW of Vallenar, Chile 2017-08-02 21:30:26 UTC at a depth of 40.8 km. M4.4 – 21km S of Ndoi Island, Fiji 2017-08-03 00:32:02 UTC at a depth of 575.9 km.
Counselorgimber,
I just now noticed this discussion thread was still going, lol. I am going to try and get some more data sources posted. And reorganize what I have already have up.
The majority of the higher magnitude seismic events I have reviewed thus far, what they have in common is Sun/Moon combinations, I would like to come up with an average of the hours apart from one another would have the most influence, but it may vary by region/season, etc. Does that make sense? Let me know and I can rephrase the sentence.
I am currently working on an example to share of radio emission detection prior to today’s M5.3 – 91km SSE of Palaiochora, Greece 2017-07-31 21:29:11 UTC at a depth of 16.6 km, using stations that are located around Italy.
With no lightning interference and kp index at a low during the time frame those sources can be eliminated.
While I work on that, some reading for ya’ all: Unusual Sunset Terminator behaviour of VLF signals at 17KHz during the Earthquake episode of Dec, 2004: http://www.ursi.org/proceedings/procGA05/pdf/EP.18(01596).pdf
I am going to extend this watch 3 days, for a total of 10 days,
As it states in the paper A statistical investigation of pre-earthquake ionospheric TEC anomalies
“among the 50 earthquakes, 47 were preceeded by apparent anomalous increases and/or decreases within 10 days before the earthquakes”
This reply was modified 7 years, 3 months ago by HookEcho.
Yeah I was referencing my misspelling and sentence structure. My latest forecast, thus far nailing the regions, .1 of a magnitude off, and a couple .5 of a magnitude off.
As I continue to review the highest magnitude seismic events that occurred over the last several years, I see some potential of a pattern that can be utilized buried within, I may have to perform an extraction and some modifications. I am not quite sure yet.
For now, I will leave you with something of interest.
M5.0 – 39km S of Ndoi Island, Fiji 2017-07-30 03:30:38 UTC at a depth of 550.5 km.
Have the area circled on the forecast map above, but .5 of a magnitude off.
The energy did transmigrate NE M5.7 – 262km ENE of Kuril’sk, Russia 2017-07-30 21:00:49 UTC at a depth of 86.7 km along the Kuril Kamachatka Trench. .1 of a magnitude off. Again. M5.3 – 265km ESE of Iwaki, Japan 2017-07-30 12:45:06 UTC at a depth of 16.6 km.
.5 of a magnitude off. Still another day to go…
Nah, no secrets, the world needs to know, Esp. if we continue to improve. Or what is I don’t wake up tomorrow? Then it is lost.
I should post some tools for ya all. And some supporting papers, so you have an idea of how to utilize.
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