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    HookEcho
    July 30, 2017 at 1:39 am #2312

    Also these regions have the potential for energy transmigration from deep to shallow, M5.5 – M6.2 seismic event(s) over the next 48 hours, begin 01:36:22 UTC Sunday, July 30, 2017
    Forecast Map: https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B83EkoitOiKQSFFWYWtCZGdzMDg/view?usp=sharing

    Score: 0
    37 pts
    HookEcho
    July 29, 2017 at 11:08 pm #2306

    Yes, yes.
    The only family that lives close to me is my sister, right down the street in fact. LaCrosse, WI. Before, I had spent a several months before moving to my current location over where the majority of my immediate family members live. Way out in the wilderness, ha! I had ended a long term relationship, and basically just let her keep everything and started over from scratch. So I relocated from the twin cities metro area to the deep woods of WI, where I would have others around me that I was familiar with, and to restart.

    Well, it did not work out too well..I had to bicycle just over 5 miles daily to a WiFi internet connection, with my past credentials was offered a job at the same establishment soon after they learned i was back in town. Even though it was only part time, it was enough fir the time being and gave me more time to work on other projects. This was through the winter months, I didn’t mind the bicycling at all, it was the family. They could not understand why I was leaving when I woke up and making it home very late every single day to do my research and that felt this was my priority and was not socializing with them. I attempted to make time for them as well, but I always had my research on my mind, I was just starting to recognize seismic patterns and was in the middle of setting up to monitor the upcoming ‘tornado season’ to put my research in that dept. to the test.

    Note: the conclusion was satisfactory. I do believe with a little more progress, has the potential to identify, utilizing 3 day intervals, when the most severe tornado outbreaks will occur as far out as a month beforehand. Way back in 1975-6 there was a paper published, describing “The Wilcox Effect.” They concluded when the IMF reversed polarity, effects were a sudden decrease in atmospheric vorticity the day of sector change in the Northern Hemisphere during the winter season.

    So I stated to the other two gentlemen whom I corroborated with before, let us see what the results will be if we applied the research to the Northern Hemisphere but during the summer season with focus on the upcoming tornado season. We found the opposite, an increase in the vorticity index. Below is the link to the video containing our results.
    It isn’t the of the best quality, I just wanted to hurry and get the information out, before someone takes my research and claim it as their own.
    This has happened already so many times I have lost count, michael janitch aka Dutchsinse taking top spot in this category. He has many subscribers, and misrepresents information and data to his viewership. Anything of validity that has come from this guy he has stolen from me, proclaiming his “discoveries.” The final straw was when he grabbed ahold of my short term transmigration concept, which has roots in Claude Blots work, and came up with a regurgitated version that while he does get hits, he has no understanding of the concept. He deceptively covers up his misses and manipulates his viewers. Things became quite unsettled on youtube after Ben, witnessing what was occurring, came to my aide.

    Anyway, after despising what I do, my family now supports my work, after my name started making appearances in published papers, they finally realized of what potential good could result from it. If interested, here is the link to our results of tornado season of 2015, it is just a foundation, and needs to be tweaked. I daydream that it would integrate into forecast models someday, or at the very least, someone down the road stumbles onto the video and use it as a foundation for their own:
    The Solar Influence on Tornado outbreaks https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ufni9TdhMcU&t=2s

    • This reply was modified 7 years, 3 months ago by HookEcho.
    • This reply was modified 7 years, 3 months ago by HookEcho.
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    37 pts
    HookEcho
    July 29, 2017 at 9:48 am #2300

    Counselorgimber,
    I have been hopping from one thing to another every time I get on the laptop, so I have a little more research to do before I can add my input, but good start practice forecast. Currently I am looking for patterns in past seismic events. My goal is find the correct combo that focuses on M6+ or higher.

    Which image are you asking about? Well, lets look at this image of depletions, I caught it a little after the M5.9, but still sholdn’t have been much change..and forgive my horrible drawing:
    https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B83EkoitOiKQeFdZZ2x3VnFuZkk/view?usp=sharing
    Spanning across the magnetic equator, Footpoint N. and S. [+] [-].

    I still have a few days left I based off the TEC anomalies, if the associated rumble[s] didn’t already occur. I set it for 7 days because M7.0+ or higher averaged seven days between anomaly and event. The kicker is TEC anomalies can occur before events in the low 5 magnitude range as well, and we had some potential correlating events that can account for the disruptions. I want to continue on but it is 5 am. I better get some sleep

    Score: 0
    37 pts
    HookEcho
    July 29, 2017 at 12:38 am #2294

    Counselorgimber,
    “I know the ocean salinity map and the plasma bands don’t exactly line up.”
    Maybe not, but when I looked at the image, this is what I thought of:
    https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B83EkoitOiKQTUt6TVc2bDZ4NzA/view?usp=sharing
    https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B83EkoitOiKQc0N4b2xtLUhuLVk/view?usp=sharing
    Vortices swirl, plasma a’twirl. Richter predicts, a magnitude six. Magnetic fields shake, Beware the spacequake.
    South America and immediate surrounding area is unique in many ways, such as the location of the magnetic equator dip.
    I will be back in abit…

    Score: 0
    37 pts
    HookEcho
    July 28, 2017 at 4:44 am #2282

    Lester,
    I have made note of your method, and will integrate it and use when I am done experimenting on how and where it would fit in best. Speaking of which…the yo read the post in regards to the M5.9 North Atlantic event? When the magnetometers spiked, the Sun so was very close to the epicenter. And When the Ground Magnetic perturbations recorded At The Poles, the Moon had taken the Suns spot [with a slight variance] and depleted the ionosphere of electrons in the immediate area. Solar and moon tides very likely played a role. perhaps the solar tidal effect was enough to stir up our ‘electric ocean’ and was responsible for the initial magnetometer to spike from the generated Magnetic perturbations, and with the Moon coming up right behind with its own tidal effect crossing nearly over the same exact spot, with the result of the one -two punch triggered the quake. Yeah, I had fun today. I should write up a short, simple paper on the event and submit it for publication. It would be my first peer reviewed paper on my own, not that would be the first my name appeared in..but as the man author. I also have gathered enough examples of ionospheric TEC anomalies appearing before an event as well. Which reminds me, I have located a bunch of global and regional TEC maps for you all to utilize. I will try and get those up soon along with some other tools I have located. ps it is the [Claude] Blot [Hook] Echo wind map. He use the short term transmigration method I developed different, we have discussed before and have some slightly different perspectives. Both versions get hits, and to be honest, that long earthquake lull thew me off abit, but I believe I am nearly over it and very close to being back on track.

    • This reply was modified 7 years, 3 months ago by HookEcho.
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    37 pts
    HookEcho
    July 27, 2017 at 10:21 am #2274

    RE: ACE EPAMp
    Solar flare injection and propagation of low-energy protons
    If we ever see another Earth directed CME, low energy protons will begin to rise before CME arrival.

    *Low-energy particle events associated with sector boundaries*
    Onsets of some 40 to 45 low-energy proton events during the years 1957–1969 coincided in time with transits of well-defined sector boundaries across the Earth. These events can be interpreted as long-lived proton streams filling up some of the magnetic sectors, indicating an acceleration of protons which is not associated with typical proton-producing flares. The sharp onsets of these particle streams, as well as a deficiency of flare-associated particle events shortly before the boundary transit, indicate that in some cases magnetic sector boundaries can inhibit transverse propagation of low-energy particles in the solar corona or in interplanetary space.

    Corotating Interaction Regions [CIR’s] that arrive around a day or less before high speed solar wind,also contain low energy protons that are being accelerated, and taking in account the reverse shock, CIR’s are basically another version of a sector boundary with some variations.

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    37 pts
    HookEcho
    July 26, 2017 at 3:58 am #2261

    Check out this earthquake chain that developed within the last 24 hrs in the Japan region:
    https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B83EkoitOiKQUzNmVk1QNVBqa2c/view?usp=sharing

    You all should know what I am referencing, if not:

    Earthquake 'Chains'

    This may load quicker, it did for me. Same as above.
    Alternate Link: https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B83EkoitOiKQOThxaTg3R05ydHM/view?usp=sharing

    I take time to track these papers down and post for you all, no comments or discussion on any of these posts gives me the feeling that they are serving no purpose and I am wasting my time. I hope this is not the case.

    I will be creating some posts very soon that will be of value for those who are serious about what we do here and will provide us with the knowledge to move forward.

    • This reply was modified 7 years, 3 months ago by HookEcho.
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    37 pts
    HookEcho
    July 26, 2017 at 3:31 am #2260

    it is a book that basically explains what you do already,or at least a close version of your method. I thought perhaps you have already have had read or own his book 🙂
    He claims Moon and Solar tides are the mechanism that triggers earthquakes. While these factors have an influence, it isn’t a universal answer.

    Take a number. Double it. Add 9. Subtract 3. Divide by 2. Subtract your original number. Your answer should be 3.

    I have been busy searching through papers focusing on potential pre seismic signals and trying to find accessible data for us to use and add to our toolbox. But, if it does have merit and isn’t just a play with numbers, during those key times solar and atmospheric changes are occurring. rising and falling solar EUV radiation affects oscillations in thermospheric density,and is coupling with the ionosphere, which changes in height, total electron content are occurring as well along with the shifts being initiated by the thermosphere. But I do not feel up to writing an essay on how atmospheric processes ties into plasma physics and Thermodynamics in response, I will just state “Lithosphere-Atmosphere-Ionosphere Coupling System.” and call it good for tonight 🙂
    ps this is alot of info to take in all at once, esp. anyone following my posts. Lets move on and continue to help one another and tr to remain positive.

    • This reply was modified 7 years, 3 months ago by HookEcho.
    • This reply was modified 7 years, 3 months ago by HookEcho.
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    37 pts
    HookEcho
    July 25, 2017 at 9:39 pm #2253

    Lester your method reminds me of a book, David Nabhan’s “Earthquake Prediction: Answers in Plain Slight”

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    37 pts
    HookEcho
    July 24, 2017 at 10:01 pm #2243

    To clarify, then encircled area on the Alert Map is the watch zone.

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    37 pts
    HookEcho
    July 24, 2017 at 11:07 am #2239

    Lester,
    “is this always how the pattern works in a 12 month period ?” I do not know as of yet. I have been attempting to keep a rough record when I notice a potential pairing here in the chat room, just to see where it would go and if it would end up being useful in some way to ..

    “I am inclined to agree with solar flux transfer at this time of year,” solar flux transfer events favor Earth’s winter pole. But, you may have misunderstood, I was just thinking how these regions would share a connection. I was just thinking, like FTE’s are explained as a temporary direct connection between Earth and Sun via open an field line originating from a coronal holes, with high energy protons reaching Earth at ‘the speed of light’ and is not fully understood. The transferring of energy from Sun to Earth through a flux tube that is formednear Earths, and connects to Earth temporarily as it roles over the Winter pole. ‘

    For awhile now, I have been noticing potential evidence of magnetic field lines crossing through and over the magnetic equator with footpoints in variety of locations, [+ and -]. In this particular capture, the potential flux tube [the footpoints piercing through the ionosphere, causing plasma irregularities,] hugs the magnetic equator. May in part be a/the source that leaves plasma bubbles in its wake after the temporary connection shifts. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B83EkoitOiKQc0N4b2xtLUhuLVk/view?usp=sharing
    Plasma bubbles01: https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B83EkoitOiKQbTg2dC1mYzRHWUk/view?usp=sharing
    Plasma bubbles02: https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B83EkoitOiKQQ09TYWwzR1pqaEE/view?usp=sharing

    And then, my observations were confirmed:
    Australian Student Confirms That Giant Plasma Tubes Are Floating Above Earth:
    https://www.sciencealert.com/australian-student-confirms-that-giant-plasma-tubes-are-floating-above-earth

    “Sunset in Costa Rica (on posted co-ordinates) on the 17th occurred at 23:58 UTC… same day as the 7.7 Nikol’Skoye event. At the same time, it was Dusk (23:58 UTC) 57 km’s SSW of Talavera, Peru (4.3 epicentre, July 20), and Solar Noon (23:58 UTC) 135 km’s ENE of Ndoi Island, Fiji (4.6 epicentre, July 21). Inter-relations may be closer than we imagined… any thoughts?”
    https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B83EkoitOiKQTGJ1NXRLZDZ6NUU/view?usp=sharing
    Our magnetic field reacts to direct solar wind
    by compressing, etc: https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B83EkoitOiKQWVQyaHBVRksxdFE/view?usp=sharing
    It is my understanding a rolling to the back while being replaced action both to the East and West [while being replaced] of the flux tubes occurs, I propose these, I will dub them ‘subsets’ react in a similar manner.

    • This reply was modified 7 years, 3 months ago by HookEcho.
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    37 pts
    HookEcho
    July 24, 2017 at 5:53 am #2236

    derp. sigh.

    • This reply was modified 7 years, 3 months ago by HookEcho.
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    37 pts
    HookEcho
    July 24, 2017 at 4:14 am #2234

    A well suited and better teleconnection candidate:
    M4.5 – 42km WNW of Tenno, Japan 2017-07-24 02:15:01 UTC at a depth of 18.8 km
    .2 of a magnitude difference,the Vanuatu event set the magnitude range for Japan. However, it does not alter this forecast.
    The energy is headed to the NW, with M4.8 – 90km WNW of Panguna, Papua New Guinea 2017-07-23 23:26:52 UTC at a depth of 169.9 km a few hours later.

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    37 pts
    HookEcho
    July 23, 2017 at 2:02 am #2213

    Lester,
    We intersect once again. Japan and Vanuatu are paired off in the migration pattern.
    M4.8 – 97km SSE of Hachijo-jima, Japan 2017-07-22 09:29:33 UTC at a depth of 99.8 km
    M4.7 – 75km WNW of Isangel, Vanuatu 2017-07-22 10:11:19 UTC at a depth of 35.0 km
    Migration Map: https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B83EkoitOiKQUjg4MUlJUXBISVU/view?usp=sharing

    Note the Japan quake occurred first, setting the magnitude range to be expected in the Vanuatu if the seismic event was to occur in the region within a 24 hour period.

    So, there is several earthquake migration methods I use, all statistically valid. the first is on a global scale over large distances, and match in magnitude with a small variance within a magnitude.

    Second, the ET law long term where the migration transfers from deep tectonic shocks that travel very limited distances [at ground level anyway], and the majority of the time [dependent on region] a predictable direction of travel.

    Third, very similar to second, with some variances. However, second and third are limited and effectively applied to deep-seated faults. The deep-seated faults are facilitators of geodynamic processes by providing channels for mantle materials to transmigrate that affect the crust.

    The first is limited as only certain regions are linked in this manner, and may certainly transfer from point to point above ground, where the ionosphere may play a key role,and/or connected by flux tubes such as: https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B83EkoitOiKQd1l6ZTU0VklDQ2M/view?usp=sharing
    The image is one of many I have taken screenshots, the flux tubes penetrate the ionosphere ‘ionospheric pierce points’ generating plasma irregularities that can show up on ionospheric scintillation maps. Here are a few more examples: https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B83EkoitOiKQbzdUM19lS3VMY1U/view?usp=sharing
    https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B83EkoitOiKQc0N4b2xtLUhuLVk/view?usp=sharing

    Or, even another possibility may even be when two regions [like the Fiji and Chile pairing] ionospheric F2 layer reach the same height and are high in electron count, it may generate a resonance or frequency that bonds them temporarily, triggers one or the other and a ‘copycat’ quake occurs a short time later: https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B83EkoitOiKQMnA0VmNhNmRzR0E/view?usp=sharing

    Each fault will have its own acoustic resonance frequency. If a signal arrives at this frequency, the fault that without perturbation would be quiet will trigger an earthquake. It already occurs in nearby regions, it may also be in part an explanation in this case, a variation of a “flux transfer event.” How earthquakes can trigger copycat quakes 1000 kilometres away: https://www.newscientist.com/article/dn28200-how-earthquakes-can-trigger-copycat-quakes-1000-kilometres-away/
    flux transfer event: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Flux_transfer_event

    • This reply was modified 7 years, 3 months ago by HookEcho.
    • This reply was modified 7 years, 3 months ago by HookEcho.
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    37 pts
    HookEcho
    July 22, 2017 at 11:42 pm #2210

    M4.3 – 30km W of Valparaiso, Chile 2017-07-22 07:44:25 UTC at a depth of 22.3 km
    M4.3 – 138km ENE of Ndoi Island, Fiji 2017-07-22 18:45:58 UTC at a depth of 470.8 km

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    37 pts
    HookEcho
    July 22, 2017 at 9:10 pm #2204

    And using the ET long term prediction formula the 7.7 Nikol’Skoye event was energy transmigration from the deep Sea of Okhotsk seismic event back in 2013, I just mis calculated the date. I believe I am close to getting the math correct however. Strange how different methods correlate to the same region. Another major seismic event using the long term formula coming up is supposed to be transmigration from a deep event that occurred South of Honshu Japan, also back in 2013. I will be back online in abit, I haven’t read alot of your posts and should catch up.

    • This reply was modified 7 years, 3 months ago by HookEcho.
    • This reply was modified 7 years, 3 months ago by HookEcho.
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    37 pts
    HookEcho
    July 22, 2017 at 7:01 pm #2201

    M4.6 – 15km SSE of Jarm, Afghanistan 2017-07-22 08:44:25 UTC at a depth of 267.2 km
    https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B83EkoitOiKQTXRYbm53ZFoxY1E/view?usp=sharing
    M4.8 – 78km W of San Antonio de los Cobres, Argentina 2017-07-22 18:11:58 UTC at a depth of 174.5 km
    https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B83EkoitOiKQVTRNU01IZVNjcG8/view?usp=sharing
    Migration Map: https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B83EkoitOiKQaWEtUTFabnpHeEE/view?usp=sharing

    • This reply was modified 7 years, 3 months ago by HookEcho.
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    37 pts
    HookEcho
    July 22, 2017 at 3:27 pm #2192

    M4.8 – 97km SSE of Hachijo-jima, Japan 2017-07-22 09:29:33 UTC at a depth of 99.8 km
    M4.7 – 75km WNW of Isangel, Vanuatu 2017-07-22 10:11:19 UTC at a depth of 35.0 km

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    37 pts
    HookEcho
    July 22, 2017 at 3:58 am #2185

    North Carolina Institute For Climate Studies:
    Outgoing Longwave Radiation [OLR] maps:

    Tropical Monitoring


    Allows you to select options such as the region, 1 day to 10 day OLR, etc.
    Maps are updated daily.

    • This reply was modified 7 years, 3 months ago by HookEcho.
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    37 pts
    HookEcho
    July 22, 2017 at 3:26 am #2184

    Low latitude TEC plots: http://lisn.igp.gob.pe/stations/realtime.php

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    37 pts
    HookEcho
    July 22, 2017 at 2:08 am #2182

    Check this out, before they started censoring my thermal neutron ground station data, look at that rise and massive spike in thermal neutrons:
    https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B83EkoitOiKQb3VLZFJ1WDVraWc/view?usp=sharing
    M6.4 Chile on the 20th and M6.0 Fiji on the 21st.

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    37 pts
    HookEcho
    July 21, 2017 at 5:47 pm #2173

    IK1QFK VLF MONITORING STATION
    Live data from CUMIANA (TO), NW Italy, south Europe:
    http://www.vlf.it/cumiana/livedata.html

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    37 pts
    HookEcho
    July 21, 2017 at 5:44 pm #2172

    Outgoing Longwave Radiation [OLR] Map Tokyo Climate Center:
    http://ds.data.jma.go.jp/tcc/tcc/products/clisys/anim/anim_tp.html

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    37 pts
    HookEcho
    July 21, 2017 at 4:45 pm #2170

    M5.8 – NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN 2017-07-20 00:11:26.0 UTC at a depth of 40 km
    https://www.emsc-csem.org/Earthquake/earthquake.php?id=606154
    M5.5 – 92km ESE of Port-Vila, Vanuatu 2017-07-21 08:59:08 UTC at a depth of 18.3 km

    Score: 0
    37 pts
    HookEcho
    July 21, 2017 at 4:38 pm #2168

    M4.3 – 57km SSW of Talavera, Peru 2017-07-20 16:56:28 UTC at a depth of 80.9 km
    M4.6 – 135km ENE of Ndoi Island, Fiji 2017-07-21 07:16:17 UTC at a depth of 422.3 km

    M4.8 – 66km SSE of Hihifo, Tonga 2017-07-21 09:15:56 UTC at a depth of 98.4 km
    M4.9 – 43km SE of Acari, Peru 2017-07-21 15:22:19 UTC at a depth of 43.6 km

    • This reply was modified 7 years, 3 months ago by HookEcho.
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