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115 ptslesterNovember 7, 2019 at 11:34 pm #6578
Speak of the devil… an M 5.8 event has occurred in Northwest Iran at 22:47:05 UTC (7th Nov).
Does anybody know what time moonrise occurred in Ridgecrest, California today ?
http://www.sunrisesunsetmap.com
Score: 0115 ptslesterNovember 7, 2019 at 10:18 pm #6577Hey buddy, Oxnard is very feasible if you take into account it currently has possible correlating influence with the M 6.1 South Sandwich Islands epicentre of 2nd Nov. However, I believe activity in the SoCal region is being influenced by Pakistan… and this calculates as being slightly East of Oxnard !
I tried to keep you updated with some ACE contacts related to San Francisco, but you may not have seen these… but determination of contacts was credible. Here are a number of times related to “significant” ACE aspect changes (affecting all data traces) I catalogued for determination of my forecast location in Pakistan… try these on the T & D maps.
20th Oct 18:10 UTC = moonrise
23rd Oct 21:18 UTC = moonrise
31st Oct 10:23 UTC = moon on 65’07’E
31st Oct 14:16 UTC = ATE
2nd Nov 14:14 UTC = ATE
4th Nov 00:33 UTC = ATB
5th Nov 00:32 UTC = ATB
5th Nov 01:52 UTC = sunrise
5th Nov 22:00 UTC = moonset
6th Nov 07:23 UTC = sun on 65’09’E
7th Nov 00:32 UTC = ATBThese times are also credible… for each ATB time listed, it was solar noon in Vanuatu, and the ATE was located on both the M 6.1 Coquimbo, Chile epicentre of 4th Nov, and the M 6.1 South Sandwich epicentre of 2nd Nov (+/- 1 minute). The only T threshold that is missing is sunset, which currently occurs on coordinates 65’10’E – 27’35’N at 12:52 UTC. If you mark the point in Pakistan were these times meet on your computer screen, and input the sunset time… sunset will be located on your mark, and the ATB will be located on Ridgecrest CA, through to the Santa Barbra Channel!
Regarding San Francisco… I believe something will occur here, but some of the data sets I have worked on seem “too” significant for a casual 4.5+ event on 122’W. And the calculations keep placing me in the Farallones Gulf region, rather than the Bay area itself. So I am playing a hunch that some of these data sets could relate to the Southern East Pacific Rise on 122’W, and speculating a reoccurrence of the M 5.9 event that occurred here on 1st October. I cannot calculate this accurately because the USNO tool is unavailable… but my model shows the demise of the ATE / ATB in this epicentre region will occur during the next few days, due to the suns journey South for Northern Hemisphere winter.
Lots of volcanic activity correlating to Pakistan too, but I thought I would keep this post short… 🙂
Score: 0115 pts115 pts115 pts115 pts115 pts115 pts115 ptslesterNovember 3, 2019 at 6:04 pm #6555I posted the previous statement because I had to retire to bed, then couldn’t sleep for an hour because the “combination” time kept bugging me. I had seen an approximation of this recently, and couldn’t remember where… until now !
On 31st October at 01:11:18 UTC, an M 6.5 event occurred in Mindanao, Philippines… it was therefore sunset in the San Francisco Bay Area at this time !!
Must be an age thing… 🙁
Score: 0115 pts115 ptslesterNovember 3, 2019 at 1:22 am #6552Combination…
At 01:10 UTC 3rd Nov, the ATE was located on the M 6.1 South sandwich Islands epicentre of 2nd Nov… the ATB was located on the M 3+ Mayotte Island epicentres… the moon was located on longitude 122’35’W… and it was sunset in the San Francisco Bay Area !
If a seismic event has not been forthcoming by the current expiry time of this forecast at 04:30 UTC (way past my bed time in the UK 🙂 ), then forecast will continue for a further 5 days.
Thank you
Score: 0115 pts115 ptslesterOctober 30, 2019 at 3:08 pm #6540Update…
On 29th Oct 10:50 UTC, an explosive event occurred from Mt Sakurajima volcano, Kyushu Japan. This event time coincided with sunset on Mt Anak Krakatau volcano, Sunda Strait… Sunrise on volcanos Mt Reventador and Mt Sangay in Ecuador…the RLT was located on volcanos Mt Villarrica and Mt Copahue in Chile… and the sun was located on longitude 13’26’E.
At 13:03 UTC today (30th) an explosive event occurred from Mt Sakurajima volcano. This event time coincided with Moonset on Mt Anak Krakatau volcano, Sunda Strait… the RLT was located on volcanos Mt Reventador and Mt Sangay in Ecuador… the ATB was located in the San Francisco Bay area… and the moon was located on longitude 13’12’E (ref last post).
The developing picture suggests seismic or volcanic influences related to repeat locations (Reventador, Sangay, Italy etc) could be a possibility. The last eruption of Mt Anak Krakatau volcano (according to http://www.volcanodiscovery.com ) occurred 02:13 UTC 29th Oct.
Thank you
Score: 0115 ptslesterOctober 28, 2019 at 11:51 am #6533The VAAC Tokyo has reported that an explosive event has occurred at 10:51 UTC, from Mt Sakurajima volcano, Kyushu Japan. The event itself is not significant with respect to this volcano, as frequent eruptions and explosions have been occurring here for more than three weeks. However, the time of event with reference to the T sequence corresponds with; sunrise on Mt Reventardor and Mt Sangay volcanos in Ecuador… sunset on Mt Anak Krakatau volcano, Sunda Strait Indonesia… moonset on Mt Merapi volcano, Central Java… and the sun was located on longitude 13’12’E at this time.
Continuing this forecast for 5 days from 12:00 UTC October 28
Thank you
Score: 0115 pts115 ptslesterOctober 25, 2019 at 2:48 pm #6530Continuing this forecast for 10 days from 15:00 UTC October 25
Note – data requested from the online services of the US naval observatory at aa.usno.navy.mil will no longer be available until April 2020, due to upgrade requirements. As I regard this service as a key tool for calculation, future compilations (if any) could be subject to marginal errors !
Thank you
Score: 0115 pts115 ptslesterOctober 17, 2019 at 5:44 pm #6522Oh! what to believe !!
On 14th October, the ACE satellite recorded the most significant aspect change this month at 09:53 UTC… it was sunrise on the Island of Trinidad & Tobago at this time. This made a total of 11 correlations I had amassed related to this island since 7th October.
On 15th October, my own equipment recorded a significant anomaly at 23:11 UTC… I related this to the RLT being located on Trinidad & Tobago. Thus the reason I posted on this forecast page 12 minutes later.
On 16th October 11:37:05 UTC, an M 6.4 event occurred in Mindanao, Philippines. When I checked its T sequence, I noticed moonrise had occurred on this pre seismic epicentre at 09:53 UTC 14th October… and at 23:11 UTC 15th October, the SLT was also located on this pre seismic epicentre.
I gave a 12:00 UTC deadline as courteous pay back for being put on the right path for Mt Etna. But although I was on the right track in this case, I would have been getting off at the wrong stop 23 minutes later !!
At 23:56 UTC 16th October, my broadband connection went off, and has only just returned this evening (my time)… it was moonset on the post seismic M 6.4 Mindanao epicentre at this time !!
Thank you
http://www.sunrisesunsetmap.com
Score: 0115 pts115 ptslesterOctober 15, 2019 at 10:13 pm #6520Not nearly as adept !… don’t be so modest. I often tell people how privileged I felt to be working with the “second best” forecaster on the circuit (lol), your help and contributions are always welcome my friend 🙂
Yes, you are correct… I had a bunch of data for Pinehurst CA on 119’12’W, but nothing materialised. Which is rather ironic because when the 4.7 Tres Pinos event occurred at 19:42:30 UTC today, the sun was located on longitude 119’11’W !!
I went back to Fuego because I am trying to build a credible case for relations between earthquakes and volcanos. But my hit rate is not good enough to get past the “chance” marker yet. However, recent successes in Europe have prompted me to offer voluntary consultation advice to the Sicilian government !… 🙂
Score: 0115 pts115 ptslesterOctober 15, 2019 at 1:31 pm #6515A significant aspect change occurred in the ACE satellite data yesterday (14th) at 22:43 UTC… it was sunset on Mt Ubinas volcano, Southern Peru at this time. At 05:33:42 UTC today, an M 4.5 event occurred in the San Francisco Bay area, the moon was located on longitude 71’0’W when this event occurred… Mt Ubinas volcano resides on longitude 70’55’W.
On 16th July 20:11:01 UTC, an M 4.3 event occurred in the San Francisco Bay area. I used this event to formulate an eruption prediction for Mt Etna volcano in Sicily. At the event time, the ATE (astronomical twilight ends) was located on this volcano. Four days later on 20th July, Mt Etna erupted. Two other volcanos also erupted on this day, one was Mt Bromo volcano in East Java, and the other was Mt Ubinas volcano !!
Thank you
Score: 0115 ptslesterOctober 14, 2019 at 1:49 pm #6510Correlations…
7th Oct – Mt Ebeko Erupted at 23:27 UTC… the ATB was located on the posted coordinates.
11th Oct – M 5.3 Tonga, solar noon occurred here at 23:17 UTC… it was moonset on the posted coordinates
12th Oct – M 5.3 New Britain P.N.G., moonrise occurred here at 06:37 UTC… the sun was located on longitude 77’24’E
13th Oct – M 5.5 South Sandwich Islands, sunrise occurred here at 06:38 UTC… the sun was located on longitude 77’05’E… the RLT was located on Mt Shiveluch volcano, Kamchatka. Mt Shiveluch erupted at 12:40 UTC, the ATE was located on Little Nicobar Island at this time.
13th Oct – M 5.0 Kuril Islands, the ATB was located here at 18:41 UTC… the moon was located on longitude 77’06’E
13th Oct – M 5.1 Prince Edward Island Region, this event occurred at 12:21:07 UTC… sunset and the RLT where located on the posted coordinatesTheoretical analogy: Time can be established when the gas was turned on under a saucepan of milk, and each correlation turns the gas up a little higher. But because we don’t know the size of the saucepan, or the amount of milk within it, no one can determine when the milk is going to eventually boil over the rim !!
Thank you
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