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7 pts
7 ptsNomadicFredJanuary 7, 2021 at 2:00 pm #10063“As the player list shows, the M 6.6 Naze, Japan event and the M 6.4 Tobelo event, both occurred within 4 minutes of arc of the suns longitude at this time. The sun was on the opposite longitude of these post seismic 6+ epicentres, when the event was triggered !”
took that sentence for me to have the “ah ha” moment.
good luck Lester
Fred
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7 ptsNomadicFredDecember 14, 2020 at 9:42 pm #9915Hey Lester, as i look at it i still need to work on the depth, the magnitude i bumped up because of the sun, but i guess i should have still went with the typical local which would have been the +/_ .5 off the 6.3 so 5.8 to 6.8 … i have to open things up again and see if my range made it, but thx, yeah in the right zip code
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7 pts
7 ptsNomadicFredSeptember 6, 2020 at 4:52 pm #9489My thought is follow the data, your allowed to be wrong, but if your rules say Mt. Cleveland then it goes up… even when our gut says …What?
I have had a good week in my Forex Trading and a bad week in my attempts to be social and part of the thought processes… so i am cutting back some… i think i will stay with this however… like forex .. .most dont understand and dont care so in these times that seems to be better for me…
I hope your day is going good today, i am feathering my nest some to get ready for a quiet winter… i hope, did you want to start a thread in Lifetime area or just keep this one going?
Take care
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Fred
7 ptsNomadicFredAugust 26, 2020 at 8:02 pm #9441Yeah i crawled out of my cave for a little and saw your post 🙂 ill get my laptop and computer burning the midnight oil for this weekend on SA … i have neglecting her for a while now…on a side not looks like your south sandwich islands might say hi about the 29th on my numbers.. 🙂 enjoy the day as you can
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This reply was modified 4 years, 3 months ago by
NomadicFred.
7 pts
7 ptsNomadicFredJuly 6, 2020 at 5:33 pm #9204Hey lester hope things are well with you , i have be deflating and redirecting myself and my time a little…im still around just have not been making the rounds. Ill chat later this week, working on a few things. going to have a post in a sec for Gulf of California
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7 ptsNomadicFredJuly 6, 2020 at 4:58 pm #9203Sorry for the late reply , my little world is all over the place and i needed some time to figure out a direction to go and a method / process to follow, one of the risks i have is thinking about to many things at one time and not being happy with any solution i plot. In either case. Yeah sisters was a observational for sure, i was looking at the historical data after i saw a “delta class OLR” and by delta i mean an area that has both positive and negative areas well organized and there more than a day or two… just sitting there, it looked lonely and the KP index had itself a little drop so i was thinking maybe the energy would find a home there… the area has had some activity when you look back, but its not resent per say… but the question was where do we see 6.0 or better in relation to all the activity in Mina and Stanley, sounds like a rock and roll group… maybe that was my first geology joke… hmmm my timeline was anything from 1965 on and i picked up 4 events and split the difference and allowed my low range in miles.. the Depth was the Average of the ones i found, and the timeframe was the moon cycle with the 7 day or less rule…
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7 ptsNomadicFredJune 27, 2020 at 1:03 am #9114Hey Lester,
As I read your overview, I was thinking that the 12 to 24 hour period is the time for some sort of energy transfer, and that the toys we are playing with have that range of time of transfer , plus whatever time to travel, so the time of your solar flare from sun to earth plus about 12 to 24 hours for energy transfer within our Global Electric Circuit. I am also going to speculate that the time needed to go from one medium to another within our GEC, is also about the same.
as far as positioning of the moon and sun and the stuff we are using from http://www.timeanddate.com I am using the Astronomical Twilight as my endtime plus about 3 to 6 hours depending on what the Windy and OLR say to me, but I really like using that… the why… I imagine there is some gravity to the situation that I don’t know about, but in the Electric Universe im sure Ben would have a reason why we like the sun and moon locations.. I don’t know enough science in either to be able to articulate a why in either… yeah we have tides and so on but not much more than that, I just don’t have the flux… but I have the UBox Tong and the Rounding Hammer
Enjoy
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7 pts
7 ptsNomadicFredJune 5, 2020 at 1:40 pm #8992As an update to what I am doing to expand on this part: To develop a depth for my predictions I use the average of all 6.0 quakes or better in the area of the forecast over the last 30 years. I would like to figure out a way to improve this to something a little more scientific that takes in a little more, but this is still a mathematical process overall, simple that it is, and would take in consideration the morphology of the landscape, just like the markets take into account just about everything about an index or security and reflect it in the overall price.
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7 ptsNomadicFredJune 3, 2020 at 2:49 pm #8980tell me if that read ok… I was in the middle of 9 things not related to anything here … I hope everyone is ok… my family is fine here in Cleveland ohio , I don’t go out much as I don’t like to wear a mask and the people are all goofy about that… all the civil discourse is about 5 miles away… oh well be safe everyone… if I missed something on how I do things say Fred I need magnitude or what not and ill reply in this thread as to whatever I missed or answers to comments
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7 ptsNomadicFredJune 3, 2020 at 2:38 pm #8979Well I think the rules say its not a hit, which is why I just commentated, as far as the moon location routine,
To setup a timeframe I look at the OLR the Phi and the Moon and sun locations
For the OLR I am looking at a bounce from one extreme to another starting from the negative or pink side to the brown side when I see that I am close to location and the when.
Ideally I want to see the Phi angle drop/rise into the 180 range…. I have no idea on why , just following what I have heard.. this sets up the time start period
to get the time end period I go to the timeanddate.com site and starting at my current time, I walk the sun and moon forward and look for my exit within a 7 day period set my the contest rules where the sun and moon are close to my location or at least the moon, if I have a time where both the sun and moon are overhead I use that as my exit time, if I have the moon (within that 7 days of the contest rule) I go with the moon.
I limit the timeframe by the lows in the area… if from windy.com I have a low that is gone by the 3rd day then I bring in the exit time within the 12 hours of the low being gone and then match it to what the moon and sun are doing
I am still working on a better way to judge the magnitude though , right now its a 30 year average of the one at 6.0 or better for the geographical area and then I do .5 above and below that to make the 1 point range for the contest rules. I know there was something on the Kp index to put in there as well, both on the frequency of the quakes and the magnitude (moreso magnitude) but I lost my notes on that. but I think it went something like low Kp higher Magnitude cause the energy has to be somewhere… thank you for the reply lester
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7 ptsNomadicFredJune 3, 2020 at 10:27 am #8977Oh and thanks to lester and hookecho on the Moon/Sun Link/routine, if you look at the time 03:35:34 I have 3:40:00
https://www.timeanddate.com/worldclock/sunearth.html?iso=20200605T0340
The Moon’s position at its zenith in relation to an observer
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7 ptsNomadicFredJune 3, 2020 at 10:22 am #8976hmmm day and depth wrong, could have lowered the range to about 180 miles if google earth ruler is right, did not expect it that far inland though, might bring out range 180 for everyone, that would pick up the inland ones and in this case the area by Cerro Paranal that has a lot of 7.0 on the Magnitude
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7 pts
7 ptsNomadicFredMay 28, 2020 at 9:10 pm #8953Wacky? no lester we have our routines because we see something, there are a lot of tools, in forex trading there are a lot of tools as well
200-day Moving Average
Relative strength index (RSI):
Moving average convergence divergence (MACD)
Stochastic Oscillator:
Average directional index (ADI)
Exponential Moving Average (EMA)
Average True Range (ATR)
VolumeSo each tool has its outcome and some of those tools tell you the same thing…As I Geospatial geek I love correlations… there are a lot things that I don’t understand, I tried to piece together the TEC /TAC ?? and the ability to see the energy flows of earths electric circuit and to match that with when the sun adds to the energy levels , I can envision the idea with some of the graphics Ben has used on his daily shows, but I cant make me see it… at least not in the data… for me its like putting all the forex indicators on the same chart and making it look like a Jackson Pollock or Mark Rothko painting.
I don’t see what your doing as wacky or wonky, a large wall with yarn , newspaper articles and push pins no…
as far as the virus, I still think I had gotten it in November and December.. during that time I was working for a contractor inside an Amazon FC (CLE2) there was 12 people in the group I worked with, 4 of us got fairly sick, one guy was out for 2 weeks , I was out for 2 days but was still coughing and so on for two to three weeks after I went back so I would not lose the job…
Good to chat with you, ill be around , so my routine will be from 7am EST to about 2pm do the forex routine and then in the evening make layers on google earth with the data I get… I am going to look into what I will call active layers that pull data from somewhere else on the internet to um “black box” my process, but not having a programming language in my tool box that I know and not experienced in doing that.. this will be me teaching myself something… I am going to combine that with what I can learn from Bens new book which I figure will get here sometime next month
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7 ptsNomadicFredMay 28, 2020 at 8:44 pm #8952Takes off his tinfoil hat… if I was going to play in the south Atlantic it would be
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Location: 36°20’34.10″S 17°26’43.23″W
Range: 160 Nautical Miles
But that’s more the Mid Atlantic ridge I suppose…
Just saying Hello to everyone
Have a good day, Eyes open
7 ptsNomadicFredMay 28, 2020 at 10:19 am #8945Hello Lester,
Well I have the time to do this now that’s for sure as I am in between work again… I need to stop the working and not working routine , I don’t think my heart can take the stress much longer .. hehe 🙂 As far as EMSC / USGS .. im not sure, I dont typically look at EMSC at this point, but I have known about the USGS editing , downgrading, and the such… with a “oh that wasn’t an earthquake you felt it was swamp gas – as a reply to the world”
my guess is if the Low is still there in Gulf of Alaska by the 2nd when the last part of that spaceweather says hello, from the solar wind, that should be enough energy for something
https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/IswaSystemWebApp/iSWACygnetStreamer?timestamp=2038-01-23+00%3A44%3A00&window=-1&cygnetId=261but then again looking at the App this morning with all those small blue dots on the Asian rim , looks like there is enough energy now
Take care, I am going to give it another go on the stay at home with forexfred and Mr Mom routine and see if that can work, looks like I have about 3 months to sort things out before it becomes real problem.
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This reply was modified 4 years, 6 months ago by NomadicFred.
7 ptsNomadicFredMay 27, 2020 at 5:29 pm #8941Yeah it would be nice to have an actionable ability, that said, it might be better to just limit or learn to build better. cant imagine evacuating millions and millions of people will occur without a hitch or problem.
Is there a way to tell the difference between a magma flow/density changes causing small events or staging before an eruption verse, the regular events… and the swarm i see in Nevada, i keep thinking a magma flow filling up a void or changing locations… that said, with the water vortex clip in the news today, i then think back to Billy’s lab and want to think of Olivine on the move…
thankfully i dont live in that area, cause if its either, its not all that great, if its just like a pressure cooker and that is where it is letting out steam , thats better than the other two thoughts..
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7 ptsNomadicFredMay 27, 2020 at 11:33 am #8936Hello Canyonrat,
I dont usually hang out in the North American Side, i like South American Pacific Coast, but i saw the OLR flip and the Low sitting there all nice and pretty and tossed my hat in.
As far as depth its on there from the start, i think that was part of the original hey guys post them like this from Ben when the site/forum went up. I think that was there also because when you look at reports from USGS those values are there as well.
I would like to work on a way to create a ideal depth routine but aside from a range created around the mean of quakes that are above 6.0M , im stuck on that one…
I want to improve the location so i am not tossing out 200 and 300km circles, one idea i had was to use the frequency of past events with the geomorphology/ landform types of the area. but my guess that is not all that great because the landforms change not only as you pan with google earth but also on that cool z-axis going down.
Magnitude for me is going to be 6.0 and up, i am trying to work a combination of the following
ENLIL Spiral | Magnetic Sector Boundaries and CME Events
KP Index
Historical FrequencySo for the “when” i use
[Blue] Polar Angle (Phi) of the Magnetic Field (when it says hello to 180ish)
Part of my timeframe also relates to the Moon Sun Locations as well https://www.timeanddate.com/astronomy/moon/light.html
OLR shows itself for both location and when in my routine.
and the pressure cells from Windy- https://www.windy.com/ (pressure and wind)So by trade I am a GIS Analyst , but i am in cleveland ohio so there is not much of that around here especially as i dont have my Masters in either public administration or project management done. I really enjoy looking at imagery and creating different layers or using ones that are outthere that i can source correctly, i enjoy working on things that are cause and effect, pattern recognition and toss in maps and google earth , its a good thing
Feel free to ask questions, I am not a scientist per say and i dont understand all the dynamics of each of the tools i use, so im kinda like this in a machine shop as well, i know when you want to use a pressbrake verse a vice, and when to use a pair of calipers verse a height gauge, but the why sometimes for me is not know, just that it works and the limits the item/tool has
Take care and good luck,
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Fred
7 ptsNomadicFredApril 12, 2020 at 9:04 am #8685Hello Lester and everyone else,
I am not sure on the direction that things are taking. Here in the US there seems to be a varied response depending on the state you are in. As well as the mood of the people from panic and heartache to disbelief and the other extream “muck it and pass the bottle”. For me it varies as well. I agree that the mail is a common trait for most of us, and honestly had not even thought about setting letters to the side for 24 hours… i doubt my wife could wait 5 seconds… i figure we have about 18 more months of this, and what changes occur between now and then is anyones guess. I know 18 months seems like a long time… but i dont see this stopping now that the case load is over 1 million people. more and more people are out of work and that makes all that fear, and anger build cause there is nothing else to think about other than the people around you and the money that is due to any number of bills a typical household has. One thing i cannot understand is why tanning booths are closed, wierd statement but follow me for a second… isnt that the same sort of light wave that would kill this thing in a short amount of time on surfaces… and in turn, could’nt we use this same logic to deal with our mail and food to remove it from the surfaces of those… in either case, i would imagine a bananna and apple would not like the exposure much and maybe the experation date might have to change… just me thinking outside the box… which is what i do..even though i cant spell to well… be safe everyone
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