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11 pts11 pts11 ptsCounselorMay 23, 2020 at 3:59 am #8904
Hi Lester,
Great success… LOL. Our youngest turned 2 that day. 🙂 Good memory!
I may have have to do a new post you guys, but I will max out this one instead.
Mag 6+ will end on 7 days out, but I will max this out to 20 days from initial post with a Mag 7+. I may scrap this if I can come back again soon.
Score: 011 pts11 pts11 pts11 ptsCounselorMay 16, 2020 at 10:00 pm #8860Hi Lester, I know that’s not true 🙂
You, and T. Allen seem to be trading off in the big room anyway. That can’t be by chance. 🙂
Canyonrat… yes, that’s it…and it is the anomaly page mentioned in some of Ben’s forecasts as well. The image on 5/12 shows something closer to Nevada before it shifts again some more.
Score: 011 ptsCounselorMay 15, 2020 at 8:26 pm #8844Oh I forgot to mention the OLR maps is part of the review too, but that is also part of Ben’s model too.
If you look at the OLR PSD map room at NOAA, there is an interesting area on the current weekly set of maps right around tonopah. 5/10 and 5/11.
- This reply was modified 4 years, 6 months ago by Counselor.
- This reply was modified 4 years, 6 months ago by Counselor.
11 ptsCounselorMay 15, 2020 at 6:10 pm #8842It was a lot of long term tracking, but I was mostly keeping to Ben’s model. Where I was trying to drill down was through observing the low pressure patterns, many smaller quakes occurring at deeper than 10 km, reviewing the M4 and M5 quakes that surrounded the area, looking at the quake history that occurred during solar cycle min/max, looking at rain/snowpack information too… Even tried to monitor when phi angle was shifting to see where in the western US would show an uptick on average as that phi angle shift occurred, as well major planet alignments which I have taken more seriously for this region lately as it related to my timing recently.
Then, I got side tracked by what looked like more immediate area closer to the coastline, but you will notice many of my previous California forecasts were focused on the backside of the sierras…
Score: 011 pts11 pts11 pts11 pts11 ptsCounselorApril 11, 2020 at 5:29 pm #8678Just for the sake of concern about pressure building up for this area after that magnitude 5 near Mono Lake/June Lake, CA…
I will just extend this watch for the max of 20 days from initial post with magnitude potential at 7+.
Hopefully you guys are getting some good information on this action right now.
- This reply was modified 4 years, 7 months ago by Counselor.
11 pts11 pts11 ptsCounselorMarch 21, 2020 at 1:46 pm #6892Extending this forecast for an added 7 days for a total of 14 days from the initial forecast. Also, adjusting the potential to M7+. There was a M4.5 in Indian Hills, NV (just outside of Carson City, NV) that is right on my radius marker of 250 KM from Big Pine, CA (Owens Valley). Worries over it as being a foreshock.
Score: 011 pts11 pts11 ptsCounselorNovember 8, 2019 at 2:21 pm #6585Thanks for all you data, Lester! 🙂 Another set of 3.3 quakes back to back this morning. With all the links your making on this thread, I will be finding it hard not to keep checking on different sites for information today. Wish I could stay in here longer. Thanks again.
Score: 011 ptsCounselorNovember 7, 2019 at 2:49 pm #6574Good to see you too Lester!
back to back M3.3 with clustering at Ventura, CA. Hoping this is going to be isolated, but similar clustering took place on the Garlock fault prior to the two big quakes in ridgecrest, CA. My above watch is still active. I will say this zone is now higher risk for an M6+ for a 250 KM radius around Oxnard, CA.
- This reply was modified 5 years ago by Counselor.
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